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Inference for belief networks using Gibbs sampling produces a distribution for unobserved variables that differs from the correct distribution by a (usually) unknown error, since convergence to the right distribution occurs only…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Michael Harvey , Radford M. Neal

An Automated Sliced Gibbs framework is proposed for fully automated Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling from arbitrary finite dimensional probability kernels. The method targets unnormalized, non-smooth, heavy tailed, and highly multimodal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Prithwish Ghosh , Sujit K Ghosh

The inadequate mixing of conventional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for multi-modal distributions presents a significant challenge in practical applications such as Bayesian inference and molecular dynamics. Addressing this, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Wenlin Chen , Mingtian Zhang , Brooks Paige , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , David Barber

Gibbs-type random probability measures and the exchangeable random partitions they induce represent the subject of a rich and active literature. They provide a probabilistic framework for a wide range of theoretical and applied problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-06 Sergio Bacallado , Stefano Favaro , Lorenzo Trippa

We present a modified Gibbs sampler for general state spaces. We establish that this modification can lead to substantial gains in statistical efficiency while maintaining the overall quality of convergence. We illustrate our results in two…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-28 Alicia A. Johnson , James M. Flegal

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

In the typical analysis of a data set, a single method is selected for statistical reporting even when equally applicable methods yield very different results. Examples of equally applicable methods can correspond to those of different…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-30 David R. Bickel

We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for the simulation of rare events when the underlying dynamics is given by a diffusion. The scheme is based on a Gibbs variational principle that is used to determine the optimal (i.e.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Carsten Hartmann , Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Lorenz Richter

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Nikolaos Gianniotis , Christoph Schnörr , Christian Molkenthin , Sanjay Singh Bora

A new method called "variational sampling" is proposed to estimate integrals under probability distributions that can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant. The key idea is to fit the target distribution with an exponential family model…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Alexis Roche

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

High throughput technologies have become the practice of choice for comparative studies in biomedical applications. Limited number of sample points due to sequencing cost or access to organisms of interest necessitates the development of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Ariana Broumand , Siamak Zamani Dadaneh

A piecewise Pad\'e-Chebyshev type (PiPCT) approximation method is proposed to minimize the Gibbs phenomenon in approximating piecewise smooth functions. A theorem on $L^1$-error estimate is proved for sufficiently smooth functions using a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-15 S. Akansha , S. Baskar

The cumulative shrinkage process is an increasing shrinkage prior that can be employed within models in which additional terms are supposed to play a progressively negligible role. A natural application is to Gaussian factor models, where…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-13 Sirio Legramanti

This paper is devoted to establishing exponential bounds for the probabilities of deviation of a sample sum from its expectation, when the variables involved in the summation are obtained by sampling in a finite population according to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-13 Patrice Bertail , Stephan Clémençon

Importance sampling is a widely used technique to estimate properties of a distribution. This paper investigates trading-off some bias for variance by adaptively winsorizing the importance sampling estimator. The novel winsorizing…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-10 Paulo Orenstein

We introduce a discrete-space analogue of the No-U-Turn sampler on the symmetric group $S_n$, yielding a locally adaptive and reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo method for $\mathrm{Mallows}(d,\sigma_0)$. Here $d:S_n\times S_n\to[0,\infty)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Zichu Wang

Inference for Dirichlet process hierarchical models is typically performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, which can be roughly categorised into marginal and conditional methods. The former integrate out analytically the…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-24 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

We explore some properties of the conditional distribution of an i.i.d. sample under large exceedances of its sum. Thresholds for the asymptotic independance of the summands are observed, in contrast with the classical case when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-14 Maeva Biret , Michel Broniatowski , Zangsheng Cao

We propose a coupled rejection-sampling method for sampling from couplings of arbitrary distributions. The method relies on accepting or rejecting coupled samples coming from dominating marginals. Contrary to existing acceptance-rejection…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Adrien Corenflos , Simo Särkkä