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It is important to predict how the Global Mean Temperature (GMT) will evolve in the next few decades. The ability to predict historical data is a necessary first step toward the actual goal of making long-range forecasts. This paper…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-14 Debdarsan Niyogi , J. Srinivasan

XGBoost, a scalable tree boosting algorithm, has proven effective for many prediction tasks of practical interest, especially using tabular datasets. Hyperparameter tuning can further improve the predictive performance, but unlike neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Sanyam Kapoor , Valerio Perrone

Gradient boosting for decision tree algorithms are increasingly used in actuarial applications as they show superior predictive performance over traditional generalised linear models. Many enhancements to the first gradient boosting machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-05 Dominik Chevalier , Marie-Pier Côté

Recent advances in numerical simulation methods based on physical models and their combination with machine learning have improved the accuracy of weather forecasts. However, the accuracy decreases in complex terrains such as mountainous…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Kazuma Iwase , Tomoyuki Takenawa

Obtaining a sufficient forecast lead time for local precipitation is essential in preventing hazardous weather events. Global warming-induced climate change increases the challenge of accurately predicting severe precipitation events, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Sojung An , Junha Lee , Jiyeon Jang , Inchae Na , Wooyeon Park , Sujeong You

Machine learning (ML) has shown significant promise in studying complex geophysical dynamical systems, including turbulence and climate processes. Such systems often display sensitive dependence on initial conditions, reflected in positive…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-09 Zhewen Hou , Jiajin Sun , Subashree Venkatasubramanian , Peter Jin , Shuolin Li , Tian Zheng

Gradient-boosted decision trees are among the strongest off-the-shelf predictors for tabular regression, but point predictions alone do not quantify uncertainty. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free marginal coverage, yet split…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Vagner Santos , Victor Coscrato , Luben Cabezas , Rafael Izbicki , Thiago Ramos

Forecasting global precipitation patterns and, in particular, extreme precipitation events is of critical importance to preparing for and adapting to climate change. Making accurate high-resolution precipitation forecasts using traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 James Duncan , Shashank Subramanian , Peter Harrington

This study aims to develop and improve machine learning-based post-processing models for precipitation, temperature, and wind speed predictions using the Mesoscale Model (MSM) dataset provided by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) for 18…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Kazuma Iwase , Tomoyuki Takenawa

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

The design and deployment of fifth-generation (5G) wireless networks pose significant challenges due to the increasing number of wireless devices. Path loss has a landmark importance in network performance optimization, and accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Ibrahim Yazıcı , Emre Gures

The rise of accurate machine learning methods for weather forecasting is creating radical new possibilities for modeling the atmosphere. In the time of climate change, having access to high-resolution forecasts from models like these is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

Land surface temperature (LST) is vital for land-atmosphere interactions and climate processes. Accurate LST retrieval remains challenging under heterogeneous land cover and extreme atmospheric conditions. Traditional split window (SW)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-08 Tian Xie , Huanfeng Shen , Menghui Jiang , Juan-Carlos Jiménez-Muñoz , José A. Sobrino , Huifang Li , Chao Zeng

Short-term prediction (nowcasting) of low-visibility and precipitation events is critical for aviation safety and operational efficiency. Current operational approaches rely on computationally intensive numerical weather prediction guidance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Marcelo Cerda Castillo

Internet service providers (ISPs) need to connect with other ISPs to provide global connectivity services to their users. To ensure global connectivity, ISPs can either use transit service(s) or establish direct peering relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Md Ibrahim Ibne Alam , Ankur Senapati , Anindo Mahmood , Murat Yuksel , Koushik Kar

A primary goal of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Warn-on-Forecast (WoF) project is to provide rapidly updating probabilistic guidance to human forecasters for short-term (e.g., 0-3 h) severe weather forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-12 Montgomery Flora , Corey K. Potvin , Patrick S. Skinner , Shawn Handler , Amy McGovern

Several methods have been proposed for correcting the elevation bias in digital elevation models (DEMs) for example, linear regression. Nowadays, supervised machine learning enables the modelling of complex relationships between variables,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Chukwuma Okolie , Adedayo Adeleke , Julian Smit , Jon Mills , Iyke Maduako , Caleb Ogbeta

Urgent applications like wildfire management and renewable energy generation require precise, localized weather forecasts near the Earth's surface. However, forecasts produced by machine learning models or numerical weather prediction…

Thermal errors in machine tools significantly impact machining precision and productivity. Traditional thermal error correction/compensation methods rely on measured temperature-deformation fields or on transfer functions. Most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 C. Coelho , M. Hohmann , D. Fernández , L. Penter , S. Ihlenfeldt , O. Niggemann

Using machine learning (ML), high performance computing, and a large body of geospatial information, we develop surrogate models to predict soil liquefaction across regional scales. Two sets of models - one global and one specific to New…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Morgan D. Sanger , Mertcan Geyin , Brett W. Maurer