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Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

This paper proposes a new type of recurrence where we divide the Markov chains into intervals that start when the chain enters into a subset A, then sample another subset B far away from A and end when the chain again return to A. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-24 Lars Holden

We prove that every oriented tree on $n$ vertices with bounded maximum degree appears as a spanning subdigraph of every directed graph on $n$ vertices with minimum semidegree at least $n/2+o(n)$. This can be seen as a directed graph…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Richard Mycroft , Tássio Naia

We consider the minimum spanning tree problem in a setting where the edge weights are stochastic from unknown distributions, and the only available information is a single sample of each edge's weight distribution. In this setting, we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Ruben Hoeksma , Gavin Speek , Marc Uetz

We study a broad class of random labelled trees in which integer-valued labels evolve along the edges according to increments in $\{-1, 0, 1\}$. These models include e.g. branching random walks, embedded complete and incomplete binary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Alexis Metz-Donnadieu

Markov chain Monte Carlo is a method of producing a correlated sample in order to estimate features of a target distribution via ergodic averages. A fundamental question is when should sampling stop? That is, when are the ergodic averages…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Galin Jones , Murali Haran , Brian Caffo , Ronald Neath

It is possible to represent each of a number of Markov chains as an evolving sequence of connected subsets of a directed acyclic graph that grow in the following way: initially, all vertices of the graph are unoccupied, particles are fed in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Steven N. Evans , Rudolf Gruebel , Anton Wakolbinger

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ of an arbitrary ergodic finite-state Markov chain from a single trajectory of length $m$. The reversible case was addressed by Hsu et al. [2019], who left the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

The spectral gap $\gamma$ of an ergodic and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-19 David A. Levin , Yuval Peres

A rigorous and largely self-contained account of (a) the bread-and-butter concepts and techniques in Markov chain theory and (b) the long-term behaviour of chains. As much as possible, the treatment is probabilistic instead of analytical (I…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-25 Juan Kuntz

The spanning tree heuristic is a commonly adopted procedure in network inference and estimation. It allows one to generalize an inference method developed for trees, which is usually based on a statistically rigorous approach, to a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-22 Feng Ji , Wenchang Tang , Wee Peng Tay

The ergodic hypothesis is examined for energetically open fluid systems represented by the barotropic Navier--Stokes equations with general inflow/outflow boundary conditions. We show that any globally bounded trajectory generates a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Francesco Fanelli , Eduard Feireisl , Martina Hofmanová

It is known that the Dobrushin's ergodicity coefficient is one of the effective tools to study a behavior of non-homogeneous Markov chains. In the present paper, we define such an ergodicity coefficient of a positive mapping defined on…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Farrukh Mukhamedov

We introduce a new property of Markov chains, called variance bounding. We prove that, for reversible chains at least, variance bounding is weaker than, but closely related to, geometric ergodicity. Furthermore, variance bounding is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We prove explicit, i.e. non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The problem is to compute the expectation of a function f with respect to a measure {\pi}. Different convergence properties of Markov chains imply…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Daniel Rudolf

We introduce a new braid-theoretic framework with which to understand the Legendrian and transversal classification of knots, namely a Legendrian Markov Theorem without Stabilization which induces an associated transversal Markov Theorem…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Douglas J. LaFountain , William W. Menasco

We consider hidden Markov models indexed by a binary tree where the hidden state space is a general metric space. We study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters based only on the observed variables. In both…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Julien Weibel

We derive explicit upper bounds for the $\bar{d}$-distance between a chain of infinite order and its canonical $k$-steps Markov approximation. Our proof is entirely constructive and involves a "coupling from the past" argument. The new…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-16 Sandro Gallo , Matthieu Lerasle , Daniel Yasumasa Takahashi

In this paper we study ergodic backward stochastic differential equations (EBSDEs) dropping the strong dissipativity assumption needed in the previous work. In other words we do not need to require the uniform exponential decay of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-12 Arnaud Debussche , Ying Hu , Gianmario Tessitore

Traditionally, graph neural networks have been trained using a single observed graph. However, the observed graph represents only one possible realization. In many applications, the graph may encounter uncertainties, such as having…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 See Hian Lee , Feng Ji , Kelin Xia , Wee Peng Tay
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