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Estimating and disentangling epistemic uncertainty, uncertainty that is reducible with more training data, and aleatoric uncertainty, uncertainty that is inherent to the task at hand, is critically important when applying machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Matthew A. Chan , Maria J. Molina , Christopher A. Metzler

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Uncertainty estimation has been widely studied in medical image segmentation as a tool to provide reliability, particularly in deep learning approaches. However, previous methods generally lack effective supervision in uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Yuzhu Li , An Sui , Fuping Wu , Xiahai Zhuang

In the semantic segmentation of street scenes with neural networks, the reliability of predictions is of highest interest. The assessment of neural networks by means of uncertainties is a common ansatz to prevent safety issues. As in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Kira Maag , Matthias Rottmann , Hanno Gottschalk

Uncertainty quantification is a key pillar of trustworthy machine learning. It enables safe reactions under unsafe inputs, like predicting only when the machine learning model detects sufficient evidence, discarding anomalous data, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Michael Kirchhof

Iterative phase retrieval algorithms typically employ projections onto constraint subspaces to recover the unknown phases in the Fourier transform of an image, or, in the case of x-ray crystallography, the electron density of a molecule.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Veit Elser

Accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous driving, yet uncertainty in agent behavior and perception noise makes it inherently challenging. While multi-modal trajectory prediction models generate multiple plausible future…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Sajad Marvi , Christoph Rist , Julian Schmidt , Julian Jordan , Abhinav Valada

Recent results in nonparametric regression show that for deep learning, i.e., for neural network estimates with many hidden layers, we are able to achieve good rates of convergence even in case of high-dimensional predictor variables,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Alina Braun , Michael Kohler , Adam Krzyzak

Accurate image registration is essential in many medical imaging applications, yet most deep registration networks provide little indication of when or where their predictions are unreliable. Existing uncertainty estimation approaches, such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Lin Tian , Xiaoling Hu , Juan Eugenio Iglesias

Load forecasting has long been recognized as an important building block for all utility operational planning efforts. Over the recent years, it has become ever more challenging to make accurate forecasts due to the proliferation of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Guangrui Xie , Xi Chen , Yang Weng

Recently, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have been widely used to solve the illuminant estimation problem and have often led to state-of-the-art results. Standard approaches operate directly on the input image. In this paper, we argue…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-11 Firas Laakom , Jenni Raitoharju , Jarno Nikkanen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

Estimation of model uncertainty can help improve the explainability of Graph Convolutional Networks and the accuracy of the models at the same time. Uncertainty can also be used in critical applications to verify the results of the model by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Illia Oleksiienko , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis

In this paper we introduce a novel way of estimating prediction uncertainty in deep networks through the use of uncertainty surrogates. These surrogates are features of the penultimate layer of a deep network that are forced to match…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Radhakrishna Achanta , Natasa Tagasovska

Reliable probability estimation is of crucial importance in many real-world applications where there is inherent (aleatoric) uncertainty. Probability-estimation models are trained on observed outcomes (e.g. whether it has rained or not, or…

In this paper, we diagnose deep neural networks for 3D point cloud processing to explore utilities of different intermediate-layer network architectures. We propose a number of hypotheses on the effects of specific intermediate-layer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Wen Shen , Zhihua Wei , Shikun Huang , Binbin Zhang , Panyue Chen , Ping Zhao , Quanshi Zhang

Recent advances in deep learning have shown that uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly important in applications such as medical imaging, natural language processing, and autonomous systems. However, accurately quantifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Uddeshya Upadhyay , Jae Myung Kim , Cordelia Schmidt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Zeynep Akata

Machine learning classifiers are probabilistic in nature, and thus inevitably involve uncertainty. Predicting the probability of a specific input to be correct is called uncertainty (or confidence) estimation and is crucial for risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

Retrieval augmented Question Answering (QA) helps QA models overcome knowledge gaps by incorporating retrieved evidence, typically a set of passages, alongside the question at test time. Previous studies show that this approach improves QA…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Laura Perez-Beltrachini , Mirella Lapata

Training multiple deep neural networks (DNNs) and averaging their outputs is a simple way to improve the predictive performance. Nevertheless, the multiplied training cost prevents this ensemble method to be practical and efficient. Several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Feng Wang , Guoyizhe Wei , Qiao Liu , Jinxiang Ou , Xian Wei , Hairong Lv

In the field of deep learning based computer vision, the development of deep object detection has led to unique paradigms (e.g., two-stage or set-based) and architectures (e.g., Faster-RCNN or DETR) which enable outstanding performance on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Denis Huseljic , Marek Herde , Mehmet Muejde , Bernhard Sick
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