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We prove stable convergence of conditional least squares estimators of drift parameters for supercritical continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration based on discrete time observations.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Matyas Barczy

This paper deals with the problem of testing for dispersion parameter change in discretely observed diffusion processes when the observations are contaminated by outliers. To lessen the impact of outliers, we first calculate residuals using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-01 Junmo Song

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the price evolution depend on the exponential of the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process. After a brief revision of the related theory the entropy-minimal equivalent martingale measure. is calculated.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Yuri Kabanov , Mikhail A. Sonin

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

We study the joint asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of the parameter $(\theta,\,\mu)$ for the non-ergodic Vasicek models driven by seven specific Gaussian processes. %The similar result concerning to the non-ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Yong Chen , Wu-Jun Gao , Ying Li

We investigate the joint distribution and the multivariate survival functions for the maxima of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in consecutive time-intervals. A PDE method, alongside an eigenfunction expansion, is adopted with which we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Yupeng Jiang , Andrea Macrina , Gareth W. Peters

We consider the class of all stationary Gaussian process with explicit parametric spectral density. Under some conditions on the autocovariance function, we defined a GMM estimator that satisfies consistency and asymptotic normality, using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-18 Luis A. Barboza , Frederi G. Viens

For a one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X(t) ; 0\leq t \leq T \}$, we suppose that $X(t)$ is hidden if it is below some fixed and known threshold $\tau$, but otherwise it is visible. This means a partially hidden diffusion process. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Stefano Iacus , Masayuki Uchida , Nakahiro Yoshida

We model the time evolution of single win odds in Japanese horse racing as a stochastic process, deriving an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process by analyzing the probability dynamics of vote shares and the empirical time series of odds movements.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-22 Tomoya Sugawara , Shintaro Mori

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown parameters of positive recurrent Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-13 Bernard Bercu , Frederic Proia , Nicolas Savy

We introduce the elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which is a generalisation of the well-known univariate OU process to bivariate time series. This process maps out elliptical stochastic oscillations over time in the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Hanna M. Sykulska-Lawrence

An explicit first-order drift-randomized Milstein scheme for a regime switching stochastic differential equation is proposed and its bi-stability and rate of strong convergence are investigated for a non-differentiable drift coefficient.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Divyanshu Vashistha , Chaman Kumar

The nonparametric estimation of the volatility and the drift coefficient of a scalar diffusion is studied when the process is observed at random time points. The constructed estimator generalizes the spectral method by Gobet, Hoffmann and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Jakub Chorowski , Mathias Trabs

Based on a version of Dudley's Wiener process on the mass shell in the momentum Minkowski space of a massive point particle, a model of a relativistic Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process is constructed by addition of a specific drift term. The…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-03-22 Jürgen Potthoff , Robert Schrader

The paper is devoted to three-parametric self-similar Gaussian Volterra processes that generalize fractional Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic growth of such processes and the properties of long- and short-range dependence. Then we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

We develop a numerical method for realizing mean curvature motion of interfaces separating multiple phases, whose areas are preserved throughout time. The foundation of the method is a thresholding algorithm of the Bence-Merriman-Osher…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-04-30 Karel Svadlenka , Elliott Ginder , Seiro Omata

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

Identifying the full entropy production of active particles is a challenging task. We introduce a microscopic, thermodynamically consistent model, which leads to active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck statistics in the continuum limit. Our minimal model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-15 Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

This paper proposes a novel purely measurement-based method for estimating dynamic load parameters in near real-time when stochastic load fluctuations are present. By leveraging on the regression theorem for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-20 Georgia Pierrou , Xiaozhe Wang

We consider the problem of frequency estimation of the periodic signal multiplied by a stationary Gaussian process (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) and observed in the presence of the white Gaussian noise. We show the consistency and asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 O. V. Chernoyarov , Yu. A. Kutoyants