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Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

In this article, we consider the general task of performing Gaussian process regression (GPR) on pointwise observations of solutions of the 3 dimensional homogeneous free space wave equation.In a recent article, we obtained promising…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-11-10 Iain Henderson , Pascal Noble , Olivier Roustant

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Due to its state-of-the-art estimation performance complemented by rigorous and non-conservative uncertainty bounds, Gaussian process regression is a popular tool for enhancing dynamical system models and coping with their inaccuracies.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-05 Anna Scampicchio , Elena Arcari , Amon Lahr , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We propose a probabilistic model for inferring the multivariate function from multiple areal data sets with various granularities. Here, the areal data are observed not at location points but at regions. Existing regression-based models can…

The characterization of intermittent, multiscale and transient dynamics using data-driven analysis remains an open challenge. We demonstrate an application of the Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) with sparse sampling for the diagnostic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Krithika Manohar , Eurika Kaiser , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Multi-task learning requires accurate identification of the correlations between tasks. In real-world time-series, tasks are rarely perfectly temporally aligned; traditional multi-task models do not account for this and subsequent errors in…

We propose a general framework for non-normal multivariate data analysis called multivariate covariance generalized linear models (McGLMs), designed to handle multivariate response variables, along with a wide range of temporal and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner Hugo Bonat , Bent Jørgensen

Quantitative modeling of post-transcriptional regulation process is a challenging problem in systems biology. A mechanical model of the regulatory process needs to be able to describe the available spatio-temporal protein concentration and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-18 Mu Niu , Zhenwen Dai , Neil Lawrence , Kolja Becker

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Anomaly detection in smart power grids is a critical challenge due to the complexity, heterogeneity, and dynamic nature of sensor data streams. Existing one-class classification methods, particularly Subspace Support Vector Data Description…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Thomas Debelle , Fahad Sohrab , Pekka Abrahamsson , Moncef Gabbouj

With the advancement of sensing technology, multivariate time series classification (MTSC) has recently received considerable attention. Existing deep learning-based MTSC techniques, which mostly rely on convolutional or recurrent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Yueyang Wang , Yida Huang , Anni Ren , Zhongbin Xu , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang

The growing demand for accurate control in varying and unknown environments has sparked a corresponding increase in the requirements for power supply components, including permanent magnet synchronous motors (PMSMs). To infer the unknown…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-27 Zhenxiao Yin , Xiaobing Dai , Zewen Yang , Yang Shen , Georges Hattab , Hang Zhao

Multivariate Gaussian (MVG) distributions are central to modeling correlated continuous variables in probabilistic forecasting. Neural forecasting models typically parameterize the mean vector and covariance matrix of the distribution using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-03 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) leverage the flexibility and interpretability of GPs while capturing structure across outputs, which is desirable, for example, in spatio-temporal modelling. The key problem with MOGPs is their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-20 Wessel P. Bruinsma , Eric Perim , Will Tebbutt , J. Scott Hosking , Arno Solin , Richard E. Turner

Multivariate time series anomaly detection has numerous real-world applications and is being extensively studied. Modeling pairwise correlations between variables is crucial. Existing methods employ learnable graph structures and graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Zehao Liu , Mengzhou Gao , Pengfei Jiao

We describe a numerical scheme for evaluating the posterior moments of Bayesian linear regression models with partial pooling of the coefficients. The principal analytical tool of the evaluation is a change of basis from coefficient space…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-01 Philip Greengard , Andrew Gelman , Aki Vehtari

Modal methods are a long-standing approach to physical modelling synthesis. Extensions to nonlinear problems are possible, leading to coupled nonlinear systems of ordinary differential equations. Recent work in scalar auxiliary variable…

Sound · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Victor Zheleznov , Stefan Bilbao , Alec Wright , Simon King

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) represents an effective means for capturing the essential features of numerically or experimentally generated flow fields. In order to achieve a desirable tradeoff between the quality of approximation and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-12-11 Mihailo R. Jovanović , Peter J. Schmid , Joseph W. Nichols

We develop a robust data fusion algorithm for field reconstruction of multiple physical phenomena. The contribution of this paper is twofold: First, we demonstrate how multi-spatial fields which can have any marginal distributions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Pengfei Zhang , Gareth W. Peters , Ido Nevat , Keng Boon Teo , Yixin Wang