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Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri

Designing robust systems for precise prediction of future prices of stocks has always been considered a very challenging research problem. Even more challenging is to build a system for constructing an optimum portfolio of stocks based on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta , Sidra Mehtab

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are often used to capture temporal dependency patterns. By stacking multi-layer LSTM networks, it can capture even more complex patterns. This paper explores the effectiveness of applying stacked LSTM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Frank Xiao

A linear multi-factor model is one of the most important tools in equity portfolio management. The linear multi-factor models are widely used because they can be easily interpreted. However, financial markets are not linear and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-01 Kei Nakagawa , Tomoki Ito , Masaya Abe , Kiyoshi Izumi

The importance of predicting stock market prices cannot be overstated. It is a pivotal task for investors and financial institutions as it enables them to make informed investment decisions, manage risks, and ensure the stability of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-02 Aayush Shah , Mann Doshi , Meet Parekh , Nirmit Deliwala , Pramila M. Chawan

Deep learning searches for nonlinear factors for predicting asset returns. Predictability is achieved via multiple layers of composite factors as opposed to additive ones. Viewed in this way, asset pricing studies can be revisited using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson

The financial market trend forecasting method is emerging as a hot topic in financial markets today. Many challenges still currently remain, and various researches related thereto have been actively conducted. Especially, recent research of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Jonghyeon Min

This project investigates the interplay of technical, market, and statistical factors in predicting stock market performance, with a primary focus on S&P 500 companies. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset spanning multiple years, the analysis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Jiajun Gu , Zichen Yang , Xintong Lin , Sixun Chen , YuTing Lu

As the technology advances, an ample amount of data is collected in sports with the help of advanced sensors. Sports Analytics is the study of this data to provide a constructive advantage to the team and its players. The game of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Rahul Chakwate , Madhan R A

The development of Large Language Models (LLMs) has created transformative opportunities for the financial industry, especially in the area of financial trading. However, how to integrate LLMs with trading systems has become a challenge. To…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Yu Kang , Ge Wang , Xin Yang , Yuda Wang , Mingwen Liu

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is a prominent recurrent neural network for extracting dependencies from sequential data such as time-series and multi-view data, having achieved impressive results for different visual recognition tasks. A…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Alireza Sepas-Moghaddam , Ali Etemad , Fernando Pereira , Paulo Lobato Correia

Deep generative models are becoming increasingly used as tools for financial analysis. However, it is unclear how these models will influence financial markets, especially when they infer financial value in a semi-autonomous way. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Namid R. Stillman , Rory Baggott

For any financial organization, computing accurate quarterly forecasts for various products is one of the most critical operations. As the granularity at which forecasts are needed increases, traditional statistical time series models may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Allison Koenecke , Amita Gajewar

In this bachelor thesis, we show how four different machine learning methods (Long Short-Term Memory, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine Regression, and k-Nearest Neighbor) perform compared to already successfully applied trading…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-16 Danijel Jevtic , Romain Deleze , Joerg Osterrieder

Optimal decision-making in social settings is often based on forecasts from time series (TS) data. Recently, several approaches using deep neural networks (DNNs) such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been introduced for TS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Philippe Chatigny , Jean-Marc Patenaude , Shengrui Wang

Generating accurate and reliable sales forecasts is crucial in the E-commerce business. The current state-of-the-art techniques are typically univariate methods, which produce forecasts considering only the historical sales data of a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Kasun Bandara , Peibei Shi , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage , Quoc Tran , Brian Seaman

This paper explores the application of Hidden Markov Models (HMM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks for economic forecasting, focusing on predicting CPI inflation rates. The study explores a new approach that integrates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Guhan Sivakumar

In many sequential tasks, a model needs to remember relevant events from the distant past to make correct predictions. Unfortunately, a straightforward application of gradient based training requires intermediate computations to be stored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Artyom Sorokin , Nazar Buzun , Leonid Pugachev , Mikhail Burtsev

Market instability has been extensively studied using mathematical approaches to characterize complex trading dynamics and detect structural change points. This study explores the potential for early warning of market instability by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-24 Mariko I. Ito , Hiroyuki Hasada , Yudai Honma , Takaaki Ohnishi , Tsutomu Watanabe , Kazuyuki Aihara

We study a systematic approach to a popular Statistical Arbitrage technique: Pairs Trading. Instead of relying on two highly correlated assets, we replace the second asset with a replication of the first using risk factor representations.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Marek Adamczyk , Michał Dąbrowski
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