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The use of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process is ubiquitous in business, economics and finance to capture various price processes and evolution of economic indicators exhibiting mean-reverting properties. When structural changes happen,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 Fuqi Chen , Rogemar Mamon , Matt Davison

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process can be seen as a paradigm of a finite-variance and statistically stationary rough random walk. Furthermore, it is defined as the unique solution of a Markovian stochastic dynamics and shares the same local…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Laurent Chevillard , Marc Lagoin , Stephane G. Roux

We investigate large deviation properties of the maximum likelihood drift parameter estimator for Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process driven by mixed fractional Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Dmytro Marushkevych

For an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter 0<H<1/2, one shows the Berry-Ess\'een bound of the least squares estimator of the drift parameter. Thus, a problem left in the previous paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Yong Chen , Nenghui Kuang

For the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter is totally different in the stable, unstable, and explosive cases. Notwithstanding of this trichotomy, we investigate…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-28 Bernard Bercu , Laure Coutin , Nicolas Savy

For an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in [\frac12,\frac34]$, we show the Berry-Ess\'een bound of the least squares estimator of the drift parameter. We use an approach based on Malliavin…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Yong Chen , Nenghui Kuang , Ying Li

In this paper, we investigate the consistency and asymptotic efficiency of an estimator of the drift matrix, $F$, of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes that are not necessarily stable. We consider all the cases. (1) The eigenvalues of $F$ are in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-27 Gopal K. Basak , Philip Lee

In this paper, we investigate the parameter estimation problem for reflected OU processes. Both the estimates based on continuously observed processes and discretely observed processes are considered. The explicit formulas for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Yuriy Kozachenko , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

We study a least square-type estimator for an unknown parameter in the drift coefficient of a stochastic differential equation with additive fractional noise of Hurst parameter H>1/2. The estimator is based on discrete time observations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Andreas Neuenkirch , Samy Tindel

In this paper, we consider the problem of statistical inference for generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes of the type \[ X_{t} = e^{-\xi_{t}} \left( X_{0} + \int_{0}^{t} e^{\xi_{u-}} d u \right), \] where \(\xi_s\) is a L{\'e}vy process.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-12 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Panov

We propose a two stage procedure for the estimation of the parameters of a fairly general, continuous-time stochastic volatility. An important ingredient of the proposed method is the Cuchiero-Teichmann volatility estimator, which is based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Milan Merkle , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

The small noise cut-off phenomenon in continuous time and space has been studied in the recent literature for the linear and non-linear stable Langevin dynamics with additive L\'evy drivers - understood as abrupt thermalization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Gerardo Barrera , Michael A. Högele , Pauliina Ilmonen , Lauri Viitasaari

In this article, we present the least squares estimator for the drift parameter in a linear regression model driven by the increment of a fractional Brownian motion sampled at random times. For two different random times, Jittered and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Héctor Araya , Natalia Bahamonde , Lisandro Fermín , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

We study rates of convergence in central limit theorems for the partial sum of squares of general Gaussian sequences, using tools from analysis on Wiener space. No assumption of stationarity, asymptotically or otherwise, is made. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-09 Soukaina Douissi , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-12 Stéphane Gaïffas , Gustaw Matulewicz

In this paper, a purely measurement-based method is proposed to estimate the dynamic system state matrix by applying the regression theorem of the multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The proposed method employs a recursive algorithm to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-29 Hao Sheng , Xiaozhe Wang

We derive an equation to compute directly the expected occupation time of the centered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This allows us to identify the parameters of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process for available occupation times via a standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-05-30 Wolfgang Bock , Thomas Götz , Martin Grothaus , Uditha Prabhath Liyanage

This paper develops a new stochastic volatility model for the temperature that is a natural extension of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model proposed by Benth and Benth (2007). This model allows to be more conservative regarding extreme events…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-11 Aurélien Alfonsi , Nerea Vadillo

The goal of this paper is to construct ergodic estimators for the parameters in the double exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, observed at discrete time instants with time step size h. The existence and uniqueness, the strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Yaozhong Hu , Neha Sharma