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Demand-side energy management, such as the real-time pricing (RTP) program, offers manufacturers opportunities to reduce energy costs by shifting production to low-price hours. However, this strategy is challenging to implement when machine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Hongliang Li , Herschel C. Pangborn , Ilya Kovalenko

Data stream forecasts are essential inputs for decision making at digital platforms. Machine learning algorithms are appealing candidates to produce such forecasts. Yet, digital platforms require a large-scale forecast framework that can…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-18 Jeroen Rombouts , Ines Wilms

Policy design in non-stationary Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) is inherently challenging due to the complexities introduced by time-varying system transition and reward, which make it difficult for learners to determine the optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Ziyi Zhang , Yorie Nakahira , Guannan Qu

The rolling stock rotation problem with predictive maintenance (RSRP-PdM) involves the assignment of trips to a fleet of vehicles with integrated maintenance scheduling based on the predicted failure probability of the vehicles. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-15 Felix Prause , Ralf Borndörfer

New resource mix, e.g., renewable resources, are imposing operational complexities to modern power systems by intensifying uncertainty and variability in the system net load. This issue has motivated independent system operators (ISOs),…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-10 Mohammad Ghaljehei , Mojdeh Khorsand

Data-Driven Predictive Control (DDPC) has been recently proposed as an effective alternative to traditional Model Predictive Control (MPC), in that the same constrained optimization problem can be addressed without the need to explicitly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-14 Valentina Breschi , Marco Fabris , Simone Formentin , Alessandro Chiuso

This paper presents a scenario based robust optimization framework for short term energy scheduling in electricity intensive industrial plants, explicitly addressing uncertainty in planning decisions. The model is formulated as a two-stage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-02 Sebastián Rojas-Innocenti , Enrique Baeyens , Alejandro Martín-Crespo , Sergio Saludes-Rodil , Fernando Frechoso Escudero

Prediction of stock prices plays a significant role in aiding the decision-making of investors. Considering its importance, a growing literature has emerged trying to forecast stock prices with improved accuracy. In this study, we introduce…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Md Sabbirul Haque , Md Shahedul Amin , Jonayet Miah , Duc Minh Cao , Ashiqul Haque Ahmed

Algorithmic predictions are increasingly informing societal resource allocations by identifying individuals for targeting. Policymakers often build these systems with the assumption that by gathering more observations on individuals, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Ali Shirali , Ariel Procaccia , Rediet Abebe

Model predictive control (MPC) is a control strategy widely used in industrial applications. However, its implementation typically requires a mathematical model of the system being controlled, which can be a time-consuming and expensive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Valentina Breschi , Alessandro Chiuso , Marco Fabris , Simone Formentin

This paper discusses a novel probabilistic approach for the design of robust model predictive control (MPC) laws for discrete-time linear systems affected by parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed technique is based…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-07-16 Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Lorenzo Fagiano

In an era of increasing computational capabilities and growing environmental consciousness, organizations face a critical challenge in balancing the accuracy of forecasting models with computational efficiency and sustainability. Global…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-15 Marco Zanotti

Accurate demand forecasting is vital for ensuring reliable access to contraceptive products, supporting key processes like procurement, inventory, and distribution. However, forecasting contraceptive demand in developing countries presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Harsha Chamara Hewage , Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Aris Syntetos , Federico Liberatore , Glenn Milano

Modern time-series forecasting models often fail to make full use of rich unstructured information about the time series themselves. This lack of proper conditioning can lead to obvious model failures; for example, models may be unaware of…

Accurate demand forecasting in the retail industry is a critical determinant of financial performance and supply chain efficiency. As global markets become increasingly interconnected, businesses are turning towards advanced prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Md Sabbirul Haque , Md Shahedul Amin , Jonayet Miah

Prediction models frequently face the challenge of concept drift, in which the underlying data distribution changes over time, weakening performance. Examples can include models which predict loan default, or those used in healthcare…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Louis Chislett , Catalina A. Vallejos , Timothy I. Cannings , James Liley

This study investigates a stochastic production planning problem with regime-switching parameters, inspired by economic cycles impacting production and inventory costs. The model considers types of goods and employs a Markov chain to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Dragos-Patru Covei

We study a class of sequential decision-making problems with augmented predictions, potentially provided by a machine learning algorithm. In this setting, the decision-maker receives prediction intervals for unknown parameters that become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Xin Chen , Yuze Chen , Yuan Zhou

Improving the accuracy of forecast models for physical systems such as the atmosphere is a crucial ongoing effort. Errors in state estimation for these often highly nonlinear systems has been the primary focus of recent research, but as…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-02-08 Nicholas A. Allgaier , Kameron D. Harris , Christopher M. Danforth

This paper is concerned with a simulation study for a stochastic production network model, where the capacities of machines may change randomly. We introduce performance measures motivated by risk measures from finance leading to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp
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