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We give sufficient conditions on the initial, offspring and immigration distributions under which the distribution of a not necessarily stationary Galton--Watson process with immigration is regularly varying at any fixed time.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Zsuzsanna Bősze , Gyula Pap

In this paper we consider a null recurrent random walk in random environment on a super-critical Galton-Watson tree. We consider the case where the log-Laplace transform $\psi$ of the branching process satisfies $\psi(1)=\psi'(1)=0$ for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-14 Pierre Andreoletti , Pierre Debs

We establish a variety of properties of the discrete time simple random walk on a Galton-Watson tree conditioned to survive when the offspring distribution, $Z$ say, is in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-24 David A. Croydon , Takashi Kumagai

Let $\tau$n be a random tree distributed as a Galton-Watson tree with geometric offspring distribution conditioned on {Zn = an} where Zn is the size of the n-th generation and (an, n $\in$ N *) is a deterministic positive sequence. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Romain Abraham , Aymen Bouaziz , Jean-François Delmas

Let $\mathcal{T}$ denote a Galton--Watson tree with offspring distribution $\xi$ satisfying $\mathbb{E}(\xi) = 1$, and let $\mathcal{T}_n$ be the Galton--Watson tree conditioned to have exactly $n$ nodes. We show that, under a mild moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Fameno Rakotoniaina , Dimbinaina Ralaivaosaona

Given a super-critical Galton-Watson process $\{Z_n\}$ and a positive sequence $\{\epsilon_n\}$, we study the limiting behaviors of $P(S_{Z_n}/Z_n\geq\epsilon_n)$ and $P(S_{Z_n}/m^n\geq\epsilon_n) $ with sums $S_{n}$ of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Hui He

We consider stochastic dynamics of a population which starts from a small colony on a habitat with large but limited carrying capacity. A common heuristics suggests that such population grows initially as a Galton-Watson branching process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 N. Bauman , P. Chigansky , F. Klebaner

We consider the problem of estimating the elapsed time since the most recent common ancestor of a finite random sample drawn from a population which has evolved through a Bienayme-Galton-Watson branching process. More specifically, we are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-04 Conrad J. Burden , Albert C. Soewongsono

We derive some additional results on the Bienyam\'e-Galton-Watson branching process with $\theta -$linear fractional branching mechanism, as studied in \cite{Sag}. This includes: the explicit expression of the limit laws in both the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-07-08 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

We consider a critical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We are interested in the event $\mathcal{A}_i(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multi-type branching processes in random environment. The class of processes we consider corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the intermediately subcritical…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

We investigate Kesten-Stigum-like results for multi-type Galton-Watson processes with a countable number of types in a general setting, allowing us in particular to consider processes with an infinite total population at each generation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Mathilde André , Jean-Jil Duchamps

The theory of finite-size scaling explains how the singular behavior of thermodynamic quantities in the critical point of a phase transition emerges when the size of the system becomes infinite. Usually, this theory is presented in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-02-08 Alvaro Corral , Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos

We study a classical multitype Galton--Watson process with mutation and selection. The individuals are sequences of fixed length over a finite alphabet. On the sharp peak fitness landscape together with independent mutations per locus, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Joseba Dalmau

1 Sharp prediction of extinction times is needed in biodiversity monitoring and conservation management. 2 The Galton-Watson process is a classical stochastic model for describing population dynamics. Its evolution is like the matrix…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 B Cloez , T Daufresne , M Kerioui , B Fontez

Conditions for almost sure extinction are studied in discrete time branching processes with an infinite number of types. It is not assumed that the expected number of children is a bounded function of the parent's type. There might also be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. T. Tetzlaff

We consider a supercritical Galton-Watson process $Z_n$ whose offspring distribution has mean $m>1$ and is bounded by some $d\in \{2,3,\ldots\}$. As well-known, the associated martingale $W_n=Z_n/m^n$ converges a.s. to some nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-12 John Fernley , Emmanuel Jacob

We investigate subcritical Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration in a random environment. Using Goldie's implicit renewal theory we show that under general Cram\'er condition the stationary distribution has a power law tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Bojan Basrak , Peter Kevei

A controlled branching process (CBP) is a modification of the standard Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process in which the number of progenitors in each generation is determined by a random mechanism. We consider a CBP starting from a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-26 González , M. , Martín-Chávez , P. , del Puerto , I

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine