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We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

In numerous regular statistical models, median bias reduction (Kenne Pagui et al., 2017) has proven to be a noteworthy improvement over maximum likelihood, alternative to mean bias reduction. The estimator is obtained as solution to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori

In regression analysis under artificial neural networks, the prediction performance depends on determining the appropriate weights between layers. As randomly initialized weights are updated during back-propagation using the gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Eunho Koo , Hyungjun Kim

It is now practically the norm for data to be very high dimensional in areas such as genetics, machine vision, image analysis and many others. When analyzing such data, parametric models are often too inflexible while nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-31 Abhishek Bhattacharya , Garritt Page , David Dunson

Existing weighting methods for treatment effect estimation are often built upon the idea of propensity scores or covariate balance. They usually impose strong assumptions on treatment assignment or outcome model to obtain unbiased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Dongcheng Zhang , Kunpeng Zhang

This paper addresses the deconvolution problem of estimating a square-integrable probability density from observations contaminated with additive measurement errors having a known density. The estimator begins with a density estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 David Kent , David Ruppert

The order of smoothness chosen in nonparametric estimation problems is critical. This choice balances the tradeoff between model parsimony and data overfitting. The most common approach used in this context is cross-validation. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez , Sujit Ghosh

We present a method for the approximate propagation of mean and covariance of a probability distribution through ordinary differential equations (ODE) with discontinous right-hand side. For piecewise affine systems, a normalization of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Florian Messerer , Katrin Baumgärtner , Armin Nurkanović , Moritz Diehl

Multivariate associated kernel estimators, which depend on both target point and bandwidth matrix, are appropriate for partially or totally bounded distributions and generalize the classical ones as Gaussian. Previous studies on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Célestin C. Kokonendji , Sobom M. Somé

Estimating the expectation of a real-valued function of a random variable from sample data is a critical aspect of statistical analysis, with far-reaching implications in various applications. Current methodologies typically assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Paweł Lorek , Rafał Nowak , Rafał Topolnicki , Tomasz Trzciński , Maciej Zięba , Aleksandra Krystecka

The Dirichlet distribution, also known as multivariate beta, is the most used to analyse frequencies or proportions data. Maximum likelihood is widespread for estimation of Dirichlet's parameters. However, for small sample sizes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Vincenzo Gioia , Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui

When modeling a probability distribution with a Bayesian network, we are faced with the problem of how to handle continuous variables. Most previous work has either solved the problem by discretizing, or assumed that the data are generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-21 George H. John , Pat Langley

In this paper, we focus on distributed estimation and support recovery for high-dimensional linear quantile regression. Quantile regression is a popular alternative tool to the least squares regression for robustness against outliers and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Caixing Wang , Ziliang Shen

Volumetry is one of the principal downstream applications of 3D medical image segmentation, for example, to detect abnormal tissue growth or for surgery planning. Conformal Prediction is a promising framework for uncertainty quantification,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Benjamin Lambert , Florence Forbes , Senan Doyle , Michel Dojat

The covariate shift is a challenging problem in supervised learning that results from the discrepancy between the training and test distributions. An effective approach which recently drew a considerable attention in the research community…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-27 Yun-Qian Miao , Ahmed K. Farahat , Mohamed S. Kamel

We consider a semiparametric mixture of two univariate density functions where one of them is known while the weight and the other function are unknown. Such mixtures have a history of application to the problem of detecting differentially…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Zhou Shen , Michael Levine , Zuofeng Shang

The spectral density function describes the second-order properties of a stationary stochastic process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This paper considers the nonparametric estimation of the spectral density of a continuous-time stochastic process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Rafail Kartsioukas , Stilian Stoev , Tailen Hsing

This paper generalizes beta divergence beyond its classical form associated with power variance functions of Tweedie models. Generalized form is represented by a compact definite integral as a function of variance function of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-19 Y. Kenan Yilmaz

While efficient distribution learning is no doubt behind the groundbreaking success of diffusion modeling, its theoretical guarantees are quite limited. In this paper, we provide the first rigorous analysis on approximation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Kazusato Oko , Shunta Akiyama , Taiji Suzuki

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions with a wide range of applications in economics, telecommunications, biology, applied, and theoretical physics. This is due to the fact that it possesses both the skewness and heavy tails. Since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Mahdi Teimouri
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