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We combine Malliavin calculus with Stein's method to derive bounds for the Variance-Gamma approximation of functionals of isonormal Gaussian processes, in particular of random variables living inside a fixed Wiener chaos induced by such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Peter Eichelsbacher , Christoph Thäle

The problem of the construction of strong approximations with a given order of convergence for jump-diffusion equations is studied. General approximation schemes are constructed for L\'evy type stochastic differential equation. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-22 Michał Barski

Inter-domain Gaussian processes (GPs) allow for high flexibility and low computational cost when performing approximate inference in GP models. They are particularly suitable for modeling data exhibiting global structure but are limited to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Tim G. J. Rudner , Dino Sejdinovic , Yarin Gal

We provide the first generic exact simulation algorithm for multivariate diffusions. Current exact sampling algorithms for diffusions require the existence of a transformation which can be used to reduce the sampling problem to the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Jose Blanchet , Fan Zhang

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are used to approximate posterior distributions using simulation rather than likelihood calculations. We introduce Gaussian process (GP) accelerated ABC, which we show can significantly reduce…

Computation · Statistics 2014-02-25 Richard D Wilkinson

We propose a method of approximating multivariate Gaussian probabilities using dynamic programming. We show that solving the optimization problem associated with a class of discrete-time finite horizon Markov decision processes with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-08 Morgan Jones , Matthew M. Peet

We consider the problem of calculating learning curves (i.e., average generalization performance) of Gaussian processes used for regression. On the basis of a simple expression for the generalization error, in terms of the eigenvalue…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter Sollich , Anason Halees

The Generalized Linear Model (GLM) for the Gamma distribution (glmGamma) is widely used in modeling continuous, non-negative and positive-skewed data, such as insurance claims and survival data. However, model selection for GLM depends on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-24 Xin Chen , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , R. Douglas Martin

Bayesian models based on Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible framework to predict spatially distributed variables with uncertainty. But the use of nonstationary priors, often necessary for capturing complex spatial patterns, makes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Gabriel V Cardoso , Mike Pereira

Adaptive dimensionality reduction in high-dimensional problems is a key topic in statistics. The multiplicative gamma process takes a relevant step in this direction, but improved studies on its properties are required to ease…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-11 Daniele Durante

The recent accelerated growth in the computing power has generated popularization of experimentation with dynamic computer models in various physical and engineering applications. Despite the extensive statistical research in computer…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-18 Ru Zhang , Chunfang Devon Lin , Pritam Ranjan

The gradient discretisation method (GDM) is a generic framework for designing and analysing numerical schemes for diffusion models. In this paper, we study the GDM for the porous medium equation, including fast diffusion and slow diffusion…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Jerome Droniou , Kim-Ngan Le

Classes of multivariate and cone valued infinitely divisible Gamma distributions are introduced. Particular emphasis is put on the cone-valued case, due to the relevance of infinitely divisible distributions on the positive semi-definite…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Victor Pérez-Abreu , Robert Stelzer

We establish a sample path generation scheme in a unified manner for general multivariate infinitely divisible processes based on shot noise representation of their integrators. The approximation is derived from the decomposition of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Reiichiro Kawai

Gaussian process (GP) models provide a powerful tool for prediction but are computationally prohibitive using large data sets. In such scenarios, one has to resort to approximate methods. We derive an approximation based on a composite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-02 Xiuming Liu , Dave Zachariah , Edith C. H. Ngai

The one-dimensional Dickman distribution arises in various stochastic models across number theory, combinatorics, physics, and biology. Recently, a definition of the multidimensional Dickman distribution has appeared in the literature,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Anastasiia S. Kovtun , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Andrey Pepelyshev

In computational and applied statistics, it is of great interest to get fast and accurate calculation for the distributions of the quadratic forms of Gaussian random variables. This paper presents a novel approximation strategy that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Hong Zhang , Judong Shen , Zheyang Wu

The diffusion approximation of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in current literature is only valid on a finite time interval. In this paper, we establish the uniform-in-time diffusion approximation of SGD, by only assuming that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-12 Lei Li , Yuliang Wang

We develop a computational method for expected functionals of the drawdown and its duration in exponential L\'evy models. It is based on a novel simulation algorithm for the joint law of the state, supremum and time the supremum is attained…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-20 Jorge González Cázares , Aleksandar Mijatović

In these notes we present a pedagogical account of the population dynamics methods recently introduced to simulate large deviation functions of dynamical observables in and out of equilibrium. After a brief introduction on large deviation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-23 J. Tailleur , V. Lecomte