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Wind power ramp events are difficult to forecast due to strong variability, multi-scale dynamics, and site-specific meteorological effects. This paper proposes an event-first, frequency-aware forecasting paradigm that directly predicts ramp…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Purbak Sengupta , Sambeet Mishra , Sonal Shreya

Reservoir computers are powerful tools for chaotic time series prediction. They can be trained to approximate phase space flows and can thus both predict future values to a high accuracy, as well as reconstruct the general properties of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 André Röhm , Daniel J. Gauthier , Ingo Fischer

Mechanical systems exhibit complex dynamical behavior from harmonic oscillations to chaotic motion. The dynamics undergo qualitative changes due to changes to internal system parameters like stiffness and changes to external forcing.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-06 Manish Yadav , Swati Chauhan , Manish Dev Shrimali , Merten Stender

From fully connected neural networks to convolutional neural networks, the learned parameters within a neural network have been primarily relegated to the linear parameters (e.g., convolutional filters). The non-linear functions (e.g.,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Andrew Hryniowski , Alexander Wong

Forecasting chaotic time series requires models that can capture the intrinsic geometry of the underlying attractor while remaining computationally efficient. We introduce a novel reservoir computing (RC) framework that integrates…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-11-06 S. K. Laha

The behavioral dynamics of multi-agent systems have a rich and orderly structure, which can be leveraged to understand these systems, and to improve how artificial agents learn to operate in them. Here we introduce Relational Forward Models…

Smart cities have revolutionized urban living by incorporating sophisticated technologies to optimize various aspects of urban infrastructure, such as transportation systems. Effective traffic management is a crucial component of smart…

Recurrence networks are powerful tools used effectively in the nonlinear analysis of time series data. The analysis in this context is done mostly with unweighted and undirected complex networks constructed with specific criteria from the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-18 Rinku Jacob , K. P. Harikrishnan , R. Misra , G. Ambika

Despite their apparent simplicity, random Boolean networks display a rich variety of dynamical behaviors. Much work has been focused on the properties and abundance of attractors. The topologies of random Boolean networks with one input per…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Björn Samuelsson , Carl Troein

This work proposes an innovative approach using machine learning to predict extreme events in time series of chaotic dynamical systems. The research focuses on the time series of the H\'enon map, a two-dimensional model known for its…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-11 Alexandre C. Andreani , Bruno R. R. Boaretto , Elbert E. N. Macau

Reservoir Computing (RC) with physical systems requires an understanding of the underlying structure and internal dynamics of the specific physical reservoir. In this study, physical nano-electronic networks with neuromorphic dynamics are…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Yinhao Xu , Georg A. Gottwald , Zdenka Kuncic

Anatomical studies demonstrate that brain reformats input information to generate reliable responses for performing computations. However, it remains unclear how neural circuits encode complex spatio-temporal patterns. We show that neural…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-20 Priyadarshini Panda , Kaushik Roy

Neural-network-based dynamics models learned from observational data have shown strong predictive capabilities for scene dynamics in robotic manipulation tasks. However, their inherent non-linearity presents significant challenges for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Keyi Shen , Jiangwei Yu , Jose Barreiros , Huan Zhang , Yunzhu Li

In long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) tasks, an increasing number of models have acknowledged that discrete time series originate from continuous dynamic systems and have attempted to model their dynamical structures. Recognizing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Jiaxi Hu , Yuehong Hu , Wei Chen , Ming Jin , Shirui Pan , Qingsong Wen , Yuxuan Liang

What is the reason for complex dynamical patterns registered from real biological neuronal networks? Noise and dynamical reconfiguring of a network (functional/dynamic connectome) were proposed as possible answers. In this case study, we…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-16 A. Vidybida , O. Shchur

Neural systems are well known for their ability to learn and store information as memories. Even more impressive is their ability to abstract these memories to create complex internal representations, enabling advanced functions such as the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Lindsay M. Smith , Jason Z. Kim , Zhixin Lu , Dani S. Bassett

While extensive research has been conducted on chaos emerging from a dynamical system's temporal dynamics, our research examines extreme sensitivity to initial conditions in discrete-time dynamical systems from a geometrical perspective.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-04 Brandon B. Le , Nivika A. Gandhi

Multifunctionality is a well observed phenomenological feature of biological neural networks and considered to be of fundamental importance to the survival of certain species over time. These multifunctional neural networks are capable of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Andrew Flynn , Vassilios A. Tsachouridis , Andreas Amann

In our previous paper [N. Tsutsumi, K. Nakai and Y. Saiki, Chaos 32, 091101 (2022)], we proposed a method for constructing a system of differential equations of chaotic behavior from only observable deterministic time series, which we call…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-12 Natsuki Tsutsumi , Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki

Reservoir computing has proven effective for tasks such as time-series prediction, particularly in the context of chaotic systems. However, conventional reservoir computing frameworks often face challenges in achieving high prediction…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-28 Felix Köster , Kazutaka Kanno , Atsushi Uchida