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We establish self-norming central limit theorems for non-stationary time series arising as observations on sequential maps possessing an indifferent fixed point. These transformations are obtained by perturbing the slope in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Matthew Nicol , Andrew Török , Sandro Vaienti

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Yun Li , Longjie Xie

Let {F_n} be a normalized sequence of random variables in some fixed Wiener chaos associated with a general Gaussian field, and assume that E[F_n^4] --> E[N^4]=3, where N is a standard Gaussian random variable. Our main result is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-08 Hermine Biermé , Aline Bonami , Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

Let $\{Z_n, n\geq 0\}$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment. We prove Cram\'{e}r moderate deviations and Berry-Esseen bounds for $\ln (Z_{n+n_0}/Z_{n_0})$ % under the annealed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Xiequan Fan , Haijuan Hu , Quansheng Liu

This paper studies the asymptotic distribution of descents $\des(w)$ in a permutation $w$, and its inverse, distributed according to the Mallows measure. The Mallows measure is a non-uniform probability measure on permutations introduced to…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Jimmy He

We establish a general Berry-Esseen type bound which gives optimal bounds in many situations under suitable moment assumptions. By combining the general bound with Palm theory, we deduce a new error bound for assessing the accuracy of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Louis H. Y. Chen , Adrian Röllin , Aihua Xia

Fix a container polygon $P$ in the plane and consider the convex hull $P_n$ of $n\geq 3$ independent and uniformly distributed in $P$ random points. In the focus of this paper is the vertex number of the random polygon $P_n$. The precise…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Anna Gusakova , Matthias Reitzner , Christoph Thäle

We consider a discrete stochastic process, indexed by lines through the unit disk in the plane, which models the observed photon counts in a medical X-ray tomography scan. We first prove a functional law of large numbers, showing that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Tyler Gomez , Jason Swanson , Alexandru Tamasan

The aim of this paper is to present a new proof of an explicit version of the Berry-Ess\'{e}en type inequality of Bolthausen (Zeitschrift f\"ur Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie und Verwandte Gebiete, 66, 379--386, 1984). The literature already…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-27 Bero Roos

The Berry-Ess\'{e}en upper bounds of moment estimators and least squares estimators of the mean and drift coefficients in Vasicek models driven by general Gaussian processes are studied. When studying the parameter estimation problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Yong Chen , Yumin Cheng

The multivariate central limit theorems (CLT) for the volumes of excursion sets of stationary quasi-associated random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$ are proved. Special attention is paid to Gaussian and shot noise fields. Formulae for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Alexander Bulinski , Evgeny Spodarev , Florian Timmermann

Concentration inequalities for the sample mean, like those due to Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Bentkus, are valid for any sample size but overly conservative, yielding confidence intervals that are unnecessarily wide. The central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Morgane Austern , Lester Mackey

Consider the multivariate Stein equation $\Delta f - x\cdot \nabla f = h(x) - E h(Z)$, where $Z$ is a standard $d$-dimensional Gaussian random vector, and let $f\_h$ be the solution given by Barbour's generator approach. We prove that, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Thomas Gallouët , Guillaume Mijoule , Yvik Swan

Consider the set of all sequences of $n$ outcomes, each taking one of $m$ values, that satisfy a number of linear constraints. If $m$ is fixed while $n$ increases, most sequences that satisfy the constraints result in frequency vectors…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Kostas N. Oikonomou , Peter D. Grunwald

Ordinary differential equations obtained as limits of Markov processes appear in many settings. They may arise by scaling large systems, or by averaging rapidly fluctuating systems, or in systems involving multiple time-scales, by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Hye-Won Kang , Thomas G. Kurtz , Lea Popovic

We consider the stochastic integrals of multivariate point processes and study their concentration phenomena. In particular, we obtain a Bernstein type of concentration inequality through Dol\'eans-Dade exponential formula and a uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-24 Hanchao Wang , Zhengyan Lin , Zhonggen Su

We derive new bounds of the remainder in a combinatorial central limit theorem without assumptions on independence and existence of moments of summands. For independent random variables our theorems imply Esseen and Berry-Esseen type…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-08 Andrei N. Frolov

For integer valued random variables, the translated Poisson distributions form a flexible family for approximation in total variation, in much the same way that the normal family is used for approximation in Kolmogorov distance. Using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-26 A. D. Barbour , Malwina J. Luczak , Aihua Xia

We investigate here the Central Limit Theorem of the Increment Ratio Statistic of a multifractional Brownian motion, leading to a CLT for the time varying Hurst index. The proofs are quite simple relying on Breuer-Major theorems and an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-27 Pierre R. Bertrand , Mehdi Fhima , Arnaud Guillin

In this article we will introduce the realised semicovariance for Brownian semistationary (BSS) processes, which is obtained from the decomposition of the realised covariance matrix into components based on the signs of the returns, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Yuan Li , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart
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