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We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem and introduce a novel point-process-based prediction algorithm. Spatio-temporal prediction is extensively studied in Machine Learning literature due to its critical real-life applications such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman S. Kozat

We propose a new algorithm to approach weakly the solution of a McKean-Vlasov SDE. Based on the cubature method of Lyons and Victoir 2004, the algorithm is deterministic differing from the the usual methods based on interacting particles.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-22 Paul-Eric Chaudru de Raynal , Camilo Garcia Trillos

In this paper, it is shown that Bermudan option pricing based on either the r\'eduite (in a one-dimensional setting: piecewise harmonic interpolation) or cubature -- is sensible from an economic vantage point: Any sequence of thus-computed…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Frederik S. Herzberg

In this paper, we introduce a bivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (BTSFPP) by time-changing the bivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered $\alpha$-stable subordinator. We study its distributional properties and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Ritik Soni , Ashok Kumar Pathak , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Alessandra Meoli

A FORTRAN program to simulate the operation of infinite servers queues is presented in this work. Poisson arrivals processes are considered but not only. For many parameters of interest in queuing systems study or application, either there…

Performance · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira

This paper proposes a new methodology to perform Bayesian inference for a class of multidimensional Cox processes in which the intensity function is piecewise constant. Poisson processes with piecewise constant intensity functions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-16 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Barbara C. C. Dias

For many measure preserving dynamical systems $(\Omega,T,m)$ the successive hitting times to a small set is well approximated by a Poisson process on the real line. In this work we define a new process obtained from recording not only the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Françoise Pène , Benoit Saussol

With increasing point of interest (POI) datasets available with fine-grained spatial and temporal attributes, space-time Ripley's K function has been regarded as a powerful approach to analyze spatiotemporal point process. However,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-11 Yuan Wang , Zhipeng Gui , Huayi Wu , Dehua Peng , Jinghang Wu , Zousen Cui

This article introduces estimators of trend and seasonality for time series of point processes. We assume the point processes follow a temporal or spatial doubly-stochastic Poisson model with log-Gaussian intensity functions. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Daniel Gervini , Simon A. Kopischke

The Ginibre point process is one of the main examples of deter- minantal point processes on the complex plane. It forms a recurring model in stochastic matrix theory as well as in pratical applications. However, this model has mostly been…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Laurent Decreusefond , Ian Flint , Anaïs Vergne

In this paper we introduce a novel particle filter scheme for a class of partially-observed multivariate diffusions. %continuous-time dynamic models where the %signal is given by a multivariate diffusion process. We consider a variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-24 Paul Fearnhead , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

Spatio-temporal point process models play a central role in the analysis of spatially distributed systems in several disciplines. Yet, scalable inference remains computa- tionally challenging both due to the high resolution modelling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-07 Botond Cseke , Andrew Zammit Mangion , Tom Heskes , Guido Sanguinetti

Asynchronous event sequence clustering aims to group similar event sequences in an unsupervised manner. Mixture models of temporal point processes have been proposed to solve this problem, but they often suffer from overfitting, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Yiwei Dong , Shaoxin Ye , Yuwen Cao , Qiyu Han , Hongteng Xu , Hanfang Yang

In this chapter we review some examples, methods, and recent results involving comparison of clustering properties of point processes. Our approach is founded on some basic observations allowing us to consider void probabilities and moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-23 Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn , D. Yogeshwaran

We present new Poisson process approximation results for stabilizing functionals of Poisson and binomial point processes. These functionals are allowed to have an unbounded range of interaction and encompass many examples in stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Omer Bobrowski , Matthias Schulte , D. Yogeshwaran

The Cox process is a stochastic process which generalises the Poisson process by letting the underlying intensity function itself be a stochastic process. In this paper we present a fast Bayesian inference scheme for the permanental…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-07 Christian J. Walder , Adrian N. Bishop

Time-fractional parabolic equations with a Caputo time derivative are considered. For such equations, we explore and further develop the new methodology of the a-posteriori error estimation and adaptive time stepping proposed in [7]. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Sebastian Franz , Natalia Kopteva

This paper deals with some of the methodologies used to construct polynomial surrogate models based on generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansions for applications to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in aerodynamic computations. A core…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-14 Eric Savin , Andrea Resmini , Jacques Peter

In this article, we present a recently released R package for Bayesian calibration. Many industrial fields are facing unfeasible or costly field experiments. These experiments are replaced with numerical/computer experiments which are…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-30 Mathieu Carmassi , Pierre Barbillon , Matthieu Chiodetti , Merlin Keller , Eric Parent

Spatio-temporal Hawkes point processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic point processes for modeling self-exciting behavior, in which the occurrence of one event increases the probability of other events occurring. These…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Alba Bernabeu , Jorge Mateu
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