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Clinical trials are essential to drug development but time-consuming, costly, and prone to failure. Accurate trial outcome prediction based on historical trial data promises better trial investment decisions and more trial success. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Zifeng Wang , Cao Xiao , Jimeng Sun

AB testing aids business operators with their decision making, and is considered the gold standard method for learning from data to improve digital user experiences. However, there is usually a gap between the requirements of practitioners,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Srivas Chennu , Andrew Maher , Christian Pangerl , Subash Prabanantham , Jae Hyeon Bae , Jamie Martin , Bud Goswami

We present new techniques for synthesizing programs through sequences of mutations. Among these are (1) a method of local scoring assigning a score to each expression in a program, allowing us to more precisely identify buggy code, (2)…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Max Vistrup

Program synthesis aims to {\it automatically} find programs from an underlying programming language that satisfy a given specification. While this has the potential to revolutionize computing, how to search over the vast space of programs…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Yuan Yuan , Wolfgang Banzhaf

In this work, we address the problem of synthesis of covert attackers in the setup where the model of the plant is available, but the model of the supervisor is unknown, to the adversary. To compensate the lack of knowledge on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-24 Liyong Lin , Ruochen Tai , Yuting Zhu , Rong Su

Most Reading Comprehension methods limit themselves to queries which can be answered using a single sentence, paragraph, or document. Enabling models to combine disjoint pieces of textual evidence would extend the scope of machine…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Johannes Welbl , Pontus Stenetorp , Sebastian Riedel

Fragment-based drug discovery is an effective strategy for discovering drug candidates in the vast chemical space, and has been widely employed in molecular generative models. However, many existing fragment extraction methods in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Seul Lee , Seanie Lee , Kenji Kawaguchi , Sung Ju Hwang

Discrete-state, continuous-time Markov models are widely used in the modeling of biochemical reaction networks. Their complexity often precludes analytic solution, and we rely on stochastic simulation algorithms to estimate system…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-20 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Michael B. Giles , Ruth E. Baker

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

In the era of increasingly complex AI models for time series forecasting, progress is often measured by marginal improvements on benchmark leaderboards. However, this approach suffers from a fundamental flaw: standard evaluation metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Wanjin Feng , Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Neural Posterior Estimation methods for simulation-based inference can be ill-suited for dealing with posterior distributions obtained by conditioning on multiple observations, as they tend to require a large number of simulator calls to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Tomas Geffner , George Papamakarios , Andriy Mnih

Simulation studies are widely used to evaluate statistical methods. However, new methods are often introduced and evaluated using data-generating mechanisms (DGMs) devised by the same authors. This coupling creates misaligned incentives,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-23 František Bartoš , Samuel Pawel , Björn S. Siepe

Propagation of linear constraints has become a crucial sub-routine in modern Mixed-Integer Programming (MIP) solvers. In practice, iterative algorithms with tolerance-based stopping criteria are used to avoid problems with slow or infinite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Boro Sofranac , Ambros Gleixner , Sebastian Pokutta

Causal discovery from observational data is a fundamental task in artificial intelligence, with far-reaching implications for decision-making, predictions, and interventions. Despite significant advances, existing methods can be broadly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Jincheng Zhou , Mengbo Wang , Anqi He , Yumeng Zhou , Hessam Olya , Murat Kocaoglu , Bruno Ribeiro

Stochastic Programming is a powerful modeling framework for decision-making under uncertainty. In this work, we tackle two-stage stochastic programs (2SPs), the most widely used class of stochastic programming models. Solving 2SPs exactly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Justin Dumouchelle , Rahul Patel , Elias B. Khalil , Merve Bodur

We consider the problem of automatically constructing computer programs from input-output examples. We investigate how to augment probabilistic and neural program synthesis methods with new search algorithms, proposing a framework called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Nathanaël Fijalkow , Guillaume Lagarde , Théo Matricon , Kevin Ellis , Pierre Ohlmann , Akarsh Potta

Predicting the chemical properties of compounds is crucial in discovering novel materials and drugs with specific desired characteristics. Recent significant advances in machine learning technologies have enabled automatic predictive…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-10 Yang Liu , Hisashi Kashima

Binary observations are often repeated to improve data quality, creating technical replicates. Several scoring methods are commonly used to infer the actual individual state and obtain a probability for each state. The common practice of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-24 Manuela Royer-Carenzi , Hadrien Lorenzo , Pierre Pudlo

The most common method to auto-grade a student's submission in a CS1 or a CS2 course is to run it against a pre-defined test suite and compare the results against reference results. However, this technique cannot be used if the correctness…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Aaryen Mehta , Gagan Aryan

We introduce dynamic nested sampling: a generalisation of the nested sampling algorithm in which the number of "live points" varies to allocate samples more efficiently. In empirical tests the new method significantly improves calculation…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-27 Edward Higson , Will Handley , Mike Hobson , Anthony Lasenby