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Related papers: Variational Sampling of Temporal Trajectories

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This is the third part of a series of studies that model the target trajectory, which describes the target state evolution over continuous time, as a sample path of a stochastic process (SP). By adopting a deterministic-stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-13 Tiancheng Li , Jingyuan Wang , Guchong Li , Dengwei Gao

Performative prediction is a framework for learning models that influence the data they intend to predict. We focus on finding classifiers that are performatively stable, i.e. optimal for the data distribution they induce. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Mehrnaz Mofakhami , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Gauthier Gidel

Getting tools that allow simple representations and comparisons of a set of categorical trajectories is of major interest for statisticians. Without loosing any information, we associate to each state a binary random indicator function,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Hervé Cardot , Caroline Peltier

Computing the distribution of trajectories from a Gaussian Process model of a dynamical system is an important challenge in utilizing such models. Motivated by the computational cost of sampling-based approaches, we consider approximations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-16 Steffen Ridderbusch , Sina Ober-Blöbaum , Paul Goulart

We consider problems in which a system receives external \emph{perturbations} from time to time. For instance, the system can be a train network in which particular lines are repeatedly disrupted without warning, having an effect on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Nicolo Colombo , Ricardo Silva , Soong M Kang , Arthur Gretton

The first-passage time is proposed as an independent thermodynamic parameter of the statistical distribution that generalizes the Gibbs distribution. The theory does not include the determination of the first passage statistics itself. A…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-22 V. V. Ryazanov

Accurate prediction of human or vehicle trajectories with good diversity that captures their stochastic nature is an essential task for many applications. However, many trajectory prediction models produce unreasonable trajectory samples…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Qingze , Liu , Danrui Li , Samuel S. Sohn , Sejong Yoon , Mubbasir Kapadia , Vladimir Pavlovic

Many physical phenomena occur on domains that grow in time. When the timescales of the phenomena and domain growth are comparable, models must include the dynamics of the domain. A widespread intrinsically slow transport process is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-01 C. N. Angstmann , B. I. Henry , A. V. McGann

Human trajectory data is crucial in urban planning, traffic engineering, and public health. However, directly using real-world trajectory data often faces challenges such as privacy concerns, data acquisition costs, and data quality. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Qingyue Long , Can Rong , Tong Li , Yong Li

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a challenging task because of the complexity of real-world human social behaviors and uncertainty of the future motion. For the first issue, existing methods adopt fully connected topology for modeling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-25 Lidan Zhang , Qi She , Ping Guo

Accurately predicting the dynamics of robotic systems is crucial for model-based control and reinforcement learning. The most common way to estimate dynamics is by fitting a one-step ahead prediction model and using it to recursively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-02 Nathan O. Lambert , Albert Wilcox , Howard Zhang , Kristofer S. J. Pister , Roberto Calandra

Sampling the collective, dynamical fluctuations that lead to nonequilibrium pattern formation requires probing rare regions of trajectory space. Recent approaches to this problem based on importance sampling, cloning, and spectral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-14 Jiawei Yan , Hugo Touchette , Grant M. Rotskoff

Accurate estimation of the states of a nonlinear dynamical system is crucial for their design, synthesis, and analysis. Particle filters are estimators constructed by simulating trajectories from a sampling distribution and averaging them…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-03 Fernando Gama , Nicolas Zilberstein , Martin Sevilla , Richard Baraniuk , Santiago Segarra

In this work, we propose a method to learn multivariate probability distributions using sample path data from stochastic differential equations. Specifically, we consider temporally evolving probability distributions (e.g., those produced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-05 Yubin Lu , Romit Maulik , Ting Gao , Felix Dietrich , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Jinqiao Duan

We compute probability distributions of trajectory observables for reversible and irreversible growth processes. These results reveal a correspondence between reversible and irreversible processes, at particular points in parameter space,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-28 Katherine Klymko , Phillip L. Geissler , Juan P. Garrahan , Stephen Whitelam

Rare event sampling algorithms are essential for understanding processes that occur infrequently on the molecular scale, yet they are important for the long-time dynamics of complex molecular systems. One of these algorithms, transition…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-19 Sebastian Falkner , Alessandro Coretti , Baron Peters , Peter G. Bolhuis , Christoph Dellago

A human action can be seen as transitions between one's body poses over time, where the transition depicts a temporal relation between two poses. Recognizing actions thus involves learning a classifier sensitive to these pose transitions as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-03 Guillermo Garcia-Hernando , Tae-Kyun Kim

We propose the use of recurrent neural networks for classifying phases of matter based on the dynamics of experimentally accessible observables. We demonstrate this approach by training recurrent networks on the magnetization traces of two…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-08-22 Evert van Nieuwenburg , Eyal Bairey , Gil Refael

Uncertainty pervades through the modern robotic autonomy stack, with nearly every component (e.g., sensors, detection, classification, tracking, behavior prediction) producing continuous or discrete probabilistic distributions. Trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Boris Ivanovic , Yifeng Lin , Shubham Shrivastava , Punarjay Chakravarty , Marco Pavone

We present a general framework for classifying partially observed dynamical systems based on the idea of learning in the model space. In contrast to the existing approaches using model point estimates to represent individual data items, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-19 Yuan Shen , Peter Tino , Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova
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