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An expanded family of mixtures of multivariate power exponential distributions is introduced. While fitting heavy-tails and skewness has received much attention in the model-based clustering literature recently, we investigate the use of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-15 Utkarsh J. Dang , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

Covariate shift relaxes the widely-employed independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption by allowing different training and testing input distributions. Unfortunately, common methods for addressing covariate shift by trying to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-02 Anqi Liu , Brian D. Ziebart

Matrix-variate distributions can intuitively model the dependence structure of matrix-valued observations that arise in applications with multivariate time series, spatio-temporal or repeated measures. This paper develops an…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-24 Geoffrey Z. Thompson , Ranjan Maitra , William Q. Meeker , Ashraf Bastawros

We examine a distributional fixed-point equation related to a multi-type branching process that is key in the cluster sizes analysis of multivariate heavy-tailed Hawkes processes. Specifically, we explore the tail behavior of its solution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Xingyu Wang , Bert Zwart

This article brings in two new discrete distributions: multidimensional Binomial distribution and multidimensional Poisson distribution. Those distributions were created in eventology as more correct generalizations of Binomial and Poisson…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2011-02-23 Oleg Yu. Vorobyev , Lavrentiy S. Golovkov

Categorical data are often observed as counts resulting from a fixed number of trials in which each trial consists of making one selection from a prespecified set of categories. The multinomial distribution serves as a standard model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Darcy Steeg Morris , Andrew M. Raim , Kimberly F. Sellers

In the paper, multivariate probability distributions are considered that are representable as scale mixtures of multivariate elliptically contoured stable distributions. It is demonstrated that these distributions form a special subclass of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman

Normalising flows are tractable probabilistic models that leverage the power of deep learning to describe a wide parametric family of distributions, all while remaining trainable using maximum likelihood. We discuss how these methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Simon Alexanderson , Gustav Eje Henter

We consider a family of multivariate distributions with heavy-tailed margins and the type I elliptical dependence structure. This class of risks is common in finance, insurance, environmental and biostatistic applications. We obtain the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Kai Wang , Chengxiu Ling

Circular variables arise in a multitude of data-modelling contexts ranging from robotics to the social sciences, but they have been largely overlooked by the machine learning community. This paper partially redresses this imbalance by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-10 Alexandre K. W. Navarro , Jes Frellsen , Richard E. Turner

A new three-parameter cumulative distribution function defined on $(\alpha,\infty)$, for some $\alpha\geq0$, with asymmetric probability density function and showing exponential decays at its both tails, is introduced. The new distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-28 Meitner Cadena

In this paper we introduce and study the class of multivariate strong and strongly subexponential distributions. Some first properties are verified, as for example a type of multivariate analogue of Kesten's inequality, the closure property…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Charalampos D. Passalidis

We propose a flexible family of distributions, generalized $t$-distributions, on the cylinder which is obtained as a conditional distribution of a trivariate $t$ distribution. The new distribution has unimodality or bimodality, symmetry or…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-20 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kunio Shimizu , Shogo Kato

A phase-type distribution is the distribution of the time until absorption in a finite state-space time-homogeneous Markov jump process, with one absorbing state and the rest being transient. These distributions are mathematically tractable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-08 Martin Bladt , Jorge Yslas

We show that a simple mechanistic model of spatial dispersal for settling organisms, subject to parameter variability, can generate heavy-tailed radial probability density functions. The movement of organisms in the model consists of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-23 Luis F. Gordillo , Priscilla E. Greenwood

Handling multiplicity without losing much power has been a persistent challenge in various fields that often face the necessity of managing numerous statistical tests simultaneously. Recently, $p$-value combination methods based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Yeonwoo Rho

We develop an econometric framework integrating heavy-tailed Student's $t$ distributions with behavioral probability weighting while preserving infinite divisibility. Using 432{,}752 observations across 86 assets (2004--2024), we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-21 Akash Deep , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

We obtain concentration and large deviation for the sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with heavy-tailed distributions. Our concentration results are concerned with random variables whose distributions satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Milad Bakhshizadeh , Arian Maleki , Victor H. de la Pena

Based on a recent development in the area of error control coding, we introduce the notion of convolutional factor graphs (CFGs) as a new class of probabilistic graphical models. In this context, the conventional factor graphs are referred…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Yongyi Mao , Frank Kschischang , Brendan J. Frey

In this paper, the multivariate tail covariance (MTCov) for generalized skew-elliptical distributions is considered. Some special cases for this distribution, such as generalized skew-normal, generalized skew student-t, generalized…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-10 Baishuai Zuo , Chuancun Yin