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Deep learning models for precipitation forecasting often function as black boxes, limiting their adoption in real-world weather prediction. To enhance transparency while maintaining accuracy, we developed an interpretable deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Tanmay Ghosh , Shaurabh Anand , Rakesh Gomaji Nannewar , Nithin Nagaraj

Accurate short range weather forecasting has significant implications for various sectors. Machine learning based approaches, e.g., deep learning, have gained popularity in this domain where the existing numerical weather prediction (NWP)…

Rainfall prediction at the kilometre-scale up to a few hours in the future is key for planning and safety. But it is challenging given the complex influence of climate change on cloud processes and the limited skill of weather models at…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-08 S. Moran , B. Demir , F. Serva , B. Le Saux

Accurate rainfall forecasting is critical because it has a great impact on people's social and economic activities. Recent trends on various literatures show that Deep Learning (Neural Network) is a promising methodology to tackle many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-08 Seongchan Kim , Seungkyun Hong , Minsu Joh , Sa-kwang Song

Extreme rainfall over the Indian monsoon region poses severe societal and infrastructural risks but remains difficult to predict at daily time scales due to stochastic convective triggering and multiscale atmospheric interactions. While…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Arun Govind Neelan

Accurate rainfall forecasting is crucial for effective disaster preparedness and mitigation in the North-East region of India, which is prone to extreme weather events such as floods and landslides. In this study, we investigated the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Paleti Nikhil Chowdary , Sathvika P , Pranav U , Rohan S , Sowmya V , Gopalakrishnan E A , Dhanya M

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) is a critical climate phenomenon, fundamentally impacting the agriculture, economy, and water security of over a billion people. Traditional long-range forecasting, whether statistical or dynamical, has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Parashjyoti Borah , Sanghamitra Sarkar , Ranjan Phukan

Downscaling is necessary to generate high-resolution observation data to validate the climate model forecast or monitor rainfall at the micro-regional level operationally. Dynamical and statistical downscaling models are often used to get…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-28 Bipin Kumar , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Manmeet Singh , Niraj Chaudhari , Karthik Kodari , Amit Barve

Rainfall is a natural process which is of utmost importance in various areas including water cycle, ground water recharging, disaster management and economic cycle. Accurate prediction of rainfall intensity is a challenging task and its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Vikas Bajpai , Anukriti Bansal , Kshitiz Verma , Sanjay Agarwal

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

Numerical weather forecasting using high-resolution physical models often requires extensive computational resources on supercomputers, which diminishes their wide usage in most real-life applications. As a remedy, applying deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Selim Furkan Tekin , Arda Fazla , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

Accurate monsoon rainfall prediction is vital for India's agriculture, water management, and climate risk planning, yet remains challenging due to sparse ground observations and complex regional variability. We present a multimodal deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Swaib Ilias Mazumder , Manish Kumar , Aparajita Khan

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), is widely used in precipitation forecasting, based on complex equations of atmospheric motion requires supercomputers to infer the state of the atmosphere. Due to the complexity of the task and the huge…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-10 Xinyu Xiao , Qiuming Kuang , Shiming Xiang , Junnan Hu , Chunhong Pan

Importance of monsoon rainfall cannot be ignored as it affects round the year activities ranging from agriculture to industrial. Accurate rainfall estimation and prediction is very helpful in decision making in the sectors of water resource…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Vikas Bajpai , Anukriti Bansal

Recently, flood damage has become a social problem owing to unexperienced weather conditions arising from climate change. An immediate response to heavy rain is important for the mitigation of economic losses and also for rapid recovery.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Takato Yasuno , Akira Ishii , Masazumi Amakata

Rain precipitation prediction is a challenging task as it depends on weather and meteorological features which vary from location to location. As a result, a prediction model that performs well at one location does not perform well at other…

Thunderstorms have significant social and economic impacts due to heavy precipitation, hail, lightning, and strong winds, necessitating reliable forecasts. Thunderstorm forecasts based on numerical weather prediction (NWP) often rely on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-12 Kianusch Vahid Yousefnia , Christoph Metzl , Tobias Bölle

An unresolved problem of present generation coupled climate models is the realistic distribution of rainfall over Indian monsoon region, which is also related to the persistent dry bias over Indian land mass. Therefore, quantitative…

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