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We propose a variance-penalized formulation of Bayesian optimal experimental design for nonlinear models that augments the classical expected utility criterion with a penalty on utility variability, yielding a mean--variance objective that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Wanggang Shen , Xun Huan

Bayesian Experimental Design (BED), which aims to find the optimal experimental conditions for Bayesian inference, is usually posed as to optimize the expected information gain (EIG). The gradient information is often needed for efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-14 Ziqiao Ao , Jinglai Li

We propose a control-oriented optimal experimental design (cOED) approach for linear PDE-constrained Bayesian inverse problems. In particular, we consider optimal control problems with uncertain parameters that need to be estimated by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Madhusudan Madhavan , Alen Alexanderian , Arvind K. Saibaba , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Rebekah D. White

In this paper, we address the challenging problem of optimal experimental design (OED) of constrained inverse problems. We consider two OED formulations that allow reducing the experimental costs by minimizing the number of measurements.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-17 Lars Ruthotto , Julianne Chung , Matthias Chung

We introduce a gradient-free framework for Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) in sequential settings, aimed at complex systems where gradient information is unavailable. Our method combines Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-22 Robert Gruhlke , Matei Hanu , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker

We study the problem of selecting $k$ experiments from a larger candidate pool, where the goal is to maximize mutual information (MI) between the selected subset and the underlying parameters. Finding the exact solution is to this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Fengyi Li , Ayoub Belhadji , Youssef Marzouk

We apply optimum experimental design (OED) to organic semiconductors modeled by the extended Gaussian disorder model (EGDM) which was developed by Pasveer et al. We present an extended Gummel method to decouple the corresponding system of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Christoph Karl Felix Weiler , Stefan Körkel

Bayesian optimal design is considered for experiments where the response distribution depends on the solution to a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. The motivation is an experiment to estimate parameters in the equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-02 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Ben Parker

We present a novel stochastic approach to binary optimization for optimal experimental design (OED) for Bayesian inverse problems governed by mathematical models such as partial differential equations. The OED utility function, namely, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Ahmed Attia , Sven Leyffer , Todd Munson

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a principled framework for conducting experiments that leverages Bayesian inference to quantify how much information one can expect to gain from selecting a certain design. However, accurate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-12 Yasir Zubayr Barlas , Sabina J. Sloman , Samuel Kaski

We study the problem of causal discovery through targeted interventions. Starting from few observational measurements, we follow a Bayesian active learning approach to perform those experiments which, in expectation with respect to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Julius von Kügelgen , Paul K Rubenstein , Bernhard Schölkopf , Adrian Weller

In many scientific and engineering domains, physical experiments are often costly, non-replicable, or time-consuming. The Kennedy and O'Hagan (KOH) model framework has become a widely used approach for combining simulator runs with limited…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-18 Hao Zhu , Markus Hainy

In this paper we propose an efficient stochastic optimization algorithm to search for Bayesian experimental designs such that the expected information gain is maximized. The gradient of the expected information gain with respect to…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-03 Takashi Goda , Tomohiko Hironaka , Wataru Kitade , Adam Foster

Monitoring networks increasingly aim to assimilate data from a large number of diverse sensors covering many sensing modalities. Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) seeks to identify data, sensor configurations, or experiments which…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-16 Jake Callahan , Kevin Monogue , Ruben Villarreal , Tommie Catanach

Bayesian experimental design (BED) is to answer the question that how to choose designs that maximize the information gathering. For implicit models, where the likelihood is intractable but sampling is possible, conventional BED methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Jiaxin Zhang , Sirui Bi , Guannan Zhang

We address the solution of large-scale Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with infinite-dimensional parameter fields. The OED problem seeks to find sensor locations that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Keyi Wu , Thomas O'Leary-Roseberry , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

We propose a new procedure named PASOA, for Bayesian experimental design, that performs sequential design optimization by simultaneously providing accurate estimates of successive posterior distributions for parameter inference. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Jacopo Iollo , Christophe Heinkelé , Pierre Alliez , Florence Forbes

Statistical models can involve implicitly defined quantities, such as solutions to nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), that unavoidably need to be numerically approximated in order to evaluate the model. The approximation…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-16 Juho Timonen , Nikolas Siccha , Ben Bales , Harri Lähdesmäki , Aki Vehtari

The Design of Experiments (DOEs) is a fundamental scientific methodology that provides researchers with systematic principles and techniques to enhance the validity, reliability, and efficiency of experimental outcomes. In this study, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Miao Huang , Hongqiao Wang , Kunyu Wu

Bayesian experimental design (BED) aims at designing an experiment to maximize the information gathering from the collected data. The optimal design is usually achieved by maximizing the mutual information (MI) between the data and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Jiaxin Zhang , Sirui Bi , Guannan Zhang