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Most scientific publications follow the familiar recipe of (i) obtain data, (ii) fit a model, and (iii) comment on the scientific relevance of the effects of particular covariates in that model. This approach, however, ignores the fact that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-08 Nicholas Kissel , Lucas Mentch

This paper studies estimation of linear panel regression models with heterogeneous coefficients, when both the regressors and the residual contain a possibly common, latent, factor structure. Our theory is (nearly) efficient, because based…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-03-01 Marco Avarucci , Paolo Zaffaroni

Robust MDPs (RMDPs) can be used to compute policies with provable worst-case guarantees in reinforcement learning. The quality and robustness of an RMDP solution are determined by the ambiguity set---the set of plausible transition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-21 Marek Petrik , Reazul Hasan Russell

We show that when a high-dimensional data matrix is the sum of a low-rank matrix and a random error matrix with independent entries, the low-rank component can be consistently estimated by solving a convex minimization problem. We develop a…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-14 Jushan Bai , Junlong Feng

In Big Data environment, one pressing challenge facing engineers is to perform reliability analysis for a large fleet of heterogeneous repairable systems with covariates. In addition to static covariates, which include time-invariant system…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-03 Xiao Liu , Rong Pan

Understanding the heterogeneity over spatial locations is an important problem that has been widely studied in many applications such as economics and environmental science. In this paper, we focus on regression models for spatial panel…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Tianyu Pan , Guanyu Hu , Weining Shen

Decision making under uncertainty is challenging since the data-generating process (DGP) is often unknown. Bayesian inference proceeds by estimating the DGP through posterior beliefs about the model's parameters. However, minimising the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-06 Charita Dellaporta , Patrick O'Hara , Theodoros Damoulas

Today, as increasingly complex predictive models are developed, simple rule sets remain a crucial tool to obtain interpretable predictions and drive high-stakes decision making. However, a single rule set provides a partial representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Martino Ciaperoni , Han Xiao , Aristides Gionis

Random projections (RP) are a popular tool for reducing dimensionality while preserving local geometry. In many applications the data set to be projected is given to us in advance, yet the current RP techniques do not make use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Nick Ryder , Zohar Karnin , Edo Liberty

In this paper, we focus on exploiting the group structure for large-dimensional factor models, which captures the homogeneous effects of common factors on individuals within the same group. In view of the fact that datasets in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Yong He , Xiaoyang Ma , Xingheng Wang , Yalin Wang

Stochastic partition models divide a multi-dimensional space into a number of rectangular regions, such that the data within each region exhibit certain types of homogeneity. Due to the nature of their partition strategy, existing partition…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-12 Xuhui Fan , Bin Li , Scott Anthony Sisson

Partition-wise models offer a flexible approach for modeling complex and multidimensional data that are capable of producing interpretable results. They are based on partitioning the observed data into regions, each of which is modeled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-07 Rex C. Y. Cheung , Alexander Aue , Thomas C. M. Lee

Variation in the evolutionary process across the sites of nucleotide sequence alignments is well established, and is an increasingly pervasive feature of datasets composed of gene regions sampled from multiple loci and/or different genomes.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-04 Brian R. Moore , Jim McGuire , Fredrik Ronquist , John P. Huelsenbeck

The logistic specification has been used extensively in non-Bayesian statistics to model the dependence of discrete outcomes on the values of specified covariates. Because the likelihood function is globally weakly concave estimation by…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-17 John Geweke , Garland Durham , Huaxin Xu

Big data sets must be carefully partitioned into statistically similar data subsets that can be used as representative samples for big data analysis tasks. In this paper, we propose the random sample partition (RSP) data model to represent…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Salman Salloum , Yulin He , Joshua Zhexue Huang , Xiaoliang Zhang , Tamer Z. Emara , Chenghao Wei , Heping He

Modern regression applications can involve hundreds or thousands of variables which motivates the use of variable selection methods. Bayesian variable selection defines a posterior distribution on the possible subsets of the variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 J. E. Griffin

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

It is almost always easier to find an accurate-but-complex model than an accurate-yet-simple model. Finding optimal, sparse, accurate models of various forms (linear models with integer coefficients, decision sets, rule lists, decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Lesia Semenova , Cynthia Rudin , Ronald Parr

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

Bayesian inference provides a uniquely rigorous approach to obtain principled justification for uncertainty in predictions, yet it is difficult to articulate suitably general prior belief in the machine learning context, where computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-04 Jed A. Duersch , Thomas A. Catanach