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Related papers: Unifying small area estimators based on area-level…

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Small area estimators that ignore the sampling design lack design consistency when the sampling mechanism is complex and may be severely biased under informative designs. Existing procedures that account for the survey weights under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 William Acero , Domingo Morales , Isabel Molina

This paper introduces empirical best predictors of small area bivariate parameters, like ratios of sums or sums of ratios, by assuming that the target unit-level vector follows a bivariate nested error regression model. The corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 M. D. Esteban , M. J. Lombardía , E. López-Vizcaíno , D. Morales , A. Pérez

Estimating characteristics of domains (referred to as small areas) within a population from sample surveys of the population is an important problem in survey statistics. In this paper, we consider model-based small area estimation under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Ziyang Lyu , A. H. Welsh

Model-based small area estimation is frequently used in conjunction with survey data in order to establish estimates for under-sampled or unsampled geographies. These models can be specified at either the area-level, or the unit-level, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Paul A. Parker , Ryan Janicki , Scott H. Holan

Small area models are mixed effects regression models that link the small areas and borrow strength from similar domains. When the auxiliary variables used in the models are measured with error, small area estimators that ignore the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Serena Arima , Silvia Polettini

Small area estimation has become an important tool in official statistics, used to construct estimates of population quantities for domains with small sample sizes. Typical area-level models function as a type of heteroscedastic regression,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Ryan Janicki

In countries where population census data are limited, generating accurate subnational estimates of health and demographic indicators is challenging. Existing model-based geostatistical methods leverage covariate information and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-08 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

The paper concerns small-area estimation in the Fay-Herriot type area-level model with random dispersions, which models the case that the sampling errors change from area to area. The resulting Bayes estimator shrinks both means and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-30 Hiromasa Tamae , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We develop constrained Bayesian estimation methods for small area problems: those requiring smoothness with respect to similarity across areas, such as geographic proximity or clustering by covariates; and benchmarking constraints,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-28 Rebecca C. Steorts

In small area estimation different data sources are integrated in order to produce reliable estimates of target parameters (e.g., a mean or a proportion) for a collection of small subsets (areas) of a finite population. Regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Enrico Fabrizi , Nicola Salvati , Martin Slawski

Auxiliary information is increasingly available from administrative and other data sources, but it is often incomplete and of non-probability origin. We propose a two-step small area estimation approach in which the first step relies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Donatas Šlevinskas , Ieva Burakauskaitė , Andrius Čiginas

We present a new method in problems where estimates are needed for finite population domains with small or even zero sample sizes. In contrast to known estimation methods, an auxiliary information is used to model sizes of population units…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-23 Andrius Čiginas , Tomas Rudys

Statistical agencies are often asked to produce small area estimates (SAEs) for positively skewed variables. When domain sample sizes are too small to support direct estimators, effects of skewness of the response variable can be large. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Rebecca C. Steorts

In Small Area Estimation data linkage can be used to combine values of the variableof interest from a national survey with values of auxiliary variables obtained from another source like a population register. Linkage errors can induce bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Ray Chambers , Enrico Fabrizi , Nicola Salvati

Small area estimation methods are used in surveys, where sample sizes are too small to get reliable direct estimates of parameters in some population domains. We consider design-based linear combinations of direct and synthetic estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-22 Andrius Čiginas

Subnational monitoring of public health often relies on household surveys where data are sparse at the desired spatial resolution. Small area estimation (SAE) methods address this challenge by borrowing strength across areas and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Qianyu Dong , Zehang Richard Li

Small area estimation using survey data can be achieved by using either a design-based or a model-based inferential approach. Design-based direct estimators are generally preferable because of their consistency, asymptotic normality, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 Alana McGovern , Katherine Wilson , Jon Wakefield

In small area estimation, it is a smart strategy to rely on data measured over time. However, linear mixed models struggle to properly capture time dependencies when the number of lags is large. Given the lack of published studies…

In the geosciences, a recurring problem is one of estimating spatial means of a physical field using weighted averages of point observations. An important variant is when individual observations are counted with some probability less than…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-11 Ashwin K Seshadri

Sample surveys are widely used to obtain information about totals, means, medians, and other parameters of finite populations. In many applications, similar information is desired for subpopulations such as individuals in specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 Jiahua Chen , Yukun Liu
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