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This paper addresses the unique challenges associated with uncertainty quantification in AI models when applied to patient-facing contexts within healthcare. Unlike traditional eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) methods tailored for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Adarsa Sivaprasad , Ehud Reiter

Uncertainty defines our age: it shapes climate, finance, technology, and society, yet remains profoundly misunderstood. We oscillate between the illusion of control and the paralysis of fatalism. This paper reframes uncertainty not as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-21 Didier Sornette

Establishing shared goals is a fundamental step in human-AI communication. However, ambiguities can lead to outputs that seem correct but fail to reflect the speaker's intent. In this paper, we explore this issue with a focus on the data…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Mert İnan , Anthony Sicilia , Alex Xie , Saujas Vaduguru , Daniel Fried , Malihe Alikhani

We develop a novel application of hybrid information divergences to analyze uncertainty in steady-state subsurface flow problems. These hybrid information divergences are non-intrusive, goal-oriented uncertainty quantification tools that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Eric Joseph Hall , Markos A. Katsoulakis

The Large language models (LLMs) have showcased superior capabilities in sophisticated tasks across various domains, stemming from basic question-answer (QA), they are nowadays used as decision assistants or explainers for unfamiliar…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Longchao Da , Tiejin Chen , Lu Cheng , Hua Wei

Election poll reporting often focuses on mean values and only subordinately discusses the underlying uncertainty. Subsequent interpretations are too often phrased as certain. Moreover, media coverage rarely adequately takes into account the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Alexander Bauer , André Klima , Jana Gauß , Hannah Kümpel , Andreas Bender , Helmut Küchenhoff

Despite the recent advances in open-domain dialogue systems, building a reliable evaluation metric is still a challenging problem. Recent studies proposed learnable metrics based on classification models trained to distinguish the correct…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-26 ChaeHun Park , Seungil Chad Lee , Daniel Rim , Jaegul Choo

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used in clinical settings, where sensitivity to linguistic uncertainty can influence diagnostic interpretation and decision-making. Yet little is known about where such epistemic cues are…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Srivarshinee Sridhar , Raghav Kaushik Ravi , Kripabandhu Ghosh

A new method is presented, that can help a person become aware of his or her unconscious preferences, and convey them to others in the form of verbal explanation. The method combines the concepts of reflection, visualization, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-09-28 Yoshiharu Maeno , Yukio Ohsawa

The ability to identify and resolve uncertainty is crucial for the robustness of a dialogue system. Indeed, this has been confirmed empirically on systems that utilise Bayesian approaches to dialogue belief tracking. However, such systems…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Carel van Niekerk , Andrey Malinin , Christian Geishauser , Michael Heck , Hsien-chin Lin , Nurul Lubis , Shutong Feng , Milica Gašić

The development of new methods and representations for temporal decision-making requires a principled basis for characterizing and measuring the flexibility of decision strategies in the face of uncertainty. Our goal in this paper is to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Tom Chavez , Ross D. Shachter

Nearly all statistical analyses that inform policy-making are based on imperfect data. As examples, the data may suffer from measurement errors, missing values, sample selection bias, or record linkage errors. Analysts have to decide how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-24 Adway S. Wadekar , Jerome P. Reiter

Input multimodality combining speech and hand gestures has motivated numerous usability studies. Contrastingly, issues relating to the design and ergonomic evaluation of multimodal output messages combining speech with visual modalities…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2007-09-05 Suzanne Kieffer , Noëlle Carbonell

Learning from different data views by exploring the underlying complementary information among them can endow the representation with stronger expressive ability. However, high-dimensional features tend to contain noise, and furthermore,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Yu Geng , Zongbo Han , Changqing Zhang , Qinghua Hu

Human dynamics is known to be inhomogeneous and bursty but the detailed understanding of the role of human factors in bursty dynamics is still lacking. In order to investigate their role we devise an agent-based model, where an agent in an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-01-06 Hang-Hyun Jo , Eunyoung Moon , Kimmo Kaski

Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly used to support prognosis in Alzheimer's disease (AD), but adoption remains limited due to a lack of transparency and interpretability, particularly for long-term predictions where uncertainty is…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jonatan Reyes , Mina Massoumi , Anil Ufuk Batmaz , Marta Kersten-Oertel

Temporal grounding aims to localize temporal boundaries within untrimmed videos by language queries, but it faces the challenge of two types of inevitable human uncertainties: query uncertainty and label uncertainty. The two uncertainties…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Hao Zhou , Chongyang Zhang , Yan Luo , Yanjun Chen , Chuanping Hu

Uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying reasoning language models, yet remains poorly understood under extended chain-of-thought reasoning. We study parallel sampling as a fully black-box approach using verbalized confidence and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Maksym Del , Markus Kängsepp , Marharyta Domnich , Ardi Tampuu , Lisa Yankovskaya , Meelis Kull , Mark Fishel

This paper investigates the role of text in visualizations, specifically the impact of text position, semantic content, and biased wording. Two empirical studies were conducted based on two tasks (predicting data trends and appraising bias)…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Chase Stokes , Cindy Xiong Bearfield , Marti A. Hearst

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in high-stakes settings, where overconfident responses can mislead users. Reliable confidence estimation has been shown to enhance trust and task accuracy. Yet existing methods face…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Linwei Tao , Yi-Fan Yeh , Bo Kai , Minjing Dong , Tao Huang , Tom A. Lamb , Jialin Yu , Philip H. S. Torr , Chang Xu
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