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Related papers: Combining exchangeable p-values

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We theoretically analyze the problem of testing for $p$-hacking based on distributions of $p$-values across multiple studies. We provide general results for when such distributions have testable restrictions (are non-increasing) under the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-13 Graham Elliott , Nikolay Kudrin , Kaspar Wuthrich

A common approach to evaluating the significance of a collection of $p$-values combines them with a pooling function, in particular when the original data are not available. These pooled $p$-values convert a sample of $p$-values into a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-15 Chris Salahub , Wayne Oldford

Quality statistical inference requires a sufficient amount of data, which can be missing or hard to obtain. To this end, prediction-powered inference has risen as a promising methodology, but existing approaches are largely limited to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

A recurring debate in the philosophy of statistics concerns what, exactly, should count as a measure of evidence for or against a given hypothesis. P-values, likelihood ratios, and Bayes factors all have their defenders. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas , Peter Grünwald

The relationship between the quality of a string, as judged by a human reader, and its probability, $p(\boldsymbol{y})$ under a language model undergirds the development of better language models. For example, many popular algorithms for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Naaman Tan , Josef Valvoda , Tianyu Liu , Anej Svete , Yanxia Qin , Kan Min-Yen , Ryan Cotterell

Classical results for exchangeable systems of random variables are extended to multi-class systems satisfying a natural partial exchangeability assumption. It is proved that the conditional law of a finite multi-class system, given the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-16 Carl Graham

A standard assumption in machine learning is the exchangeability of data, which is equivalent to assuming that the examples are generated from the same probability distribution independently. This paper is devoted to testing the assumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-29 Valentina Fedorova , Alex Gammerman , Ilia Nouretdinov , Vladimir Vovk

New versions of the set-valued average value at risk for multivariate risks are introduced by generalizing the well-known certainty equivalent representation to the set-valued case. The first "regulator" version is independent from any…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-22 Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff , Mihaela Yankova

Motivation: Combining the results of different experiments to exhibit complex patterns or to improve statistical power is a typical aim of data integration. The starting point of the statistical analysis often comes as sets of p-values…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-02 Tristan Mary-Huard , Sarmistha Das , Indranil Mukhopadhyay , Stéphane Robin

P-hacking is prevalent in reality but absent from classical hypothesis testing theory. As a consequence, significant results are much more common than they are supposed to be when the null hypothesis is in fact true. In this paper, we build…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-09 Adam McCloskey , Pascal Michaillat

Software packages usually report the results of statistical tests using p-values. Users often interpret these by comparing them to standard thresholds, e.g. 0.1%, 1% and 5%, which is sometimes reinforced by a star rating (***, **, *). We…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-05 Axel Gandy , Georg Hahn , Dong Ding

We consider statistical procedures for hypothesis testing of real valued functionals of matched pairs with missing values. In order to improve the accuracy of existing methods, we propose a novel multiplication combination procedure.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Lubna Amro , Frank Konietschke , Markus Pauly

We present a generalization of the maximal inequalities that upper bound the expectation of the maximum of $n$ jointly distributed random variables. We control the expectation of a randomly selected random variable from $n$ jointly…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Jiantao Jiao , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

We propose a simple method for combining together voting rules that performs a run-off between the different winners of each voting rule. We prove that this combinator has several good properties. For instance, even if just one of the base…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-15 Nina Narodytska , Toby Walsh , Lirong Xia

Real-world deployment of machine learning models is challenging because data evolves over time. While no model can work when data evolves in an arbitrary fashion, if there is some pattern to these changes, we might be able to design methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Rasool Fakoor , Jonas Mueller , Zachary C. Lipton , Pratik Chaudhari , Alexander J. Smola

In scientific studies involving analyses of multivariate data, basic but important questions often arise for the researcher: Is the sample exchangeable, meaning that the joint distribution of the sample is invariant to the ordering of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Alan J. Aw , Jeffrey P. Spence , Yun S. Song

With the growing size of data sets, feature selection becomes increasingly important. Taking interactions of original features into consideration will lead to extremely high dimension, especially when the features are categorical and…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Qiuqiang Lin , Chuanhou Gao

Combining dependent tests of significance has broad applications but the $p$-value calculation is challenging. Current moment-matching methods (e.g., Brown's approximation) for Fisher's combination test tend to significantly inflate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-04 Hong Zhang , Zheyang Wu

This article develops $p$-values for evaluating means of normal populations that make use of indirect or prior information. A $p$-value of this type is based on a biased test statistic that is optimal on average with respect to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-12 Peter D. Hoff

Verifying that a statistically significant result is scientifically meaningful is not only good scientific practice, it is a natural way to control the Type I error rate. Here we introduce a novel extension of the p-value - a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Jeffrey D. Blume , Lucy DAgostino McGowan , William D. Dupont , Robert A. Greevy
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