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Related papers: Radiative forcing by super-volcano eruptions

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We determine the volcano climate sensitivity and response time for the Mount Pinatubo eruption. This is achieved using observational measurements of the temperature anomalies of the lower troposphere and the aerosol optical density (AOD) in…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-26 David H. Douglass , Robert S. Knox

The June 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption resulted in a massive increase of sulfate aerosols in the atmosphere, absorbing radiation and leading to global changes in surface and stratospheric temperatures. A volcanic eruption of this magnitude…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-04 Robert Garrett , Lyndsay Shand , J. Gabriel Huerta

Significant events, such as volcanic eruptions, can have global and long-lasting impacts on climate. These global impacts, however, are not uniform across space and time. Understanding how the Mt. Pinatubo eruption affects global and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-13 Samantha Shi-Jun , Lyndsay Shand , Bo Li

This paper presents the development of a new entropy-based feature selection method for identifying and quantifying impacts. Here, impacts are defined as statistically significant differences in spatio-temporal fields when comparing…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-27 Jerry Watkins , Luca Bertagna , Graham Harper , Andrew Steyer , Irina Tezaur , Diana Bull

We investigate the temporal evolution of ocean heat uptake efficiency (OHUE) using observations and large ensemble model simulations. OHUE, defined as the ratio of the rate in ocean heat uptake to changes in global mean surface temperature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Jia-Rui Shi , Laure Zanna , Alistair Adcroft

Recent Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled General Circulation Model (AOGCM) simulations of the twentieth century climate, which account for anthropogenic and natural forcings, make it possible to study the origin of long-term temperature correlations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Dmitry Vyushin , Igor Zhidkov , Shlomo Havlin , Armin Bunde , Stephen Brenner

In environmental and climate data, there is often an interest in determining if and when changes occur in a system. Such changes may result from localized sources in space and time like a volcanic eruption or climate geoengineering events.…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-14 Drew Yarger , J. Derek Tucker

Context: Molecular data of extreme environments, such as Arp 220, but also NGC 253, show evidence for extremely high cosmic ray (CR) rates (10^3-10^4 * Milky Way) and mechanical heating from supernova driven turbulence. Aims: The…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 R. Meijerink , M. Spaans , A. F. Loenen , P. P. van der Werf

Several complicated non-linear models exist which simulate the physical processes leading to fluctuations in global climate. Some of these more advanced models use observations to constrain various parameters involved. However, they tend to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-27 Rajashik Tarafder , Dibyendu Nandy

Although the scientific principles of anthropogenic climate change are well-established, existing calculations of the warming effect of carbon dioxide rely on spectral absorption databases, which obscures the physical foundations of the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-01-30 Robin Wordsworth , Jacob Seeley , Keith Shine

Regional climate change in the $21^{st}$ century will result from the interplay between human-induced changes and internal climate variability. Competing effects from greenhouse gas warming and aerosol cooling have historically caused…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Raphaël Hébert , Thomas Laepple

A linearized energy-balance model for global temperature is formulated, featuring a scale-free long-range memory (LRM) response and stochastic forcing representing the influence on the ocean heat reservoir from atmospheric weather systems.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-16 Martin Rypdal , Kristoffer Rypdal

Extreme events provide relevant insights into the dynamics of climate and their understanding is key for mitigating the impact of climate variability and climate change. By applying large deviation theory to a state-of-the-art Earth system…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-04 Vera Melinda Galfi , Valerio Lucarini

Higher concentrations of atmospheric nitrous oxide (N2O) are expected to slightly warm Earth's surface because of increases in radiative forcing. Radiative forcing is the difference in the net upward thermal radiation flux from the Earth…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-30 C. A. de Lange , J. D. Ferguson , W. Happer , W. A. van Wijngaarden

This paper is a continuation of a study by Douglass and Clader. We extend the analysis through December 2003 using the latest updates of the observational temperature and solar irradiance data sets in addition to a new volcano proxy data…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 David H. Douglass , B. David Clader , Robert S. Knox

The Great Oxidation Event was a period during which Earth's atmospheric oxygen (O$_2$) concentrations increased from $\sim 10^{-5}$ times its present atmospheric level (PAL) to near modern levels, marking the start of the Proterozoic…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-28 Gregory Cooke , Dan Marsh , Catherine Walsh , Sarah Rugheimer , Geronimo Villanueva

This paper investigates the implications of the future continuation of the demonstrated past (1960-2012) strong correlation between first-difference atmospheric CO2 and global surface temperature. It does this, for the period from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-04-30 L. M. W Leggett , D. A. Ball

The geology of Earth and super-Earth sized planets will, in many cases, only be observable via their atmospheres. Here, we investigate secondary volcanic atmospheres as a key base case of how atmospheres may reflect planetary geochemistry.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Philippa Liggins , Sean Jordan , Paul B. Rimmer , Oliver Shorttle

The advanced rheological models of Andrade (1910) and Sundberg & Cooper (2010) are compared to the traditional Maxwell model to understand how each affects the tidal dissipation of heat within rocky bodies. We find both the Andrade and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-23 Joe P. Renaud , Wade G. Henning

We present an alternative method of calculating the historical effective radiative forcing using the observed temperature record and a kernel based on the CMIP5 temperature response. This estimate is the effective radiative forcing time…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-02-26 E. J. L. Larson , R. W. Portmann , S. Solomon , D. M. Murphy
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