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Existing approaches to the crime prediction problem are unsuccessful in expressing the details since they assign the probability values to large regions. This paper introduces a new architecture with the graph convolutional networks (GCN)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Selim Furkan Tekin , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Regression models are used for inference and prediction in a wide range of applications providing a powerful scientific tool for researchers and analysts from different fields. In many research fields the amount of available data as well as…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet

We consider the problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for deep neural networks, which is important in problem settings where we may have little data, and/ or where we need accurate posterior predictive densities, e.g., for applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-10 Anoop Korattikara , Vivek Rathod , Kevin Murphy , Max Welling

Bayesian neural networks (BNN) and deep ensembles are principled approaches to estimate the predictive uncertainty of a deep learning model. However their practicality in real-time, industrial-scale applications are limited due to their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , Zi Lin , Shreyas Padhy , Dustin Tran , Tania Bedrax-Weiss , Balaji Lakshminarayanan

Providing accurate uncertainty estimations is essential for producing reliable machine learning models, especially in safety-critical applications such as accelerator systems. Gaussian process models are generally regarded as the gold…

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular model for spatially referenced data and allow descriptive statements, predictions at new locations, and simulation of new fields. Often a few parameters are sufficient to parameterize the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

Three major challenges in reinforcement learning are the complex dynamical systems with large state spaces, the costly data acquisition processes, and the deviation of real-world dynamics from the training environment deployment. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Shyam Sundhar Ramesh , Pier Giuseppe Sessa , Yifan Hu , Andreas Krause , Ilija Bogunovic

Graph convolutional networks (GCNs) have achieved huge success in several machine learning (ML) tasks on graph-structured data. Recently, several sampling techniques have been proposed for the efficient training of GCNs and to improve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Saket Gurukar , Shaileshh Bojja Venkatakrishnan , Balaraman Ravindran , Srinivasan Parthasarathy

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

Active learning optimizes the exploration of large parameter spaces by strategically selecting which experiments or simulations to conduct, thus reducing resource consumption and potentially accelerating scientific discovery. A key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 Maxim Ziatdinov

Probabilistic models such as Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful tools to learn unknown dynamical systems from data for subsequent use in control design. While learning-based control has the potential to yield superior performance in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-22 Alexander von Rohr , Matthias Neumann-Brosig , Sebastian Trimpe

In Hezaveh et al. 2017 we showed that deep learning can be used for model parameter estimation and trained convolutional neural networks to determine the parameters of strong gravitational lensing systems. Here we demonstrate a method for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 Laurence Perreault Levasseur , Yashar D. Hezaveh , Risa H. Wechsler

Effective understanding of the environment and accurate trajectory prediction of surrounding dynamic obstacles are critical for intelligent systems such as autonomous vehicles and wheeled mobile robotics navigating in complex scenarios to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-30 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Discrete choice models (DCMs) are used to analyze individual decision-making in contexts such as transportation choices, political elections, and consumer preferences. DCMs play a central role in applied econometrics by enabling inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-19 Daniel F. Villarraga , Ricardo A. Daziano

Current research on robust trajectory planning for autonomous agents aims to mitigate uncertainties arising from disturbances and modeling errors while ensuring guaranteed safety. Existing methods primarily utilize stochastic optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Christian Vitale , Savvas Papaioannou , Panayiotis Kolios , Georgios Ellinas

It is desirable to have accurate uncertainty estimation from a single deterministic forward-pass model, as traditional methods for uncertainty quantification are computationally expensive. However, this is difficult because single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Frederik Boe Hüttel , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Câmara Pereira

A policy in deep reinforcement learning (RL), either deterministic or stochastic, is commonly parameterized as a Gaussian distribution alone, limiting the learned behavior to be unimodal. However, the nature of many practical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 SM Mazharul Islam , Manfred Huber

We tackle the problem of sampling from intractable high-dimensional density functions, a fundamental task that often appears in machine learning and statistics. We extend recent sampling-based approaches that leverage controlled stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Dinghuai Zhang , Ricky T. Q. Chen , Cheng-Hao Liu , Aaron Courville , Yoshua Bengio

Deep generative models are rapidly gaining traction in medical imaging. Nonetheless, most generative architectures struggle to capture the underlying probability distributions of volumetric data, exhibit convergence problems, and offer no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-29 Guilherme Pombo , Robert Gray , Tom Varsavsky , John Ashburner , Parashkev Nachev

This paper proposes a lexicographic Deep Reinforcement Learning (DeepRL)-based approach to chance-constrained Markov Decision Processes, in which the controller seeks to ensure that the probability of satisfying the constraint is above a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Alessandro Giuseppi , Antonio Pietrabissa