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Climate Services (CS) provide support to decision makers across socio-economic sectors. In the agricultural sector, one of the most important CS applications is to provide timely and accurate yield forecasts based on climate prediction. In…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-26 Iñigo Gómara , Gianni Bellocchi , Raphaël Martin , Belén Rodríguez-Fonseca , Margarita Ruiz-Ramos

Large-scale crop yield estimation is, in part, made possible due to the availability of remote sensing data allowing for the continuous monitoring of crops throughout their growth cycle. Having this information allows stakeholders the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Saeed Khaki , Hieu Pham , Lizhi Wang

Accurately forecasting extreme rainfall is notoriously difficult, but is also ever more crucial for society as climate change increases the frequency of such extremes. Global numerical weather prediction models often fail to capture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-24 Ilan Price , Stephan Rasp

Optimizing wheat variety selection for high performance in different environmental conditions is critical for reliable food production and stable incomes for growers. We employ a statistical machine learning framework utilizing Gaussian…

Forecasts and future beliefs play a critical role in the harvest labor hiring planning, especially when errors in them entails fixing previous made decisions, which can carry extra costs or losses. In this article, we study the effect that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Alejandro Milani , Alejandro Mac Cawley

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Quantifying the impacts of anthropogenic global warming requires accurate Earth system model (ESM) simulations. Statistical bias correction and downscaling can be applied to reduce errors and increase the resolution of ESMs. However,…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-24 Philipp Hess , Niklas Boers

An accurate and precise understanding of global irrigation usage is crucial for a variety of climate science efforts. Irrigation is highly energy-intensive, and as population growth continues at its current pace, increases in crop need and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Weixin , Wu , Sonal Thakkar , Will Hawkins , Hossein Vahabi , Alberto Todeschini

Precision agriculture, also known as site-specific crop management, plays a crucial role in modern agriculture. Yield maps are an essential tool as they help identify the within-field variability that forms the basis of precision…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-06 Sayli Pokal , Yuzhen Zhou , Trenton Franz

Crop yield forecasting depends on many interactive factors, including crop genotype, weather, soil, and management practices. This study analyzes the performance of machine learning and deep learning methods for winter wheat yield…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Amit Kumar Srivastava , Nima Safaei , Saeed Khaki , Gina Lopez , Wenzhi Zeng , Frank Ewert , Thomas Gaiser , Jaber Rahimi

Accurately quantifying the increased risks of climate extremes requires generating large ensembles of climate realization across a wide range of emissions scenarios, which is computationally challenging for conventional Earth System Models.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-08-22 Mengze Wang , Benedikt Barthel Sorensen , Themistoklis Sapsis

This study presents a novel generative modeling approach to rainfall-runoff modeling, focusing on the synthesis of realistic daily catchment runoff time series in response to catchment-averaged climate forcing. Unlike traditional…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-09-11 Yang Yang , Ting Fong May Chui

Accurate prediction of crop states (e.g., phenology stages and cold hardiness) is essential for timely farm management decisions such as irrigation, fertilization, and canopy management to optimize crop yield and quality. While traditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-20 William Solow , Paola Pesantez-Cabrera , Markus Keller , Lav Khot , Sandhya Saisubramanian , Alan Fern

Precise estimation and uncertainty quantification for average crop yields are critical for agricultural monitoring and decision making. Existing data collection methods, such as crop cuts in randomly sampled fields at harvest time, are…

Climate change poses significant challenges to the agricultural and financial sectors, affecting crop productivity and overall financial stability. This study evaluates the robustness of the Actuaries Climate Index$^{TM}$ (ACI), a newer…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-05 Cem Yavrum , A. Sevtap Selcuk-Kestel , José Garrido

Corn yield prediction is beneficial as it provides valuable information about production and prices prior the harvest. Publicly available high-quality corn yield prediction can help address emergent information asymmetry problems and in…

Forecasting load at the feeder level has become increasingly challenging with the penetration of behind-the-meter solar, as this self-generation (also called total generation) is only visible to the utility as aggregated net-load. This work…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-11 Allison M. Campbell , Soumya Kundu , Andrew P. Reiman , Orestis Vasios , Ian Beil , Andy Eiden

Accurate and timely crop yield prediction is crucial for global food security and modern agricultural management. Traditional methods often lack the scalability and granularity required for precision farming. This paper introduces FARM:…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Shayan Nejadshamsi , Yuanyuan Zhang , Shadi Zaki , Brock Porth , Lysa Porth , Vahab Khoshdel

With climate change threatening agricultural productivity and global food demand increasing, it is important to better understand which farm management practices will maximize crop yields in various climatic conditions. To assess the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-12 Dan M. Kluger , Art B. Owen , David B. Lobell

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault