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We explore how dynamic entry deterrence operates through feedback strategies in markets experiencing stochastic demand fluctuations. The incumbent firm, aware of its own cost structure, can deter a potential competitor by strategically…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-22 Mustapha Nyenye Issah

We consider continuous-time mean-field stochastic games with strategic complementarities. The interaction between the representative productive firm and the population of rivals comes through the price at which the produced good is sold and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Jodi Dianetti , Salvatore Federico , Giorgio Ferrari , Giuseppe Floccari

We review the evidence that the erratic dynamics of markets is to a large extent of endogenous origin, i.e. determined by the trading activity itself and not due to the rational processing of exogenous news. In order to understand why and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-16 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Trading frictions are stochastic. They are, moreover, in many instances fast-mean reverting. Here, we study how to optimally trade in a market with stochastic price impact and study approximations to the resulting optimal control problem…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-25 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Sebastian Jaimungal , Yuri F. Saporito

We study the effects of financial shocks on the United States economy by using a Bayesian structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model that exploits the non-normalities in the data. We use this method to uniquely identify the model and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-08 Olli Palmén

We model sectoral production by cascading binary compounding processes. The sequence of processes is discovered in a self-similar hierarchical structure stylized in the economy-wide networks of production. Nested substitution elasticities…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-31 Satoshi Nakano , Kazuhiko Nishimura

We study the disequilibrium dynamics of a stylised model of production networks in which firms use perishable and non-substitutable intermediate inputs, so that adverse idiosyncratic productivity shocks can trigger downstream shortages and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-02 David Martin , José Moran , Debabrata Panja , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Understanding disaggregate channels in the transmission of monetary policy is of crucial importance for effectively implementing policy measures. We extend the empirical econometric literature on the role of production networks in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-11 Niko Hauzenberger , Michael Pfarrhofer

Economic models with input-output networks assume that firm or sector (unit) growth is driven by a weighted sum of trade partners' growth and an independently-drawn idiosyncratic shock. I show that the idiosyncratic risk assumption in a…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-03 Victor Sellemi

We study the diffusion of shocks in the global financial cycle and global liquidity conditions to emerging and developing economies. We show that the classification according to their external trade patterns (as commodities' net exporters…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-09 Jorge Carrera , Gabriel Montes-Rojas , Fernando Toledo

Using a semi-structural approach, the paper identifies how heterogeneity and financial frictions affect the transmission of aggregate shocks. Approximating a heterogeneous agent model around the representative agent allocation can…

General Economics · Economics 2020-07-29 Andreas Tryphonides

We study a single risky financial asset model subject to price impact and transaction cost over an finite time horizon. An investor needs to execute a long position in the asset affecting the price of the asset and possibly incurring in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Mauricio Junca

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

We propose a novel framework for modeling time-varying persistence in economic time series, allowing for smoothly evolving heterogeneity in shock dynamics. We leverage localized regression techniques to flexibly identify changes in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

We study collections of point masses which move freely along the real line and stick together when they collide via perfectly inelastic collisions. We quantify the way particles stick together and explain how to associate a probability…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Ryan Hynd

This paper presents an application of mean field control to dynamic production optimization. Both noncooperative and cooperative solutions are considered. We first introduce a market of a large number of agents (firms) with sticky prices…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Bingchang Wang , Minyi Huang

This paper investigates the time-varying impacts of international macroeconomic uncertainty shocks. We use a global vector autoregressive specification with drifting coefficients and factor stochastic volatility in the errors to model six…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-18 Michael Pfarrhofer

A deterministic trading strategy can be regarded as a signal processing element that uses external information and past prices as inputs and incorporates them into future prices. This paper uses a market maker based method of price…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 J. Doyne Farmer , Shareen Joshi

An economy-wide production network, manifested through monetary input-output coefficients, inherently destabilizes during the general equilibrium propagation of sectoral productivity shocks when substitution elasticities are non-neutral.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-29 Satoshi Nakano , Kazuhiko Nishimura

We give a complete solution to the problem of minimizing the expected liquidity costs in presence of a general drift when the underlying market impact model has linear transient price impact with exponential resilience. It turns out that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-05 Christopher Lorenz , Alexander Schied