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This paper investigates the enhancement of financial time series forecasting with the use of neural networks through supervised autoencoders (SAE), to improve investment strategy performance. Using the Sharpe and Information Ratios, it…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-03 Bartosz Bieganowski , Robert Ślepaczuk

The introduction of electronic trading platforms effectively changed the organisation of traditional systemic trading from quote-driven markets into order-driven markets. Its convenience led to an exponentially increasing amount of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Yanqing Ma , Carmine Ventre , Maria Polukarov

In this paper we introduce a method for significantly improving the signal to noise ratio in financial data. The approach relies on combining a target variable with different context variables and use auto-encoders (AEs) to learn…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-13 Matthias J. Feiler

We present a large scale benchmark of modern deep learning architectures for a financial time series prediction and position sizing task, with a primary focus on Sharpe ratio optimization. Evaluating linear models, recurrent networks,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Adir Saly-Kaufmann , Kieran Wood , Jan Peter-Calliess , Stefan Zohren

In the financial risk domain, particularly in credit default prediction and fraud detection, accurate identification of high-risk class instances is paramount, as their occurrence can have significant economic implications. Although machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Xu Sun , Zixuan Qin , Shun Zhang , Yuexian Wang , Li Huang

There are inefficiencies in financial markets, with unexploited patterns in price, volume, and cross-sectional relationships. While many approaches use large-scale transformers, we take a domain-focused path: feed-forward and recurrent…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Sid Ghatak , Arman Khaledian , Navid Parvini , Nariman Khaledian

Data augmentation methods in combination with deep neural networks have been used extensively in computer vision on classification tasks, achieving great success; however, their use in time series classification is still at an early stage.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-29 Elizabeth Fons , Paula Dawson , Xiao-jun Zeng , John Keane , Alexandros Iosifidis

Financial time-series forecasting has long been a challenging problem because of the inherently noisy and stochastic nature of the market. In the High-Frequency Trading (HFT), forecasting for trading purposes is even a more challenging task…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj

This paper leverages machine learning algorithms to forecast and analyze financial time series. The process begins with a denoising autoencoder to filter out random noise fluctuations from the main contract price data. Then, one-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Zhuohuan Hu , Richard Yu , Zizhou Zhang , Haoran Zheng , Qianying Liu , Yining Zhou

AutoAugment has sparked an interest in automated augmentation methods for deep learning models. These methods estimate image transformation policies for train data that improve generalization to test data. While recent papers evolved in the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-15 Denis Gudovskiy , Luca Rigazio , Shun Ishizaka , Kazuki Kozuka , Sotaro Tsukizawa

Predicting earnings surprises from financial documents, such as earnings conference calls, regulatory filings, and financial news, has become increasingly important in financial economics. However, these financial documents present…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-08 Huopu Zhang , Yanguang Liu , Miao Zhang , Zirui He , Mengnan Du

Stock markets exhibit regime-dependent behavior where prediction models optimized for stable conditions often fail during volatile periods. Existing approaches typically treat all market states uniformly or require manual regime labeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Mohammad Al Ridhawi , Mahtab Haj Ali , Hussein Al Osman

Financial market analysis, especially the prediction of movements of stock prices, is a challenging problem. The nature of financial time-series data, being non-stationary and nonlinear, is the main cause of these challenges. Deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Mostafa Shabani , Alexandros Iosifidis

This study presents an unsupervised machine learning approach for optimizing Profit and Loss (PnL) in quantitative finance. Our algorithm, akin to an unsupervised variant of linear regression, maximizes the Sharpe Ratio of PnL generated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-12 Pierre Renucci

In recent years, deep or reinforcement learning approaches have been applied to optimise investment portfolios through learning the spatial and temporal information under the dynamic financial market. Yet in most cases, the existing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-16 Zhenglong Li , Vincent Tam

Modern high-frequency trading (HFT) environments are characterized by sudden price spikes that present both risk and opportunity, but conventional financial models often fail to capture the required fine temporal structure. Spiking Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Brian Ezinwoke , Oliver Rhodes

Full electronic automation in stock exchanges has recently become popular, generating high-frequency intraday data and motivating the development of near real-time price forecasting methods. Machine learning algorithms are widely applied to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-29 Xuekui Zhang , Yuying Huang , Ke Xu , Li Xing

This study applies machine learning to predict S&P 500 membership changes: key events that profoundly impact investor behavior and market dynamics. Quarterly data from WRDS datasets (2013 onwards) was used, incorporating features such as…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Vidhi Agrawal , Eesha Khalid , Tianyu Tan , Doris Xu

Although conventional machine learning algorithms have been widely adopted for stock-price predictions in recent years, the massive volume of specific labeled data required are not always available. In contrast, meta-learning technology…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Shin-Hung Chang , Cheng-Wen Hsu , Hsing-Ying Li , Wei-Sheng Zeng , Jan-Ming Ho

Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction costs. Standard predict-then-optimize methods first forecast returns and then solve for weights,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Rahul Fernandes , Travis Desell
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