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The spread of infectious disease in a human community or the proliferation of fake news on social media can be modeled as a randomly growing tree-shaped graph. The history of the random growth process is often unobserved but contains…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Harry Crane , Min Xu

Broadcasting on trees is a fundamental model from statistical physics that plays an important role in information theory, noisy computation and phylogenetic reconstruction within computational biology and linguistics. While this model…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Han Huang , Elchanan Mossel

We study the problem of identifying the source of a diffusion spreading over a regular tree. When the degree of each node is at least three, we show that it is possible to construct confidence sets for the diffusion source with size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-08 Justin Khim , Po-Ling Loh

Belief propagation is a fundamental message-passing algorithm for probabilistic reasoning and inference in graphical models. While it is known to be exact on trees, in most applications belief propagation is run on graphs with cycles.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Frederic Koehler

Belief Propagation (BP) is an efficient message-passing algorithm widely used for inference in graphical models and for solving various problems in statistical physics. However, BP often yields inaccurate estimates of order parameters and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Seongmin Kim , Alec Kirkley

In many natural average-case problems, there are or there are believed to be critical values in the parameter space where the structure of the space of solutions changes in a fundamental way. These phase transitions are often believed to…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Ankur Moitra , Elchanan Mossel , Colin Sandon

The recursive and hierarchical structure of full rooted trees is applicable to represent statistical models in various areas, such as data compression, image processing, and machine learning. In most of these cases, the full rooted tree is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-24 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Akira Kamatsuka , Toshiyasu Matsushima

Dynamic trees are mixtures of tree structured belief networks. They solve some of the problems of fixed tree networks at the cost of making exact inference intractable. For this reason approximate methods such as sampling or mean field…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Amos J. Storkey

In the study of Ising models on large locally tree-like graphs, in both rigorous and non-rigorous methods one is often led to understanding the so-called belief propagation distributional recursions and its fixed points. We prove that there…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Qian Yu , Yury Polyanskiy

We study several bayesian inference problems for irreversible stochastic epidemic models on networks from a statistical physics viewpoint. We derive equations which allow to accurately compute the posterior distribution of the time…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-28 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Alejandro Lage-Castellanos , Riccardo Zecchina

This paper is concerned with the reliable inference of optimal tree-approximations to the dependency structure of an unknown distribution generating data. The traditional approach to the problem measures the dependency strength between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Marco Zaffalon , Marcus Hutter

We generalize the belief-propagation algorithm to sparse random networks with arbitrary distributions of motifs (triangles, loops, etc.). Each vertex in these networks belongs to a given set of motifs (generalization of the configuration…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-28 S. Yoon , A. V. Goltsev , S. N. Dorogovtsev , J. F. F. Mendes

Belief propagation is a fundamental message-passing algorithm for numerous applications in machine learning. It is known that belief propagation algorithm is exact on tree graphs. However, belief propagation is run on loopy graphs in most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Yitao Chen , Deepanshu Vasal

A number of problems in statistical physics and computer science can be expressed as the computation of marginal probabilities over a Markov random field. Belief propagation, an iterative message-passing algorithm, computes exactly such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-10-23 Victorin Martin , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes , Cyril Furtlehner

The analysis of Belief Propagation and other algorithms for the {\em reconstruction problem} plays a key role in the analysis of community detection in inference on graphs, phylogenetic reconstruction in bioinformatics, and the cavity…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Vishesh Jain , Frederic Koehler , Jingbo Liu , Elchanan Mossel

We study the belief propagation algorithm for the graph bi-partitioning problem, i.e. the ground state of the ferromagnetic Ising model at a fixed magnetization. Application of a message passing scheme to a model with a fixed global…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-06-16 P. Sulc , L. Zdeborova

We introduce a new class of lower bounds on the log partition function of a Markov random field which makes use of a reversed Jensen's inequality. In particular, our method approximates the intractable distribution using a linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Qiang Liu , Alexander T. Ihler

We study the broadcasting problem when the underlying tree is a random recursive tree. The root of the tree has a random bit value assigned. Every other vertex has the same bit value as its parent with probability $1-q$ and the opposite…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Louigi Addario-Berry , Luc Devroye , Gabor Lugosi , Vasiliki Velona

The study of Markov processes and broadcasting on trees has deep connections to a variety of areas including statistical physics, graphical models, phylogenetic reconstruction, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, and community detection in random…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-26 Frederic Koehler , Elchanan Mossel

Recently, researchers have demonstrated that loopy belief propagation - the use of Pearls polytree algorithm IN a Bayesian network WITH loops OF error- correcting codes.The most dramatic instance OF this IS the near Shannon - limit…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Kevin Murphy , Yair Weiss , Michael I. Jordan
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