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Unreliable predictions can occur when using artificial intelligence (AI) systems with negative consequences for downstream applications, particularly when employed for decision-making. Conformal prediction provides a model-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Geethen Singh , Glenn Moncrieff , Zander Venter , Kerry Cawse-Nicholson , Jasper Slingsby , Tamara B Robinson

Empirical Bayes methods are widely used for large-scale inference, yet most classical approaches assume homoscedastic observations and focus primarily on posterior mean estimation. We develop a nonparametric empirical Bayes framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Zhigen Zhao , Shonosuke Sugaasawa

Despite numerous studies of deep autoencoders (AEs) for unsupervised anomaly detection, AEs still lack a way to express uncertainty in their predictions, crucial for ensuring safe and trustworthy machine learning systems in high-stake…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Bang Xiang Yong , Alexandra Brintrup

Due to their unsupervised training and uncertainty estimation, deep Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) have become powerful tools for reconstruction-based Time Series Anomaly Detection (TSAD). Existing VAE-based TSAD methods, either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Zhangkai Wu , Longbing Cao , Qi Zhang , Junxian Zhou , Hui Chen

This paper proposes a method for detecting anomalies in video data. A Variational Autoencoder (VAE) is used for reducing the dimensionality of video frames, generating latent space information that is comparable to low-dimensional sensory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Giulia Slavic , Damian Campo , Mohamad Baydoun , Pablo Marin , David Martin , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

VAEs (Variational AutoEncoders) have proved to be powerful in the context of density modeling and have been used in a variety of contexts for creative purposes. In many settings, the data we model possesses continuous attributes that we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Gaëtan Hadjeres , Frank Nielsen , François Pachet

Machine Learning is becoming more prevalent in science and engineering, but many approaches do not provide meaningful uncertainty estimates and predictions may also violate known physical knowledge. We propose a Bayesian framework to embed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Matthew Marsh , Benoît Chachuat , Antonio del Rio Chanona

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are powerful generative models for learning latent representations. Standard VAEs generate dispersed and unstructured latent spaces by utilizing all dimensions, which limits their interpretability, especially…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Farshad Sangari Abiz , Reshad Hosseini , Babak N. Araabi

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Equivariant models leverage prior knowledge on symmetries to improve predictive performance, but misspecified architectural constraints can harm it instead. While work has explored learning or relaxing constraints, selecting among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans , Dharmesh Tailor , Erik J. Bekkers

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) - the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model - are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Bayesian active learning relies on the precise quantification of predictive uncertainty to explore unknown function landscapes. While Gaussian process surrogates are the standard for such tasks, an underappreciated fact is that their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Sanna Jarl , Maria Bånkestad , Jonathan J. S. Scragg , Jens Sjölund

A variety of algorithms have been proposed to address the power system state estimation problem in the presence of uncertainties in the data. However, less emphasis has been given to handling perturbations in the model. In the context of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Ayan Das , Anushka Sharma , Anamitra Pal

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian matrix-variate spatiotemporal modeling framework for jointly analyzing multiple response variables observed at spatial locations over time. The approach relaxes the standard assumption of spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Rodrigo de Souza Bulhões , Marina Silva Paez , Dani Gamerman

This paper presents a probabilistic approach to represent and quantify model-form uncertainties in the reduced-order modeling of complex systems using operator inference techniques. Such uncertainties can arise in the selection of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-08 Jin Yi Yong , Rudy Geelen , Johann Guilleminot

Sparse model identification enables nonlinear dynamical system discovery from data. However, the control of false discoveries for sparse model identification is challenging, especially in the low-data and high-noise limit. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-28 L. Mars Gao , Urban Fasel , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

This paper presents a Bayesian parameter estimation approach and identifiability analysis for a lithium-ion battery model, to determine the uniqueness, evaluate the sensitivity and quantify the uncertainty of a subset of the model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-04 Antti Aitio , Scott G. Marquis , Pedro Ascencio , David Howey

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are powerful generative models that have been widely used in various fields, including image and text generation. However, one of the known challenges in using VAEs is the model's sensitivity to its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Gabriela Sejnova , Michal Vavrecka , Karla Stepanova
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