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Probability trees are one of the simplest models of causal generative processes. They possess clean semantics and -- unlike causal Bayesian networks -- they can represent context-specific causal dependencies, which are necessary for e.g.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Tim Genewein , Tom McGrath , Grégoire Déletang , Vladimir Mikulik , Miljan Martic , Shane Legg , Pedro A. Ortega

Probabilistic programming systems enable users to encode model structure and naturally reason about uncertainties, which can be leveraged towards improved Bayesian optimization (BO) methods. Here we present a probabilistic program embedding…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Alexander Lavin

We propose a causal reasoning framework for creative robot tool use where a suitable tool for a task is correctly identified for use beyond its primary objectives. The proposed framework first discovers the causal relationships between the…

Bayesian Networks may be appealing for clinical decision-making due to their inclusion of causal knowledge, but their practical adoption remains limited as a result of their inability to deal with unstructured data. While neural networks do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Paloma Rabaey , Cedric De Boom , Thomas Demeester

Precisely tracking uncertainties is crucial for robots to successfully and safely operate in unstructured and dynamic environments. We present a probabilistic framework to precisely keep track of uncertainties throughout the entire…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Huy Nguyen , Quang-Cuong Pham

Causal inference can be formalized as Bayesian inference that combines a prior distribution over causal models and likelihoods that account for both observations and interventions. We show that it is possible to implement this approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Sam Witty , Alexander Lew , David Jensen , Vikash Mansinghka

Pragmatic reasoning helps interlocutors infer intended meaning from ambiguous or underspecified messages by considering shared context and counterfactual alternatives. Similar challenges arise in natural language-to-code generation, where…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Zhuchen Cao , Sven Apel , Adish Singla , Vera Demberg

Multi-robot systems can be extremely efficient for accomplishing team-wise tasks by acting concurrently and collaboratively. However, most existing methods either assume static task features or simply replan when environmental changes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Qisheng Zhao , Meng Guo , Hengxuan Du , Lars Lindemann , Zhongkui Li

We introduce CausaLab, a scalable environment for evaluating interactive causal discovery by LLM agents. Unlike prior evaluations, CausaLab evaluates both whether an agent can solve a problem using causal evidence and whether its answer is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Junlin Yang , Dylan Zhang , Xiangchen Song , Qirun Dai , Xiao Liu , Yuen Chen , Aniket Vashishtha , Jing Shi , Chenhao Tan , Hao Peng

Accurate knowledge of object poses is crucial to successful robotic manipulation tasks, and yet most current approaches only work in laboratory settings. Noisy sensors and cluttered scenes interfere with accurate pose recognition, which is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-10-12 Felix Jonathan , Chris Paxton , Gregory D. Hager

Robots assisting humans in complex domains have to represent knowledge and reason at both the sensorimotor level and the social level. The architecture described in this paper couples the non-monotonic logical reasoning capabilities of a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-08-04 Zenon Colaco , Mohan Sridharan

Autonomous robots must communicate about their decisions to gain trust and acceptance. When doing so, robots must determine which actions are causal, i.e., which directly give rise to the desired outcome, so that these actions can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Zhao Han , Boyoung Kim , Holly A. Yanco , Tom Williams

In everyday life, we perform tasks (e.g., cooking or cleaning) that involve a large variety of objects and goals. When confronted with an unexpected or unwanted outcome, we take corrective actions and try again until achieving the desired…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Jaime Maldonado , Jonas Krumme , Christoph Zetzsche , Vanessa Didelez , Kerstin Schill

Pretrained language models (PLM) achieve surprising performance on the Choice of Plausible Alternatives (COPA) task. However, whether PLMs have truly acquired the ability of causal reasoning remains a question. In this paper, we investigate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Mingyue Han , Yinglin Wang

A robot operating in isolation needs to reason over the uncertainty in its model of the world and adapt its own actions to account for this uncertainty. Similarly, a robot interacting with people needs to reason over its uncertainty over…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-08-07 Stefanos Nikolaidis , Jodi Forlizzi , David Hsu , Julie Shah , Siddhartha Srinivasa

To enable flexible, high-throughput automation in settings where people and robots share workspaces, collaborative robotic cells must reconcile stringent safety guarantees with the need for responsive and effective behavior. A dynamic…

As robotic systems move from highly structured environments to open worlds, incorporating uncertainty from dynamics learning or state estimation into the control pipeline is essential for robust performance. In this paper we present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-14 Robert Dyro , James Harrison , Apoorva Sharma , Marco Pavone

For planning an assembly of a product from a given set of parts, robots necessitate certain cognitive skills: high-level planning is needed to decide the order of actuation actions, while geometric reasoning is needed to check the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Momina Rizwan , Volkan Patoglu , Esra Erdem

This paper proposes to use probabilistic model checking to synthesize optimal robot policies in multi-tasking autonomous systems that are subject to human-robot interaction. Given the convincing empirical evidence that human behavior can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Sebastian Junges , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

Collaborative robots, or cobots, are increasingly integrated into various industrial and service settings to work efficiently and safely alongside humans. However, for effective human-robot collaboration, robots must reason based on human…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Muhammad Adel Yusuf , Ali Nasir , Zeeshan Hameed Khan