Related papers: Estimating sample paths of Gauss-Markov processes …
In many applications, the common assumption that a driving noise process affecting a system is independent or Markovian may not be realistic, but the noise process may be assumed to be stationary. To study such problems, this paper…
The abundance of data produced daily from large variety of sources has boosted the need of novel approaches on causal inference analysis from observational data. Observational data often contain noisy or missing entries. Moreover, causal…
In this paper, we introduce and study McKean-Vlasov processes of bridge type. Specifically, we examine a stochastic differential equation (SDE) of the form: $$\mathrm{d} \xi_t=-\mu(t,\mathbb{E}[\varphi_1(\xi_t)]) \frac{\xi_t}{T-t}…
Standard GPs offer a flexible modelling tool for well-behaved processes. However, deviations from Gaussianity are expected to appear in real world datasets, with structural outliers and shocks routinely observed. In these cases GPs can fail…
We present the first framework for Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes when the temporal data appear in the form of panel counts. Panel count data frequently arise when experimental subjects are observed only at discrete time…
In this paper we propose the first non-parametric Bayesian model using Gaussian Processes to make inference on Poisson Point Processes without resorting to gridding the domain or to introducing latent thinning points. Unlike competing…
We present a review of some recent results on estimation of location parameter for several models of observations with cusp-type singularity at the change point. We suppose that the cusp-type models fit better to the real phenomena…
U-statistics of spatial point processes given by a density with respect to a Poisson process are investigated. In the first half of the paper general relations are derived for the moments of the functionals using kernels from the Wiener-Ito…
The estimation of the covariance structure from a discretely observed multivariate Gaussian process under asynchronicity and noise is analysed under high-frequency asymptotics. Asymptotic lower and upper bounds are established for a general…
Large classes of multi-dimensional Gaussian processes can be enhanced with stochastic Levy area(s). In a previous paper, we gave sufficient and essentially necessary conditions, only involving variational properties of the covariance.…
The problems of the construction of the asymptotically distribution free goodness-of-fit tests for three models of stochastic processes are considered. The null hypothesis for all models is composite parametric. All tests are based on the…
In this paper, we develop two stochastic models where the variable under consideration follows Harris distribution. The mean and variance of the processes are derived and the processes are shown to be non-stationary. In the second model,…
The aim of this study is to extend the scope and applicability of the level-crossing method to discrete-time stochastic processes and generalize it to enable us to study multiple discrete-time stochastic processes. In previous versions of…
We propose a stochastic process for stock movements that, with just one source of Brownian noise, has an instantaneous volatility that rises from a type of statistical feedback across many time scales. This results in a stationary…
The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method…
We consider the class of selfsimilar Gaussian generalized random fields introduced by Dobrushin in 1979. These fields are indexed by Schwartz functions on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and parametrized by a self-similarity index and the degree of…
We revisit classical asymptotics when testing for a structural break in linear regression models by obtaining the limit theory of residual-based and Wald-type processes. First, we establish the Brownian bridge limiting distribution of these…
A central task in many applications is reasoning about processes that change over continuous time. Continuous-Time Bayesian Networks is a general compact representation language for multi-component continuous-time processes. However, exact…
This paper develops a generalization of Brownian motion with stationary, autocorrelated increments as a tractable model for problems in business and finance. We show that any real continuous Gaussian Markov process with stationary…
Recently, several powerful tools for the reconstruction of stochastic differential equations from measured data sets have been proposed [e.g. Siegert et al., Physics Letters A 243, 275 (1998); Hurn et al., Journal of Time Series Analysis…