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The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

This paper derives a unifying theorem establishing consistency results for a broad class of tree-based algorithms. It improves current results in two aspects. First of all, it can be applied to algorithms that vary from traditional Random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-22 Ricardo Blum , Munir Hiabu , Enno Mammen , Joseph T. Meyer

Under-bagging (UB), which combines under-sampling and bagging, is a popular ensemble learning method for training classifiers on an imbalanced data. Using bagging to reduce the increased variance caused by the reduction in sample size due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-19 Takashi Takahashi

Regression trees have emerged as a preeminent tool for solving real-world regression problems due to their ability to deal with nonlinearities, interaction effects and sharp discontinuities. In this article, we rather study regression trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-14 Nathan Wycoff

This paper presents a new approach for trees-based regression, such as simple regression tree, random forest and gradient boosting, in settings involving correlated data. We show the problems that arise when implementing standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-09 Assaf Rabinowicz , Saharon Rosset

Feature subsampling is a core component of random forests and other ensemble methods. While recent theory suggests that this randomization acts solely as a variance reduction mechanism analogous to ridge regularization, these results…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Xin Chen , Jason M. Klusowski , Yan Shuo Tan , Chang Yu

Bagging, a powerful ensemble method from machine learning, improves the performance of unstable predictors. Although the power of Bagging has been shown mostly in classification problems, we demonstrate the success of employing Bagging in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-03 Luoluo Liu , Sang Peter Chin , Trac D. Tran

Consider a number of workers running SGD independently on the same pool of data and averaging the models every once in a while -- a common but not well understood practice. We study model averaging as a variance-reducing mechanism and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-24 Jian Zhang , Christopher De Sa , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Christopher Ré

In recent years, gradient boosted decision trees have become popular in building robust machine learning models on big data. The primary technique that has enabled these algorithms success has been distributing the computation while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Vignesh Nanda Kumar , Narayanan U Edakunni

Several studies have shown that combining machine learning models in an appropriate way will introduce improvements in the individual predictions made by the base models. The key to make well-performing ensemble model is in the diversity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu

A core step of every algorithm for learning regression trees is the selection of the best splitting variable from the available covariates and the corresponding split point. Early tree algorithms (e.g., AID, CART) employed greedy search…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-26 Lisa Schlosser , Torsten Hothorn , Achim Zeileis

Tree-boosting is a widely used machine learning technique for tabular data. However, its out-of-sample accuracy is critically dependent on multiple hyperparameters. In this article, we empirically compare several popular methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Floris Jan Koster , Fabio Sigrist

Recent works have proposed optimal subsampling algorithms to improve computational efficiency in large datasets and to design validation studies in the presence of measurement error. Existing approaches generally fall into two categories:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Jasper B. Yang , Thomas Lumley , Bryan E. Shepherd , Pamela A. Shaw

S{\o}gaard (2020) obtained results suggesting the fraction of trees occurring in the test data isomorphic to trees in the training set accounts for a non-trivial variation in parser performance. Similar to other statistical analyses in NLP,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Mark Anderson , Anders Søgaard , Carlos Gómez Rodríguez

Despite the constant development of new bias mitigation methods for machine learning, no method consistently succeeds, and a fundamental question remains unanswered: when and why do bias mitigation techniques fail? In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Anissa Alloula , Charles Jones , Ben Glocker , Bartłomiej W. Papież

Neural networks have seen an explosion of usage and research in the past decade, particularly within the domains of computer vision and natural language processing. However, only recently have advancements in neural networks yielded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Jacob Renn , Ian Sotnek , Benjamin Harvey , Brian Caffo

Global optimization of decision trees has shown to be promising in terms of accuracy, size, and consequently human comprehensibility. However, many of the methods used rely on general-purpose solvers for which scalability remains an issue.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Jacobus G. M. van der Linden , Mathijs M. de Weerdt , Emir Demirović

We propose a modification that corrects for split-improvement variable importance measures in Random Forests and other tree-based methods. These methods have been shown to be biased towards increasing the importance of features with more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-25 Zhengze Zhou , Giles Hooker

Sub-sampling is a common and often effective method to deal with the computational challenges of large datasets. However, for most statistical models, there is no well-motivated approach for drawing a non-uniform subsample. We show that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-07 Daniel Ting , Eric Brochu

This work investigates the ``small-vs-large gap'', where repeating on fewer samples can lead to compute saving during training compared to using a larger dataset. This is observed across algorithmic tasks, architectures and optimizers and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jingwen Liu , Ezra Edelman , Surbhi Goel , Bingbin Liu