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Advances in precision medicine increasingly drive methodological innovation in health research. A key development is the use of personalized prediction models (PPMs), which are fit using a similar subpopulation tailored to a specific index…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Tatiana Krikella , Joel A. Dubin

We consider the problem of model multiplicity in downstream decision-making, a setting where two predictive models of equivalent accuracy cannot agree on the best-response action for a downstream loss function. We show that even when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Ally Yalei Du , Dung Daniel Ngo , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Machine learning models are often used to inform real world risk assessment tasks: predicting consumer default risk, predicting whether a person suffers from a serious illness, or predicting a person's risk to appear in court. Given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , David C. Parkes , Berk Ustun

Personalized models are essential in digital health because individuals exhibit substantial physiological and behavioral heterogeneity. Yet personalization is limited by scarce and noisy user-specific data. Most existing methods rely on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Zhongqi Yang , Mahkameh Rasouli , Neda Mohseni , Yong Huang , Iman Azimi , Amir M. Rahmani

Multi-objective optimization problems (MOPs) require the simultaneous optimization of conflicting objectives. Real-world MOPs often exhibit complex characteristics, including high-dimensional decision spaces, many objectives, or…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Haokai Hong , Liang Feng , Min Jiang , Kay Chen Tan

Personalized medicine has become an important part of medicine, for instance predicting individual drug responses based on genomic information. However, many current statistical methods are not tailored to this task, because they overlook…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-03 Shih-Ting Huang , Yannick Düren , Kristoffer H. Hellton , Johannes Lederer

The performance of finetuned large language models (LLMs) hinges critically on the composition of the training mixture. However, selecting an optimal blend of task datasets remains a largely manual, heuristic driven process, with…

Recommender systems are personalized: we expect the results given to a particular user to reflect that user's preferences. Some researchers have studied the notion of calibration, how well recommendations match users' stated preferences,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Kun Lin , Nasim Sonboli , Bamshad Mobasher , Robin Burke

Probabilistic mixture models have been widely used for different machine learning and pattern recognition tasks such as clustering, dimensionality reduction, and classification. In this paper, we focus on trying to solve the most common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Gustavo A Valencia-Zapata , Daniel Mejia , Gerhard Klimeck , Michael Zentner , Okan Ersoy

In a well-calibrated risk prediction model, the average predicted probability is close to the true event rate for any given subgroup. Such models are reliable across heterogeneous populations and satisfy strong notions of algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Jean Feng , Alexej Gossmann , Romain Pirracchio , Nicholas Petrick , Gene Pennello , Berkman Sahiner

As algorithms increasingly inform and influence decisions made about individuals, it becomes increasingly important to address concerns that these algorithms might be discriminatory. The output of an algorithm can be discriminatory for many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-19 Úrsula Hébert-Johnson , Michael P. Kim , Omer Reingold , Guy N. Rothblum

Machine learning models $-$ now commonly developed to screen, diagnose, or predict health conditions $-$ are evaluated with a variety of performance metrics. An important first step in assessing the practical utility of a model is to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-27 Andrew C. Miller , Leon A. Gatys , Joseph Futoma , Emily B. Fox

The recent trend towards Personalized Federated Learning (PFL) has garnered significant attention as it allows for the training of models that are tailored to each client while maintaining data privacy. However, current PFL techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Yue Wu , Shuaicheng Zhang , Wenchao Yu , Yanchi Liu , Quanquan Gu , Dawei Zhou , Haifeng Chen , Wei Cheng

Recent works have shown that deep neural networks can achieve super-human performance in a wide range of image classification tasks in the medical imaging domain. However, these works have primarily focused on classification accuracy,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Gongbo Liang , Yu Zhang , Xiaoqin Wang , Nathan Jacobs

Personalization aims to characterize individual preferences and is widely applied across many fields. However, conventional personalized methods operate in a centralized manner, potentially exposing raw data when pooling individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Hao Di , Yi Yang , Haishan Ye , Xiangyu Chang

Calibration is a well-studied property of predictors which guarantees meaningful uncertainty estimates. Multicalibration is a related notion -- originating in algorithmic fairness -- which requires predictors to be simultaneously calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Dutch Hansen , Siddartha Devic , Preetum Nakkiran , Vatsal Sharan

Most supervised machine learning tasks are subject to irreducible prediction errors. Probabilistic predictive models address this limitation by providing probability distributions that represent a belief over plausible targets, rather than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

As machine learning models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes environments, ensuring both probabilistic reliability and prediction stability has become critical. This paper examines the interplay between classification calibration and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Mustafa Cavus

Machine learning (ML) is transforming healthcare, but safe clinical decisions demand reliable uncertainty estimates that standard ML models fail to provide. Conformal prediction (CP) is a popular tool that allows users to turn heuristic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Klaus-Rudolf Kladny , Bernhard Schölkopf , Lisa Koch , Christian F. Baumgartner , Michael Muehlebach

Artificial intelligence(AI)-assisted method had received much attention in the risk field such as disease diagnosis. Different from the classification of disease types, it is a fine-grained task to classify the medical images as benign or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Shuang Ge , Kehong Yuan , Maokun Han , Desheng Sun , Huabin Zhang , Qiongyu Ye
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