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The prediction of crop yields internationally is a crucial objective in agricultural research. Thus, this study implements 6 regression models (Linear, Tree, Gradient Descent, Gradient Boosting, K Nearest Neighbors, and Random Forest) to…

Global food security depends on predicting crop responses to climate variability, yet process based crop models remain too computationally expensive for large scale exploration of genotype and environment interactions. Here we develop a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Mojdeh Saadati , Juan Panelo , Gustavo Visentini , Soumik Sarkar , Carlos Messina , Baskar Ganapathysubramanian

We introduce a simple yet effective early fusion method for crop yield prediction that handles multiple input modalities with different temporal and spatial resolutions. We use high-resolution crop yield maps as ground truth data to train…

Climate change is posing new challenges to crop-related concerns including food insecurity, supply stability and economic planning. As one of the central challenges, crop yield prediction has become a pressing task in the machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Joshua Fan , Junwen Bai , Zhiyun Li , Ariel Ortiz-Bobea , Carla P. Gomes

Accurate prediction of crop yield supported by scientific and domain-relevant insights, can help improve agricultural breeding, provide monitoring across diverse climatic conditions and thereby protect against climatic challenges to crop…

Crop yield prediction typically involves the utilization of either theory-driven process-based crop growth models, which have proven to be difficult to calibrate for local conditions, or data-driven machine learning methods, which are known…

The cotton industry in the United States is committed to sustainable production practices that minimize water, land, and energy use while improving soil health and cotton output. Climate-smart agricultural technologies are being developed…

Agriculture plays a crucial role in the global economy and social stability, and accurate crop yield prediction is essential for rational planting planning and decision-making. This study focuses on crop yield Time-Series Data prediction.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yueru Yan , Yue Wang , Jialin Li , Jingwei Zhang , Xingye Mo

Forecasting crop yields is important for food security, in particular to predict where crop production is likely to drop. Climate records and remotely-sensed data have become instrumental sources of data for crop yield forecasting systems.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-29 Michele Meroni , François Waldner , Lorenzo Seguini , Hervé Kerdiles , Felix Rembold

Crop yield is affected by various soil and environmental parameters and can vary significantly. Therefore, a crop yield estimation model which can predict pre-harvest yield is required for food security. The study is conducted on tea forms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Nisar Ahmed , Hafiz Muhammad Shahzad Asif , Gulshan Saleem , Muhammad Usman Younus

We present a fully automated model for in-season crop yield prediction, designed to work where there is a dearth of sub-national "ground truth" information. Our approach relies primarily on satellite data and is characterized by careful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Nemo Semret

Numerous solutions for yield estimation are either based on data-driven models, or on crop-simulation models (CSMs). Researchers tend to build data-driven models using nationwide crop information databases provided by agencies such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Renato Luiz de Freitas Cunha , Bruno Silva , Priscilla Barreira Avegliano

Water is essential for agricultural productivity. Assessing water shortages and reduced yield potential is a critical factor in decision-making for ensuring agricultural productivity and food security. Crop simulation models, which align…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Miro Miranda , Marcela Charfuelan , Matias Valdenegro Toro , Andreas Dengel

This study investigates whether coupling crop modeling and machine learning (ML) improves corn yield predictions in the US Corn Belt. The main objectives are to explore whether a hybrid approach (crop modeling + ML) would result in better…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-03 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu , Sotirios V. Archontoulis , Isaiah Huber

Increasing the accuracy of crop yield estimates may allow improvements in the whole crop production chain, allowing farmers to better plan for harvest, and for insurers to better understand risks of production, to name a few advantages. To…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-23 Renato Luiz de Freitas Cunha , Bruno Silva

Ensemble weather forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models typically show systematic errors and require post-processing to obtain reliable forecasts. Accurately modeling multivariate dependencies is crucial in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Jieyu Chen , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke , Sebastian Lerch

In response to climate change, assessing crop productivity under extreme weather conditions is essential to enhance food security. Crop simulation models, which align with physical processes, offer explainability but often perform poorly.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Miro Miranda , Marcela Charfuelan , Andreas Dengel

This paper introduces a Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework within a fully probabilistic setting for crop yield estimation, model selection, and uncertainty forecasting under multiple future greenhouse gas emission scenarios. By…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Dan Li , Vassili Kitsios , David Newth , Terence John O'Kane

This paper proposes a new method for crop yield prediction, which is essential for developing management strategies, informing insurance assessments, and ensuring long-term food security. Although existing data-driven approaches have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Yiming Sun , Qi Cheng , Licheng Liu , Runlong Yu , Yiqun Xie , Xiaowei Jia

Pre-season prediction of crop production outcomes such as grain yields and N losses can provide insights to stakeholders when making decisions. Simulation models can assist in scenario planning, but their use is limited because of data…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-09 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Rafael A. Martinez-Feria , Guiping Hu , Sotirios V. Archontoulis
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