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In this article, relying on Foster-Lyapunov drift conditions, we establish subexponential upper and lower bounds on the rate of convergence in the $\mathrm{L}^p$-Wasserstein distance for a class of irreducible and aperiodic Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-28 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Nikola Sandrić

We provide a condition for f-ergodicity of strong Markov processes at a subgeometric rate. This condition is couched in terms of a supermartingale property for a functional of the Markov process. Equivalent formulations in terms of a drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Gersende Fort , Arnaud Guillin

We derive sufficient conditions for subgeometric f-ergodicity of strongly Markovian processes. We first propose a criterion based on modulated moment of some delayed return-time to a petite set. We then formulate a criterion for polynomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. Fort , G. O. Roberts

Let $X:=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be an ergodic Markov process on $\real^d$, and $p>0$. We derive upper bounds of the $p$-Wasserstein distance between the invariant measure and the empirical measures of the Markov process $X$. For this we assume,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 René L. Schilling , Jian Wang , Bingyao Wu , Jie-Xiang Zhu

We establish subgeometric bounds on convergence rate of general Markov processes in the Wasserstein metric. In the discrete time setting we prove that the Lyapunov drift condition and the existence of a "good" $d$-small set imply…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-20 Oleg Butkovsky

This paper tackles the issue of establishing a lower-bound on the asymptotic ratio of survival probabilities between two different initial conditions, asymptotically in time for a given Markov process with extinction. Such a comparison is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-12 Aurélien Velleret

This paper is concerned with ergodic properties of inhomogeneous Markov processes. Since the transition probabilities depend on initial times, the existing methods to obtain invariant measures for homogeneous Markov processes are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-24 Zhenxin Liu , Di Lu

New relations between ergodic rate, L_p convergence rates, and asymptotic behavior of tail probabilities for hitting times of a time homogeneous Markov process are established. For L_p convergence rates and related spectral and functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-01 Alexey M. Kulik

In this paper, we give quantitative bounds on the $f$-total variation distance from convergence of an Harris recurrent Markov chain on an arbitrary under drift and minorisation conditions implying ergodicity at a sub-geometric rate. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Philippe Soulier

This paper deals with ergodic theorems for particular time-inhomogeneous Markov processes, whose the time-inhomogeneity is asymptotically periodic. Under a Lyapunov/minorization condition, it is shown that, for any measurable bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-06 William Oçafrain

For a Markov semigroup $P_t$ with invariant probability measure $\mu$, a constant $\ll>0$ is called a lower bound of the ultra-exponential convergence rate of $P_t$ to $\mu$, if there exists a constant $C\in (0,\infty)$ such that $$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Feng-Yu Wang

We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng

We develop a general framework for studying ergodicity of order-preserving Markov semigroups. We establish natural and in a certain sense optimal conditions for existence and uniqueness of the invariant measure and exponential convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Oleg Butkovsky , Michael Scheutzow

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-27 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

We formulate a criterion for the existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure for a Markov process taking values in a Polish phase space. In addition, weak-$^*$ ergodicity, that is, the weak convergence of the ergodic averages of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-19 Tomasz Komorowski , Szymon Peszat , Tomasz Szarek

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

We investigate ergodic properties of generalized Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes. In particular, we provide sufficient conditions for ergodicity, and for subexponential and exponential convergence to the invariant probability measure. We use…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-06 Peter Kevei

In this paper we discuss how the notion of subgeometric ergodicity in Markov chain theory can be exploited to study stationarity and ergodicity of nonlinear time series models. Subgeometric ergodicity means that the transition probability…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-11 Mika Meitz , Pentti Saikkonen

We prove the convergence at an exponential rate towards the invariant probability measure for a class of solutions of stochastic differential equations with finite delay. This is done, in this non-Markovian setting, using the cluster…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-11 Laure Pédèches

In this article, we review our recently introduced methods for obtaining strictly positive lower bounds on the top Lyapunov exponent of high-dimensional, stochastic differential equations such as the weakly-damped Lorenz-96 (L96) model or…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Jacob Bedrossian , Alex Blumenthal , Sam Punshon-Smith
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