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Accurate assessment of post-disaster damage is essential for prioritizing emergency response, yet current practices rely heavily on manual interpretation of satellite imagery.This approach is time-consuming, subjective, and difficult to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Sreesritha Sai , Sai Venkata Suma Sreeja , Sai Sri Deepthi , Nikhil

Forecast models in statistical seismology are commonly evaluated with log-likelihood scores of the full distribution P(n) of earthquake numbers, yet heavy tails and out-of-range observations can bias model ranking. We develop a tail-aware…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-24 Jiawei Li , Qingyuan Zhang , Didier Sornette

Accurately predicting the dynamic responses of building structures under seismic loads is essential for ensuring structural safety and minimizing potential damage. This critical aspect of structural analysis allows engineers to evaluate how…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Shiqiao Meng , Ying Zhou , Qinghua Zheng , Bingxu Liao , Mushi Chang , Tianshu Zhang , Abderrahim Djerrad

Accurate prediction of structural failure modes under seismic excitations is essential for seismic risk and resilience assessment. Traditional simulation-based approaches often result in imbalanced datasets dominated by non-failure or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Taeyong Kim

Logistic regression is key method for modeling the probability of a binary outcome based on a collection of covariates. However, the classical formulation of logistic regression relies on the independent sampling assumption, which is often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Somabha Mukherjee , Ziang Niu , Sagnik Halder , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , George Michailidis

This work applies concepts of artificial neural networks to identify the parameters of a mathematical model based on phase fields for damage and fracture. Damage mechanics is the part of the continuum mechanics that models the effects of…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-07-21 Carlos J. G. Rojas , Marco L. Bitterncourt , José L. Boldrini

Error-mitigation methods for Ising machines are reexamined not merely as noise-suppression techniques but as a structural design problem of replica-coupled Ising models. Using simulated annealing as a hardware-noise-free testbed, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-15 Tetsuro Abe , Kanta Hino , Shu Tanaka

This study introduces a statistical mechanics framework to analyze the territorial distribution of the Resident Foreign Population across Italian municipalities. The observed percentages of foreign residents are treated as the reference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Pierpaolo Massoli

The Ising model is widely regarded as the most studied model of spin-systems in statistical physics. The focus of this paper is its dynamic (stochastic) version, the Glauber dynamics, introduced in 1963 and by now the most popular means of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-09 Eyal Lubetzky , Allan Sly

The 2-dimensional Ising model on a square lattice is investigated with a variational autoencoder in the non-vanishing field case for the purpose of extracting the crossover region between the ferromagnetic and paramagnetic phases. The…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-04 Nicholas Walker , Ka-Ming Tam

Machine learning is becoming increasingly important in scientific and technological progress, due to its ability to create models that describe complex data and generalize well. The wealth of publicly-available seismic data nowadays…

Automatic event detection from time series signals has wide applications, such as abnormal event detection in video surveillance and event detection in geophysical data. Traditional detection methods detect events primarily by the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-26 Yue Wu , Youzuo Lin , Zheng Zhou , David Chas Bolton , Ji Liu , Paul Johnson

Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) models are point processes that have found prominence in seismological modeling. Its success has led to the development of a number of different versions of the ETAS model. Among these extensions is…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-06 Tom Stindl , Feng Chen

Optimization-based state estimation is useful for nonlinear or constrained dynamic systems for which few general methods with established properties are available. The two fundamental forms are moving horizon estimation (MHE) which uses the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Wuhua Hu

Objective: Epilepsy is one of the most prevalent neurological diseases among humans and can lead to severe brain injuries, strokes, and brain tumors. Early detection of seizures can help to mitigate injuries, and can be used to aid the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Theekshana Dissanayake , Tharindu Fernando , Simon Denman , Sridha Sridharan , Clinton Fookes

Endurance time method is a time history dynamic analysis in which structures are subjected to predesigned intensifying excitations. This method provides a tool for response prediction that correlates structural responses to the intensity of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Homayoon E. Estekanchi , Mohammadreza Mashayekhi , Hassan Vafai , Goodarz Ahmadi , S. Ali Mirfarhadi , Mojtaba Harati

We present two models for estimating the probabilities of future earthquakes in California, to be tested in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). The first, time-independent model, modified from Helmstetter et…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 M. J. Werner , A. Helmstetter , D. D. Jackson , Y. Y. Kagan

Design-space dimensionality reduction is essential to mitigate the cost of high-fidelity simulation-based optimization, especially when dealing with high-dimensional geometric parameterizations. Traditional linear techniques, such as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Andrea Serani , Giorgio Palma , Jeroen Wackers , Domenico Quagliarella , Stefano Gaggero , Matteo Diez

The development of new earthquake forecasting models is often motivated by one of the following complementary goals: to gain new insights into the governing physics and to produce improved forecasts quantified by objective metrics. Often,…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-01-19 Leila Mizrahi , Shyam Nandan , William Savran , Stefan Wiemer , Yehuda Ben-Zion

Pattern informatics (PI) technique can be used to detect precursory seismic activation or quiescence and make earthquake forecast. Here we apply the PI method for optimal forecasting of large earthquakes in Japan, using the data catalogue…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 K. Z. Nanjo , J. B. Rundle , J. R. Holliday , D. L. Turcotte