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Firms are more likely to introduce products in markets where they anticipate stronger demand. They also possess information that is unobserved to researchers. This creates endogenous selection bias in the estimation of demand parameters.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-13 Victor Aguirregabiria , Alessandro Iaria , Senay Sokullu

Econometric identification generally relies on orthogonality conditions, which usually state that the random error term is uncorrelated with the explanatory variables. In convex regression, the orthogonality conditions for identification…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Sheng Dai , Timo Kuosmanen , Xun Zhou

This paper investigates a statistical procedure for testing the equality of two independent estimated covariance matrices when the number of potentially dependent data vectors is large and proportional to the size of the vectors, that is,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Rémy Mariétan , Stephan Morgenthaler

In practice, data often contain discrete variables. But most of the popular nonparametric estimation methods have been developed in a purely continuous framework. A common trick among practitioners is to make discrete variables continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-08 Thomas Nagler

Data-driven methods that detect anomalies in times series data are ubiquitous in practice, but they are in general unable to provide helpful explanations for the predictions they make. In this work we propose a model-agnostic algorithm that…

Recommender systems are seen as an effective tool to address information overload, but it is widely known that the presence of various biases makes direct training on large-scale observational data result in sub-optimal prediction…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Haoxuan Li , Yanghao Xiao , Chunyuan Zheng , Peng Wu

This paper examines a stochastic deconvolution problem on compact symmetric spaces which is referred to as decompounding. This involves estimating the step distributions of a random walk, where in addition the number of steps between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Erik Kennerland

A general structural equation model is fitted on a panel data set that consists of $I$ correlated samples. The correlated samples could be data from correlated populations or correlated observations from occasions of panel data. We consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Savas Papadopoulos , Yasuo Amemiya

We reexamine the classical linear regression model when the model is subject to two types of uncertainty: (i) some of covariates are either missing or completely inaccessible, and (ii) the variance of the measurement error is undetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

I provide a model of rational inattention with heterogeneity and prove it is observationally equivalent to a state-dependent stochastic choice model subject to attention costs. I demonstrate that additive separability of unobservable…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-16 Martin Bustos

Prediction markets are often described as mechanisms that ``aggregate information'' into prices, yet the mapping from dispersed private information to observed market histories is typically noisy, endogenous, and shaped by heterogeneous and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-28 Juan Pablo Madrigal-Cianci , Camilo Monsalve Maya , Lachlan Breakey

The indistinguishability of non-orthogonal pure states lies at the heart of quantum information processing. Although the indistinguishability reflects the impossibility of measuring complementary physical quantities by a single measurement,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-02-13 Seiseki Akibue , Go Kato , Naoki Marumo

Unmeasured confounding presents a common challenge in observational studies, potentially making standard causal parameters unidentifiable without additional assumptions. Given the increasing availability of diverse data sources, exploiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Shanshan Luo , Yechi Zhang , Wei Li

This paper extends the class of ordinal regression models with a structured interpretation of the problem by applying a novel treatment of encoded labels. The net effect of this is to transform the underlying problem from an ordinal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Niall Twomey , Rafael Poyiadzi , Callum Mann , Raúl Santos-Rodríguez

We propose a technique for reformulation of state and parameter estimation problems as that of matching explicitly computable definite integrals with known kernels to data. The technique applies for a class of systems of nonlinear ordinary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-11 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban

International comparisons of hierarchical time series data sets based on survey data, such as annual country-level estimates of school enrollment rates, can suffer from large amounts of missing data due to differing coverage of surveys…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Daphne H. Liu , Adrian E. Raftery

We study the reknown deconvolution problem of recovering a distribution function from independent replicates (signal) additively contaminated with random errors (noise), whose distribution is known. We investigate whether a Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-15 Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

Binary classification is widely used in ML production systems. Monitoring classifiers in a constrained event space is well known. However, real world production systems often lack the ground truth these methods require. Privacy concerns may…

We consider parameter estimation of ordinary differential equation (ODE) models from noisy observations. For this problem, one conventional approach is to fit numerical solutions (e.g., Euler, Runge--Kutta) of ODEs to data. However, such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-01 Takeru Matsuda , Yuto Miyatake
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