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Despite the widespread occurrence of classification problems and the increasing collection of point process data across many disciplines, study of error probability for point process classification only emerged very recently. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Xinhui Rong , Victor Solo

Contemporary machine learning applications often involve classification tasks with many classes. Despite their extensive use, a precise understanding of the statistical properties and behavior of classification algorithms is still missing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Christos Thrampoulidis , Samet Oymak , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

Classification is a ubiquitous and fundamental problem in artificial intelligence and machine learning, with extensive efforts dedicated to developing more powerful classifiers and larger datasets. However, the classification task is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Mario Franco , Gerardo Febres , Nelson Fernández , Carlos Gershenson

In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu

Affine point processes are a class of simple point processes with self- and mutually-exciting properties, and they have found useful applications in several areas. In this paper, we obtain large-time asymptotic expansions in large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-26 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

In healthcare, the highest risk individuals for morbidity and mortality are rarely those with the greatest modifiable risk. By contrast, many machine learning formulations implicitly attend to the highest risk individuals. We focus on this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-15 Yoonjung Kim , Jeremy C. Weiss

This paper studies the probability of error associated with the social machine learning framework, which involves an independent training phase followed by a cooperative decision-making phase over a graph. This framework addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Ping Hu , Virginia Bordignon , Mert Kayaalp , Ali H. Sayed

Change-point models are widely used by statisticians to model drastic changes in the pattern of observed data. Least squares/maximum likelihood based estimation of change-points leads to curious asymptotic phenomena. When the change-point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Rui Song , Moulinath Banerjee , Michael R. Kosorok

Many classification applications require accurate probability estimates in addition to good class separation but often classifiers are designed focusing only on the latter. Calibration is the process of improving probability estimates by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-31 Tuomo Alasalmi , Jaakko Suutala , Heli Koskimäki , Juha Röning

Advanced classification algorithms are being increasingly used in safety-critical applications like health-care, engineering, etc. In such applications, miss-classifications made by ML algorithms can result in substantial financial or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Disha Ghandwani , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Lin

This paper studies probabilistic rates of convergence for consensus+innovations type of algorithms in random, generic networks. For each node, we find a lower and also a family of upper bounds on the large deviations rate function, thus…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Dragana Bajovic

The objective of the paper is to study accuracy of multi-class classification in high-dimensional setting, where the number of classes is also large ("large $L$, large $p$, small $n$" model). While this problem arises in many practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Felix Abramovich , Marianna Pensky

We study the asymptotic theory of misspecified models for diffusion processes with noisy nonsynchronous observations. Unlike with correctly specified models, the original maximum-likelihood-type estimator has an asymptotic bias under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Teppei Ogihara

New bounds on classification error rates for the error-correcting output code (ECOC) approach in machine learning are presented. These bounds have exponential decay complexity with respect to codeword length and theoretically validate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Hieu D. Nguyen , Mohammed Sarosh Khan , Nicholas Kaegi , Shen-Shyang Ho , Jonathan Moore , Logan Borys , Lucas Lavalva

Datasets from the fields of bioinformatics, chemometrics, and face recognition are typically characterized by small samples of high-dimensional data. Among the many variants of linear discriminant analysis that have been proposed in order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-20 Lama B. Niyazi , Abla Kammoun , Hayssam Dahrouj , Mohamed-Slim Alouini , Tareq Y. Al-Naffouri

This paper studies the second-order asymptotics of the discrete memoryless multiple-access channel with degraded message sets. For a fixed average error probability $\epsilon\in(0,1)$ and an arbitrary point on the boundary of the capacity…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-15 Jonathan Scarlett , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we analyze approximations to the non-asymptotic fundamental limits of statistical classification. In the binary version of this problem, given two training sequences generated according…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Lin Zhou , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Mehul Motani

We consider the problem of multi-class classification and a stochastic opti- mization approach to it. We derive risk bounds for stochastic mirror descent algorithm and provide examples of set geometries that make the use of the algorithm…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-09 Daria Reshetova

In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the point process of exceedances in a spatio-temporal setting whose points are given by the rescaled occurrence times, the sites and the rescaled values of exceedances. Here, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Carolin Forster , Marco Oesting

We study the behavior of error bounds for multiclass classification under suitable margin conditions. For a wide variety of methods we prove that the classification error under a hard-margin condition decreases exponentially fast without…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Stefano Vigogna , Giacomo Meanti , Ernesto De Vito , Lorenzo Rosasco
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