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Empirical process theory for i.i.d. observations has emerged as a ubiquitous tool for understanding the generalization properties of various statistical problems. However, in many applications where the data exhibit temporal dependencies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Nabarun Deb , Debarghya Mukherjee

We consider a financial market in discrete time and study pricing and hedging conditional on the information available up to an arbitrary point in time. In this conditional framework, we determine the structure of arbitrage-free prices.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-15 Lars Niemann , Thorsten Schmidt

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

In this article we discuss the problem of calculating optimal model-independent (robust) bounds for the price of Asian options with discrete and continuous averaging. We will give geometric characterisations of the maximising and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-04 Florian Stebegg

In a discrete-time financial market, a generalized duality is established for model-free superhedging, given marginal distributions of the underlying asset. Contrary to prior studies, we do not require contingent claims to be upper…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-17 Arash Fahim , Yu-Jui Huang , Saeed Khalili

We consider as given a discrete time financial market with a risky asset and options written on that asset and determine both the sub- and super-hedging prices of an American option in the model independent framework of ArXiv:1305.6008. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Erhan Bayraktar , Yu-Jui Huang , Zhou Zhou

In this paper we develop numerical pricing methodologies for European style Exchange Options written on a pair of correlated assets, in a market with finite liquidity. In contrast to the standard multi-asset Black-Scholes framework, trading…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-16 Kevin S. Zhang , Traian A. Pirvu

We study a multiplicative transient price impact model for an illiquid financial market, where trading causes price impact which is multiplicative in relation to the current price, transient over time with finite rate of resilience, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Dirk Becherer , Todor Bilarev , Peter Frentrup

How to price and hedge claims on nontraded assets are becoming increasingly important matters in option pricing theory today. The most common practice to deal with these issues is to use another similar or "closely related" asset or index…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-28 Marcelo J. Villena , Axel A. Araneda

We propose an innovative data-driven option pricing methodology that relies exclusively on the dataset of historical underlying asset prices. While the dataset is rooted in the objective world, option prices are commonly expressed as…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-23 Min Dai , Hanqing Jin , Xi Yang

We propose three different data-driven approaches for pricing European-style call options using supervised machine-learning algorithms. These approaches yield models that give a range of fair prices instead of a single price point. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Anindya Goswami , Sharan Rajani , Atharva Tanksale

In this paper, we explore bounds on the expected risk when using deep neural networks for supervised classification from an information theoretic perspective. Firstly, we introduce model risk and fitting error, which are derived from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Binchuan Qi

We consider a multi-asset incomplete model of the financial market, where each of $m\geq 2$ risky assets follows the binomial dynamics, and no assumptions are made on the joint distribution of the risky asset price processes. We provide…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-09 Jarek Kędra , Assaf Libman , Victoria Steblovskaya

The key objective of this paper is to develop an empirical model for pricing SPX options that can be simulated over future paths of the SPX. To accomplish this, we formulate and rigorously evaluate several statistical models, including…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Alessio Brini , David A. Hsieh , Patrick Kuiper , Sean Moushegian , David Ye

We consider a two-asset non-linear model of option pricing in an environment where the correlation is not known precisely, but varies between two known values. First we discuss the non-negativity of the solution of the equation. Next, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Miglena N. Koleva , Lubin G. Vulkov

This manuscript introduces deep learning models that simultaneously describe the dynamics of several yield curves. We aim to learn the dependence structure among the different yield curves induced by the globalization of financial markets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 Ronald Richman , Salvatore Scognamiglio

Although evidence integration to the boundary model has successfully explained a wide range of behavioral and neural data in decision making under uncertainty, how animals learn and optimize the boundary remains unresolved. Here, we propose…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Jamal Esmaily , Rani Moran , Yasser Roudi , Bahador Bahrami

The paper studies sub and super-replication price bounds for contingent claims defined on general trajectory based market models. No prior probabilistic or topological assumptions are placed on the trajectory space, trading is assumed to…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-22 Ivan Degano , Sebastian Ferrando , Alfredo Gonzalez

We introduce two new particle-based algorithms for learning latent variable models via marginal maximum likelihood estimation, including one which is entirely tuning-free. Our methods are based on the perspective of marginal maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-04 Louis Sharrock , Daniel Dodd , Christopher Nemeth

In incomplete financial markets, pricing and hedging European options lack a unique no-arbitrage solution due to unhedgeable risks. This paper introduces a constrained deep learning approach to determine option prices and hedging strategies…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-27 Nicolas Baradel