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This paper shows how we can combine logical representations of actions and decision theory in such a manner that seems natural for both. In particular we assume an axiomatization of the domain in terms of situation calculus, using what is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 David L. Poole

Calibrating blackbox machine learning models to achieve risk control is crucial to ensure reliable decision-making. A rich line of literature has been studying how to calibrate a model so that its predictions satisfy explicit finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Victor Li , Baiting Chen , Yuzhen Mao , Qi Lei , Zhun Deng

We present a new family of exchangeable stochastic processes, the Functional Neural Processes (FNPs). FNPs model distributions over functions by learning a graph of dependencies on top of latent representations of the points in the given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Christos Louizos , Xiahan Shi , Klamer Schutte , Max Welling

Model Predictive Control (MPC) offers a versatile framework for constraint handling and multi-objective optimisation, yet practical application faces challenges regarding initial and recursive feasibility, robustness against model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Dario Dennstädt

For many stochastic dynamic systems, the Mean First Passage Time (MFPT) is a useful concept, which gives expected time before a state of interest. This work is an extension of MFPT in several ways. (1) We show that for some systems the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-12-23 Cenk Oguz Saglam , Katie Byl

The first passage time (FPT) problem is studied for superstatistical models assuming that the mesoscopic system dynamics is described by a Fokker-Planck equation. We show that all moments of the random intensive parameter associated to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-30 Adrián A. Budini , Manuel O. Cáceres

We pursue an inverse approach to utility theory and consumption & investment problems. Instead of specifying an agent's utility function and deriving her actions, we assume we observe her actions (i.e. her consumption and investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Alexander M. G. Cox , David Hobson , Jan Obloj

This work aims to introduce the framework of polynomial optimization theory to solve fractional polynomial problems (FPPs). Unlike other widely used optimization frameworks, the proposed one applies to a larger class of FPPs, not…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-17 Andrea Pizzo , Alessio Zappone , Luca Sanguinetti

We revisit closed-loop performance guarantees for Model Predictive Control in the deterministic and stochastic cases, which extend to novel performance results applicable to receding horizon control of Partially Observable Markov Decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

To improve the efficiency of elderly assessments, an influence-based fast preceding questionnaire model (FPQM) is proposed. Compared with traditional assessments, the FPQM optimizes questionnaires by reordering their attributes. The values…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-23 Tong Mo , Rong Zhang , Weiping Li , Jingbo Zhang , Zhonghai Wu , Wei Tan

Semiparametric accelerated failure time (AFT) models directly relate the predicted failure times to covariates and are a useful alternative to models that work on the hazard function or the survival function. For case-cohort data, much less…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-15 Steven Chiou , Sangwook Kang , Jun Yan

With the advent and recent ubiquity of foundation models, continual learning (CL) has recently shifted from continual training from scratch to the continual adaptation of pretrained models, seeing particular success on rehearsal-free CL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Lukas Thede , Karsten Roth , Olivier J. Hénaff , Matthias Bethge , Zeynep Akata

The most commonly accepted model for investors' preferences is expected utility theory. More recently, other theories have emerged and pose new challenges to mathematics. The present paper treats preferences of cumulative prospect theory…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-07 Miklós Rásonyi , José Gregorio Rodríguez-Villarreal

We propose a framework for modeling and estimating the state of controlled dynamical systems, where an agent can affect the system through actions and receives partial observations. Based on this framework, we propose the Predictive State…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-02 Ahmed Hefny , Carlton Downey , Geoffrey J. Gordon

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are elegant probabilistic models of repulsion that arise in quantum physics and random matrix theory. In contrast to traditional structured models like Markov random fields, which become intractable and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-11 Alex Kulesza , Ben Taskar

This paper presents new fast exact feasibility tests for uniprocessor real-time systems using preemptive EDF scheduling. Task sets which are accepted by previously described sufficient tests will be evaluated in nearly the same time as with…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Karsten Albers , Frank Slomka

The problem of predicting the training time of machine learning (ML) models has become extremely relevant in the scientific community. Being able to predict a priori the training time of an ML model would enable the automatic selection of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-21 Francesca Marzi , Giordano d'Aloisio , Antinisca Di Marco , Giovanni Stilo

In this paper, we consider the gradual-impulse control problem of continuous-time Markov decision processes, where the system performance is measured by the expectation of the exponential utility of the total cost. We prove, under very…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-16 Xin Guo , Aiko Kurushima , Alexey Piunovskiy , Yi Zhang

Deterministic model predictive control (MPC), while powerful, is often insufficient for effectively controlling autonomous systems in the real-world. Factors such as environmental noise and model error can cause deviations from the expected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Alex Oshin , Hassan Almubarak , Evangelos A. Theodorou

This paper introduces a novel concept, fuzzy-logic-based model predictive control (FLMPC), along with a multi-robot control approach for exploring unknown environments and locating targets. Traditional model predictive control (MPC) methods…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Filip Surma , Anahita Jamshidnejad