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Related papers: The Simple Yield Curve Models

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The distributional single index model is a semiparametric regression model in which the conditional distribution functions $P(Y \leq y | X = x) = F_0(\theta_0(x), y)$ of a real-valued outcome variable $Y$ depend on $d$-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Alexander Henzi , Lukas Looser

In this paper we develop a framework for discretely compounding interest rates which is based on the forward price process approach. This approach has a number of advantages, in particular in the current market environment. Compared to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-08 Ernst Eberlein , Christoph Gerhart , Zorana Grbac

We introduce a novel class of credit risk models in which the drift of the survival process of a firm is a linear function of the factors. The prices of defaultable bonds and credit default swaps (CDS) are linear-rational in the factors.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-23 Damien Ackerer , Damir Filipović

We prove an arithmetic Riemann-Roch theorem for pointed stable curves. We derive consequences for the Selberg zeta function of an open modular curve $Y_{1}(p)$ (resp. $Y_{0}(p)$), for a prime number $p\geq 11$ (resp. congruent to 11 modulo…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-14 Gerard Freixas I. Montplet

In this article we consider the problem of giving a robust, model-independent, lower bound on the price of a forward starting straddle with payoff $|F_{T_1} - F_{T_0}|$ where $0<T_0<T_1$. Rather than assuming a model for the underlying…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-09 David Hobson , Martin Klimmek

Recursive preferences, of the sort developed by Epstein and Zin (1989), play an integral role in modern macroeconomics and asset pricing theory. Unfortunately, it is non-trivial to establish the unique existence of a solution to recursive…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-05-15 Flint O'Neil

Level, slope, and curvature are three commonly-believed principal components in interest rate term structure and are thus widely used in modeling. This paper characterizes the heterogeneity of how misspecified such models are through time.…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-22 Kaiwen Hou

We introduce a class of interest rate models, called the $\alpha$-CIR model, which gives a natural extension of the standard CIR model by adopting the $\alpha$-stable L{\'e}vy process and preserving the branching property. This model allows…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-22 Ying Jiao , Chunhua Ma , Simone Scotti

In this paper we consider the following optimal stopping problem $$V^{\omega}_{\rm A}(s) = \sup_{\tau\in\mathcal{T}} \mathbb{E}_{s}[e^{-\int_0^\tau \omega(S_w) dw} g(S_\tau)],$$ where the process $S_t$ is a jump-diffusion process,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-07 Jonas Al-Hadad , Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper introduces a short rate model in continuous time that adds one or more memory (delay) components to the Merton model (Merton 1970, 1973) or the Vasi\v{c}ek model (Vasi\v{c}ek 1977) for the short rate. The distribution of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-23 Alet Roux , Álvaro Guinea Juliá

The paper is concerned with stochastic equations for the short rate process $R$ $$ dR(t)=F(R(t))dt+G(R(t-))dZ(t), $$ in the affine model of the bond prices. The equation is driven by a L\'evy martingale $Z$. It is shown that the discounted…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Michal Barski , Jerzy Zabczyk

This paper analyzes single-item continuous-review inventory models with random supplies in which the inventory dynamic between orders is described by a diffusion process, and a long-term average cost criterion is used to evaluate decisions.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-07 K. L. Helmes , R. H. Stockbridge , C. Zhu

Dealing with quadratic payments, marginal probability is usually considered ideally constant, maybe for the sake of initial simplicity. Considering the voting scenario depicted in "Quadratic Payments: A Primer" by Vitalik Buterin, firstly…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Andrea Barontini

We consider the pricing of American put options in a model-independent setting: that is, we do not assume that asset prices behave according to a given model, but aim to draw conclusions that hold in any model. We incorporate market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-24 Alexander M. G. Cox , Christoph Hoeggerl

We propose a class of discrete-time stochastic models for the pricing of inflation-linked assets. The paper begins with an axiomatic scheme for asset pricing and interest rate theory in a discrete-time setting. The first axiom introduces a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

The paper studies estimation of parameters of diffusion market models from historical data. The standard definition of implied volatility for these models presents its value as an implicit function of several parameters, including the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-23 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We consider a continuous-time financial market with no arbitrage and no transactions costs. In this setting, we introduce two types of perpetual contracts, one in which the payoff to the long side is a fixed function of the underlyers and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-08 Guillermo Angeris , Tarun Chitra , Alex Evans , Matthew Lorig

Explainability in yield prediction helps us fully explore the potential of machine learning models that are already able to achieve high accuracy for a variety of yield prediction scenarios. The data included for the prediction of yields…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Florian Huber , Hannes Engler , Anna Kicherer , Katja Herzog , Reinhard Töpfer , Volker Steinhage

We propose a novel approximate factor model tailored for analyzing time-dependent curve data. Our model decomposes such data into two distinct components: a low-dimensional predictable factor component and an unpredictable error term. These…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-26 Sven Otto , Nazarii Salish

Large scale molecular dynamics simulations are performed to study the steady state yielding dynamics of a well established simple glass. In contrast to the supercooled state, where the shear stress, $\sigma$, tends to zero at vanishing…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Fathollah Varnik , Oliver Henrich