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A variance swap is a derivative with a path-dependent payoff which allows investors to take positions on the future variability of an asset. In the idealised setting of a continuously monitored variance swap written on an asset with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-16 David Hobson , Martin Klimmek

Calibration means that forecasts and average realized frequencies are close. We develop the concept of forecast hedging, which consists of choosing the forecasts so as to guarantee that the expected track record can only improve. This…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-14 Dean P. Foster , Sergiu Hart

An important disadvantage of the h-index is that typically it cannot take into account the specific field of research of a researcher. Usually sample point estimates of the average and median h-index values for the various fields are…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-08-29 C. Malesios , S. Psarakis

Quality-designed consumer products are easy to recognize. Wouldn't it be great if the quality of financial products became just as apparent? This paper is addressed to financial practitioners. It provides an informal introduction to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Andrei N. Soklakov

Crime can have a volatile impact on investments. Despite the potential importance of crime rates in investments, there are no indices dedicated to evaluating the financial impact of crime in the United States. As such, this paper presents…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Thilini Mahanama , Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar Rachev

This paper assesses the hedge effectiveness of an index-based longevity swap and a longevity cap. Although swaps are a natural instrument for hedging longevity risk, derivatives with non-linear pay-offs, such as longevity caps, also provide…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-04 Man Chung Fung , Katja Ignatieva , Michael Sherris

Forecasting stock returns is a challenging problem due to the highly stochastic nature of the market and the vast array of factors and events that can influence trading volume and prices. Nevertheless it has proven to be an attractive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-15 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Yang Xu , Ruihai Dong

Most methods for decision-theoretic online learning are based on the Hedge algorithm, which takes a parameter called the learning rate. In most previous analyses the learning rate was carefully tuned to obtain optimal worst-case…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-04 Tim van Erven , Peter Grünwald , Wouter M. Koolen , Steven de Rooij

A constant weight asset allocation is a popular investment strategy and is optimal under a suitable continuous model. We study the tracking error for the target continuous rebalancing strategy by a feasible discrete-in-time rebalancing…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Masayuki Ando , Masaaki Fukasawa

The h-index has been shown to have predictive power. Here I report results of an empirical study showing that the increase of the h-index with time often depends for a long time on citations to rather old publications. This inert behavior…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-02-06 Michael Schreiber

The aim of this research is to give a simple framework to evaluate/quantize the "transparency" of a firm. We assume that the process of the firm value is only observable once in a while but is strongly correlated with the stock price which…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-27 Jirô Akahori , Yuuki Kanishi , Yuichi Morimura

Latest research proposes to replace existing index structures with learned models. However, current learned indexes tend to have many hyperparameters, often do not provide any error guarantees, and are expensive to build. We introduce…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Mihail Stoian , Andreas Kipf , Ryan Marcus , Tim Kraska

Portfolio diversification and active risk management are essential parts of financial analysis which became even more crucial (and questioned) during and after the years of the Global Financial Crisis. We propose a novel approach to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Ladislav Kristoufek

Natural hedging allows life insurers to manage longevity risk internally by offsetting the opposite exposures of life insurance and annuity liabilities. Although many studies have proposed natural hedging strategies under different…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-22 Lydia J. Gabric , Kenneth Q. Zhou

This paper examines the volatility and covariance dynamics of cash and futures contracts that underlie the Optimal Hedge Ratio (OHR) across different hedging time horizons. We examine whether hedge ratios calculated over a short term…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-31 John Cotter , Jim Hanly

We present an algorithm for the decomposition of periodic financial return data into orthogonal factors of expected return and "systemic", "productive", and "nonproductive" risk. Generally, when the number of funds does not exceed the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-19 Vic Norton

Confidence intervals are an established means of portraying uncertainty about an inferred parameter and can be generated through the use of confidence distributions. For a confidence distribution to be ideal, it must maintain frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-16 Alexander Wimbush , Nicholas Gray , Scott Ferson

The aim of this work is to create systematic trading strategies built upon several financial crisis indicators based on the spectral properties of market dynamics. Within the limitations of our framework and data, we will demonstrate that…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-11 Antoine Kornprobst

We study neural networks as nonparametric estimation tools for the hedging of options. To this end, we design a network, named HedgeNet, that directly outputs a hedging strategy. This network is trained to minimise the hedging error instead…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Johannes Ruf , Weiguan Wang

Unlike developed market, some emerging markets are dominated by retail and unprofessional trading. China A share market is a good and fitting example in last 20 years. Meanwhile, lots of research show professional investor in China A share…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-03 Ke Zhang