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How do humans and animals perform trial-and-error learning when the space of possibilities is infinite? In a previous study, we used an interval timing production task and discovered an updating strategy in which the agent adjusted the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-10 Jing Wang , Yousuf El-Jayyousi , Ilker Ozden

Encountering shifted data at test time is a ubiquitous challenge when deploying predictive models. Test-time adaptation (TTA) methods address this issue by continuously adapting a deployed model using only unlabeled test data. While TTA can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Mona Schirmer , Metod Jazbec , Christian A. Naesseth , Eric Nalisnick

Inferring treatment effects on a survival time outcome based on data from an observational study is challenging due to the presence of censoring and possible confounding. An additional challenge occurs when a unit's treatment affects the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Chanhwa Lee , Donglin Zeng , Michael Emch , John D. Clemens , Michael G. Hudgens

Estimating counterfactual outcomes over time has the potential to unlock personalized healthcare by assisting decision-makers to answer ''what-iF'' questions. Existing causal inference approaches typically consider regular, discrete-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Nabeel Seedat , Fergus Imrie , Alexis Bellot , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

We consider the problem of sequentially testing for changes in the mean parameter of a time series, compared to a benchmark period. Most tests in the literature focus on the null hypothesis of a constant mean versus the alternative of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Patrick Bastian , Tim Kutta , Rupsa Basu , Holger Dette

In this paper we present a framework for risk-sensitive model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by stochastic multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider a time-consistent, dynamic risk evaluation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Sumeet Singh , Yin-Lam Chow , Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone

This paper introduces a continuous-time constrained nonlinear control scheme which implements a model predictive control strategy as a continuous-time dynamic system. The approach is based on the idea that the solution of the optimal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-20 Marco M. Nicotra , Dominic Liao-McPherson , Ilya V. Kolmanovsky

Two commonly used methods for improving precision and power in clinical trials are stratified randomization and covariate adjustment. However, many trials do not fully capitalize on the combined precision gains from these two methods, which…

Clinical trials with a hybrid control arm (a control arm constructed from a combination of randomized patients and real-world data on patients receiving usual care in standard clinical practice) have the potential to decrease the cost of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-20 Joanna Harton , Brian Segal , Ronac Mamtani , Nandita Mitra , Rebecca Hubbard

Driven by the flexible manufacturing trend in the process control industry and the uncertain nature of chemical process models, this article aims to achieve offset-free tracking for a family of uncertain nonlinear systems (e.g., using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-10 Lai Wei , Ryan McCloy , Jie Bao

In this paper, we present a model-based periodic event-triggered control mechanism for nonlinear continuous-time Networked Control Systems. A sampled-data prediction of the system behavior is used at the actuator to reduce the amount of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-03 Michael Hertneck , Steffen Linsenmayer , Frank Allgöwer

This study proposes an anomaly detection method based on the Transformer architecture with integrated multiscale feature perception, aiming to address the limitations of temporal modeling and scale-aware feature representation in cloud…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Lian Lian , Yilin Li , Song Han , Renzi Meng , Sibo Wang , Ming Wang

Model predictive control (MPC) is an optimal control method that predicts the future states of the system being controlled and estimates the optimal control inputs that drive the predicted states to the required reference. The computations…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-05 Eslam Mostafa , Hussein A. Aly , Ahmed Elliethy

Time series forecasting models are becoming increasingly prevalent due to their critical role in decision-making across various domains. However, most existing approaches represent the coupled temporal patterns, often neglecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Xiaoyu Tao , Zhiding Liu , Daoyu Wang

This paper introduces a novel approach for modelling time-varying connectivity in neuroimaging data, focusing on the slow fluctuations in synaptic efficacy that mediate neuronal dynamics. Building on the framework of Dynamic Causal…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-05 Johan Medrano , Karl J. Friston , Peter Zeidman

This paper presents a time-optimal Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems subject to multiplicative uncertainties represented by interval matrices. To render the uncertainty propagation computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

Adaptive experiments are used extensively in online platforms, healthcare and biotechnology, and a variety of other settings. In many of these applications, the main goal is not to precisely estimate a treatment effect, but to demonstrate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Guido Imbens , Lorenzo Masoero , Alexander Rakhlin , Thomas S. Richardson , Suhas Vijaykumar

In this paper, we propose a new aperiodic formulation of model predictive control for nonlinear continuous-time systems. Unlike earlier approaches, we provide event-triggered conditions without using the optimal cost as a Lyapunov function…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Kazumune Hashimoto , Shuichi Adachi , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

A platform trial is an innovative clinical trial design that enables simultaneous and continuous evaluation of multiple treatments within a single master protocol. Existing robust methods restrict analyses to concurrently randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Yuhan Qian , Yu Du , Jingning Zhang , Yanyao Yi , Patrick J. Heagerty , Ting Ye

Randomized trials and observational studies, more often than not, run over a certain period of time. The treatment effect evolves during this period which provides crucial insights into the treatment response and the long-term effects. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-13 Shu Li , Peter Bühlmann