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We model stochastic choices with categorization. The agent preliminarly groups alternatives in homogenous disjoint classes, then randomly chooses one class and randomly picks an item within the selected class. We give a formal definition of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-06 Ester Sudano

Computing the Jacobian of the solution of an optimization problem is a central problem in machine learning, with applications in hyperparameter optimization, meta-learning, optimization as a layer, and dataset distillation, to name a few.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Damien Scieur , Quentin Bertrand , Gauthier Gidel , Fabian Pedregosa

We consider the asymmetric simple exclusion process (ASEP) on the integers in which the initial density at a site (the probability that it is occupied) is given by a periodic function on the positive integers. (When the function is constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-23 Craig A. Tracy , Harold Widom

We register a random sequence which has the following properties: it has three segments being the homogeneous Markov processes. Each segment has his own one step transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-21 Krzysztof Szajowski

We develop a family of reformulations of an arbitrary consistent linear system into a stochastic problem. The reformulations are governed by two user-defined parameters: a positive definite matrix defining a norm, and an arbitrary discrete…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-27 Peter Richtárik , Martin Takáč

We consider the spatial Lambda-Fleming-Viot process model for frequencies of genetic types in a population living in R^d, with two types of individuals (0 and 1) and natural selection favouring individuals of type 1. We first prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Alison Etheridge , Amandine Veber , Feng Yu

We consider the problem of learning a non-deterministic probabilistic system consistent with a given finite set of positive and negative tree samples. Consistency is defined with respect to strong simulation conformance. We propose learning…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-07-24 Anvesh Komuravelli , Corina S. Pasareanu , Edmund M. Clarke

Selective classification enhances the reliability of predictive models by allowing them to abstain from making uncertain predictions. In this work, we revisit the design of optimal selection functions through the lens of the Neyman--Pearson…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Alvin Heng , Harold Soh

A sequential importance sampling algorithm is developed for the distribution that results when a matrix of independent, but not identically distributed, Bernoulli random variables is conditioned on a given sequence of row and column sums.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-18 Matthew T. Harrison , Jeffrey W. Miller

In this work, Bernoulli's Law of Large Numbers, also known as the Golden theorem, has been extended to study the relations between empirical probability and empirical randomness of an otherwise random experiment. Using the example of a coin…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-06-04 Allen Lobo , Saravanan Arumugam

We consider a finite number of particles characterised by their positions and velocities. At random times a randomly chosen particle, the follower, adopts the velocity of another particle, the leader. The follower chooses its leader…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Adrien Blanchet , Pierre Degond

This paper analyzes the relationships between demographic and state-based evolutionary games and Hamilton's rule. It is shown that the classical Hamilton's rule (counterfactual method), combined with demographic payoffs, leads to easily…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-22 Krzysztof Argasinski , Ryszard Rudnicki

Testing hypotheses is an issue of primary importance in the scientific research, as well as in many other human activities. Much clarification about it can be achieved if the process of learning from data is framed in a stochastic model of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini

Consider a supercritical branching random walk in a time-inhomogeneous random environment. We impose a selection (called barrier) on survival in the following way. The position of the barrier may depend on the generation and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 You Lv

Chance constrained program is computationally intractable due to the existence of chance constraints, which are randomly disturbed and should be satisfied with a probability. This paper proposes a two-layer randomized algorithm to address…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Xun Shen , Jiancang Zhuang , Xingguo Zhang

We study a class of two-stage stochastic programs in which the second stage includes a set of components with uncertain capacity, and the expression for the distribution function of the uncertain capacity includes first-stage variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Hugh Medal , Samuel Affar

Many mathematical, man-made and natural systems exhibit a leading-digit bias, where a first digit (base 10) of 1 occurs not 11\% of the time, as one would expect if all digits were equally likely, but rather 30\%. This phenomenon is known…

When four species compete stochastically in a cyclic way, the formation of two teams of mutually neutral partners is observed. In this paper we study through numerical simulations the extinction processes that can take place in this system…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-14 Ben Intoy , Michel Pleimling

Clinical trials often evaluate multiple outcome variables to form a comprehensive picture of the effects of a new treatment. The resulting multidimensional insight contributes to clinically relevant and efficient decision-making about…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-14 X. M. Kavelaars , J. Mulder , M. C. Kaptein

Place an obstacle with probability $1-p$ independently at each vertex of $\mathbb Z^d$ and consider a simple symmetric random walk that is killed upon hitting one of the obstacles. For $d \geq 2$ and $p$ strictly above the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-01 Jian Ding , Ryoki Fukushima , Rongfeng Sun , Changji Xu