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Related papers: Aftershocks as a time independant phenomenon

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Nearly all aspects of earthquake rupture are controlled by the friction along the fault that progressively increases with tectonic forcing, but in general cannot be directly measured. We show that fault friction can be determined at any…

Spatio-temporal correlations of earthquakes are studied numerically on the basis of the one-dimensional spring-block (Burridge-Knopoff) model. As large events approach, the frequency of smaller events gradually increases, while, just before…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Takahiro Mori , Hikaru Kawamura

We present a new kind of critical stochastic finite-time-singularity, relying on the interplay between long-memory and extreme fluctuations. We illustrate it on the well-established epidemic-type aftershock (ETAS) model for aftershocks,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Sornette , A. Helmstetter

We introduce a modification of the OFC earthquake model [Phys. Rev. Lett. 68, 1244 (1992)] in order to improve resemblance with the Burridge and Knopoff mechanical model and with possible laboratory experiments. A constant force continually…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 O. Ramos , E. Altshuler , K. J. Maloy

The existence of magnitude dependence in earthquake triggering has been reported. Such a correlation is linked to the issue of seismic predictability and remains under intense debate whether it is physical or is caused by incomplete data…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-06 Giuseppe Petrillo , Jiancang Zhuang

Following Hergarten and Neugebauer [2002] who discovered aftershock and foreshock sequences in the Olami-Feder-Christensen (OFC) discrete block-spring earthquake model, we investigate to what degree the simple toppling mechanism of this…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Helmstetter , S. Hergarten , D. Sornette

We review ideas on temporal dependences and recurrences in discrete time series from several areas of natural and social sciences. We revisit existing studies and redefine the relevant observables in the language of copulas (joint laws of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-04-11 Rémy Chicheportiche , Anirban Chakraborti

We propose a ``multifractal stress activation'' model combining thermally activated rupture and long memory stress relaxation, which predicts that seismic decay rates after mainshocks follow the Omori law $\sim 1/t^p$ with exponents $p$…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 D. Sornette , G. Ouillon

According to some recent analysis (M. Baiesi and M. Paczuski, Phys. Rev. E {\bf 69}, 066106, 2004 \cite{maya1}) of earthquake data, aftershock epicenters can be considered to represent the nodes of a network where the linking scheme depends…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kamalika Basu Hajra , Parongama Sen

A new law regarding structure of the earthquake networks is found. The seismic data taken in California is mapped to a growing directed network. Then, statistics of period in the network, which implies that after how many earthquakes an…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

We have analyzed, for the first time, the time cumulant of magnitudes of an aftershock sequence since the mainshock. This comes out to be a remarkable straight line whose slope is characteristic of the fault zone. This will provide an…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 Pathikrit Bhattacharya , Kamal , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

In this work, we are interested in a detailed qualitative analysis of the Kawahara equation, a model that has numerous physical motivations such as magneto-acoustic waves in a cold plasma and gravity waves on the surface of a heavy liquid.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Roberto de A. Capistrano Filho , Boumediène Chentouf , Isadora Maria de Jesus

Aftershocks of the 2012 Off-Coast of Sumatra Earthquake Sequence exhibit a complex and diffuse spatial distribution. The first-order complexity in aftershock distribution is clear and well beyond the influence of typical earthquake location…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-06-26 Chengping Chai , Charles J. Ammon , K. Michael Cleveland

In this paper we develop an understanding of the proper time of the Tohoku earthquake source. The paper is dedicated to the 120th anniversary of Einstein's theory of relativity, but the dedication is symbolic, since we are investigating a…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-09-08 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

The dynamical behavior of the currency exchange rate after its large-scale catastrophe is discussed through a case study of the rate of Russian rubles to US dollars after its crash in 2014. It is shown that, similarly to the case of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-16 Vasilya Usmanova , Yury V. Lysogorskiy , Sumiyoshi Abe

The interpretation of experimental and numerical data describing off-equilibrium aging dynamics crucially depends on the connection between spontaneous and induced fluctuations. The hypothesis that linear response fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-03-18 Simon Christiansen , Paolo Sibani

Over the past decades much effort has been devoted towards understanding and forecasting natural hazards. However, earthquake forecasting skill is still very limited and remains a great scientific challenge. The limited earthquake…

We study the cascading dynamics immediately before and immediately after 219 market shocks. We define the time of a market shock T_{c} to be the time for which the market volatility V(T_{c}) has a peak that exceeds a predetermined…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-05 Alexander M. Petersen , Fengzhong Wang , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

The empirical Bath's law is derived from the magnitude-difference statistical distribution of earthquake pairs. The pair distribution related to earthquake correlations is presented. The single-event distribution of dynamically correlated…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-06-16 Bogdan Felix Apostol

Numerical simulations and a mean-field analysis of a sandpile model of earthquake aftershocks in 1d, 2d and 3d euclidean lattices determine that the average stress decays in a punctuated fashion after a main shock, with events occurring at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. W. Lee , D. Sornette