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Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty information of wind generation for power system operation and control. As the complicated characteristics of wind power prediction error, it would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-14 You Lin , Ming Yang , Can Wan , Jianhui Wang , Yonghua Song

The increasing penetration of renewable generation introduces uncertainty into power systems, challenging traditional deterministic optimization methods. Chance-constrained optimization offers an approach to balancing cost and risk;…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Amir Bahador Javadi , Amin Kargarian

Ensuring safe navigation in human-populated environments is crucial for autonomous mobile robots. Although recent advances in machine learning offer promising methods to predict human trajectories in crowded areas, it remains unclear how…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Kanghyun Ryu , Negar Mehr

Financial portfolios are often optimized for maximum profit while subject to a constraint formulated in terms of the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). This amounts to solving a linear problem. However, in its original formulation this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-08-13 Georg Hofmann

In this paper a class of combinatorial optimization problems is discussed. It is assumed that a solution can be constructed in two stages. The current first-stage costs are precisely known, while the future second-stage costs are only known…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-12-20 Marc Goerigk , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Parameter estimation, which represents a classical inverse problem, is often ill-posed as different parameter combinations can yield identical outputs. This non-uniqueness poses a critical barrier to accurate and unique identification. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Feiqin Zhu , Dmitrii Torbunov , Zhongjing Jiang , Tianqiao Zhao , Amirthagunaraj Yogarathnam , Yihui Ren , Meng Yue

This paper considers a risk-constrained motion planning problem and aims to find the solution combining the concepts of iterative model predictive control (MPC) and data-driven distributionally robust (DR) risk-constrained optimization. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Alireza Zolanvari , Ashish Cherukuri

Uncertainty analysis in the outcomes of model predictions is a key element in decision-based material design to establish confidence in the models and evaluate the fidelity of models. Uncertainty Propagation (UP) is a technique to determine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Danial Khatamsaz , Vahid Attari , Raymundo Arroyave , Douglas L. Allaire

This article develops a new algorithm named TTRISK to solve high-dimensional risk-averse optimization problems governed by differential equations (ODEs and/or PDEs) under uncertainty. As an example, we focus on the so-called Conditional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-02 Harbir Antil , Sergey Dolgov , Akwum Onwunta

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is widely used to account for the preferences of a risk-averse agent in the extreme loss scenarios. To study the effectiveness of randomization in interdiction games with an interdictor that is both risk and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Utsav Sadana , Erick Delage

In a chance constrained program (CCP), the decision-makers aim to seek the best decision whose probability of violating the uncertainty constraints is within the prespecified risk level. As a CCP is often nonconvex and is difficult to solve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Nan Jiang , Weijun Xie

Various applications involve assigning discrete label values to a collection of objects based on some pairwise noisy data. Due to the discrete---and hence nonconvex---structure of the problem, computing the optimal assignment (e.g.~maximum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-11 Yuxin Chen , Emmanuel Candes

Computing tight over-approximation of reach sets of a controlled uncertain dynamical system is a common practice in verification of safety-critical cyber-physical systems (CPS). While several algorithms are available for this purpose, they…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-16 Shadi Haddad , Abhishek Halder

Existing metrics in competing risks survival analysis such as concordance and accuracy do not evaluate a model's ability to jointly predict the event type and the event time. To address these limitations, we propose a new metric, which we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Kartik Ahuja , Mihaela van der Schaar

Iterative trajectory optimization techniques for non-linear dynamical systems are among the most powerful and sample-efficient methods of model-based reinforcement learning and approximate optimal control. By leveraging time-variant local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-01 Onur Celik , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a widely used risk metric in applications such as finance. We derive concentration bounds for CVaR estimates, considering separately the cases of light-tailed and heavy-tailed distributions. In the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Prashanth L. A. , Krishna Jagannathan , Ravi Kumar Kolla

This work estimates the position and the transmit power of multiple co-channel wireless transmitters under model uncertainties. The model uncertainties include the number of the targets and the parameters of the path-loss model which enable…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Ehsan Zandi , Rudolf Mathar

With rapid integration of power sources with uncertainty, robustness must be carefully considered in the transmission constrained unit commitment (TCUC) problem. The overall computational complexity of the robust TCUC methods is closely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Xuan Li , Qiaozhu Zhai , Xiaohong Guan

This paper addresses the problem of navigation control of a general class of uncertain nonlinear multi-agent systems in a bounded workspace of $\mathbb{R}^n$ with static obstacles. In particular, we propose a decentralized control protocol…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Alexandros Filotheou , Alexandros Nikou , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

Power systems Unit Commitment (UC) problem determines the generator commitment schedule and dispatch decisions for power networks based on forecasted electricity demand. However, with the increasing penetration of renewables and stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-13 Xuan He , Jiayu Tian , Yufan Zhang , Honglin Wen , Yize Chen
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