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Estimating the joint distribution of on-road agents' future trajectories is essential for autonomous driving. In this technical report, we propose a next-generation framework for joint multi-agent trajectory prediction called QCNeXt. First,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Zikang Zhou , Zihao Wen , Jianping Wang , Yung-Hui Li , Yu-Kai Huang

Autonomous systems, like vehicles or robots, require reliable, accurate, fast, resource-efficient, scalable, and low-latency trajectory predictions to get initial knowledge about future locations and movements of surrounding objects for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Manuel Hetzel , Hannes Reichert , Konrad Doll , Bernhard Sick

Uncertainty-aware prediction is essential for safe motion planning, especially when using learned models to forecast the behavior of surrounding agents. Conformal prediction is a statistical tool often used to produce uncertainty-aware…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Allen Emmanuel Binny , Anushri Dixit

Autonomous driving requires an understanding of the static environment from sensor data. Learned Bird's-Eye View (BEV) encoders are commonly used to fuse multiple inputs, and a vector decoder predicts a vectorized map representation from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Thomas Monninger , Zihan Zhang , Zhipeng Mo , Md Zafar Anwar , Steffen Staab , Sihao Ding

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is the key technology in many applications for providing insights into human behavior and anticipating human future motions. Most existing empirical models are explicitly formulated by observed human…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Wei Xiang , Haoteng Yin , He Wang , Xiaogang Jin

Motion prediction of surrounding vehicles is one of the most important tasks handled by a self-driving vehicle, and represents a critical step in the autonomous system necessary to ensure safety for all the involved traffic actors. Recently…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Sai Yalamanchi , Tzu-Kuo Huang , Galen Clark Haynes , Nemanja Djuric

Motion planning in environments with multiple agents is critical to many important autonomous applications such as autonomous vehicles and assistive robots. This paper considers the problem of motion planning, where the controlled agent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Yuxiao Chen , Ugo Rosolia , Chuchu Fan , Aaron D. Ames , Richard Murray

Trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous vehicles. The planning system not only needs to know the current state of the surrounding objects but also their possible states in the future. As for vehicles, their trajectories are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Chenxu Luo , Lin Sun , Dariush Dabiri , Alan Yuille

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Deep-learning-based data-driven forecasting methods have produced impressive results for traffic forecasting. A major limitation of these methods, however, is that they provide forecasts without estimates of uncertainty, which are critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Jane Macfarlane

As the prediction horizon increases, predicting the future evolution of traffic scenes becomes increasingly difficult due to the multi-modal nature of agent motion. Most state-of-the-art (SotA) prediction models primarily focus on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Yue Yao , Mohamed-Khalil Bouzidi , Daniel Goehring , Joerg Reichardt

Motion prediction of vehicles is critical but challenging due to the uncertainties in complex environments and the limited visibility caused by occlusions and limited sensor ranges. In this paper, we study a new task, safety-aware motion…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Xuanchi Ren , Tao Yang , Li Erran Li , Alexandre Alahi , Qifeng Chen

We can use driving data collected over a long period of time to extract rich information about how vehicles behave in different areas of the roads. In this paper, we introduce the concept of directional primitives, which is a representation…

In order to enable high-quality decision making and motion planning of intelligent systems such as robotics and autonomous vehicles, accurate probabilistic predictions for surrounding interactive objects is a crucial prerequisite. Although…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-04-05 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Existing methods for anomaly detection often fall short due to their inability to handle the complexity, heterogeneity, and high dimensionality inherent in real-world mobility data. In this paper, we propose DeepBayesic, a novel framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Minxuan Duan , Yinlong Qian , Lingyi Zhao , Zihao Zhou , Zeeshan Rasheed , Rose Yu , Khurram Shafique

In order to plan a safe maneuver an autonomous vehicle must accurately perceive its environment, and understand the interactions among traffic participants. In this paper, we aim to learn scene-consistent motion forecasts of complex urban…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Sergio Casas , Cole Gulino , Simon Suo , Katie Luo , Renjie Liao , Raquel Urtasun

Motion prediction is a challenging problem in autonomous driving as it demands the system to comprehend stochastic dynamics and the multi-modal nature of real-world agent interactions. Diffusion models have recently risen to prominence, and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Jiahui Li , Tianle Shen , Zekai Gu , Jiawei Sun , Chengran Yuan , Yuhang Han , Shuo Sun , Marcelo H. Ang

Next generation Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) must reliably avoid moving obstacles. Existing dynamic collision avoidance methods are effective where obstacle trajectories are linear or known, but such restrictions are not accurate to many…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Vincent Kurtz , Hai Lin

Robust multi-agent trajectory prediction is essential for the safe control of robotic systems. A major challenge is to efficiently learn a representation that approximates the true joint distribution of contextual, social, and temporal…

Learned communication makes multi-agent systems more effective by aggregating distributed information. However, it also exposes individual agents to the threat of erroneous messages they might receive. In this paper, we study the setting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Nicholas Vadivelu , Mengye Ren , James Tu , Jingkang Wang , Raquel Urtasun