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Traditional epidemic detection algorithms make decisions using only local information. We propose a novel approach that explicitly models spatial information fusion from several metapopulations. Our method also takes into account…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-15 Michael Ludkovski , Katherine Shatskikh

Bayesian optimization (BO) is one of the most effective methods for closed-loop experimental design and black-box optimization. However, a key limitation of BO is that it is an inherently sequential algorithm (one experiment is proposed per…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-21 Leonardo D. González , Victor M. Zavala

The decreasing cost and improved sensor and monitoring system technology (e.g. fiber optics and strain gauges) have led to more measurements in close proximity to each other. When using such spatially dense measurement data in Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 Ioannis Koune , Arpad Rozsas , Arthur Slobbe , Alice Cicirello

Additive spatial statistical models with weakly stationary process assumptions have become standard in spatial statistics. However, one disadvantage of such models is the computation time, which rapidly increases with the number of data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Sudipto Saha , Jonathan R. Bradley

Anomaly detection is critical for the secure and reliable operation of industrial control systems. As our reliance on such complex cyber-physical systems grows, it becomes paramount to have automated methods for detecting anomalies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Mayra Macas , Chunming Wu , Walter Fuertes

Despite the recent success of Bayesian optimization (BO) in a variety of applications where sample efficiency is imperative, its performance may be seriously compromised in settings characterized by high-dimensional parameter spaces. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Noémie Jaquier , Leonel Rozo

We study zeroth-order optimisation under context distributional uncertainty, a setting commonly tackled using Bayesian optimisation (BO). A prevailing strategy to make BO more robust to the complex and noisy nature of data is to employ an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Tigran Ramazyan , Denis Derkach

Anomaly detection plays a crucial role in industrial settings, particularly in maintaining the reliability and optimal performance of cooling systems. Traditional anomaly detection methods often face challenges in handling diverse data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-26 Sarala Naidu , Ning Xiong

Organizations rely heavily on time series metrics to measure and model key aspects of operational and business performance. The ability to reliably detect issues with these metrics is imperative to identifying early indicators of major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Sayan Chakraborty , Smit Shah , Kiumars Soltani , Anna Swigart , Luyao Yang , Kyle Buckingham

The problem of quickest growing dynamic anomaly detection in sensor networks is studied. Initially, the observations at the sensors, which are sampled sequentially by the decision maker, are generated according to a pre-change distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Georgios Rovatsos , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Don Towsley , Ananthram Swami

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Spatial designs for monitoring stream networks, especially ephemeral systems, are typically non-standard, `sparse' and can be very complex, reflecting the complexity of the ecosystem being monitored, the scale of the population, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-09-12 Melissa J. Dobbie , Brent L. Henderson , Don L. Stevens

Existing research on sensor data anomaly detection for industrial sensor networks still has several inherent limitations. First, most detection models usually consider centralized detection. Thus, all sensor data have to be uploaded to the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Tao Yang , Xuefeng Jiang , Wei Li , Peiyu Liu , Jinming Wang , Weijie Hao , Qiang Yang

The design of an experiment can be always be considered at least implicitly Bayesian, with prior knowledge used informally to aid decisions such as the variables to be studied and the choice of a plausible relationship between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-03 David C. Woods , Antony M. Overstall , Maria Adamou , Timothy W. Waite

Remote sensors are becoming the standard for observing and recording ecological data in the field. Such sensors can record data at fine temporal resolutions, and they can operate under extreme conditions prohibitive to human access.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Ethan W. Dereszynski , Thomas G. Dietterich

We have developed a Bayesian optimization (BO) workflow that integrates intra-step noise optimization into automated experimental cycles. Traditional BO approaches in automated experiments focus on optimizing experimental trajectories but…

Prompt and accurate detection of system anomalies is essential to ensure the reliability of software systems. Unlike manual efforts that exploit all available run-time information, existing approaches usually leverage only a single type of…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Baitong Li , Tianyi Yang , Zhuangbin Chen , Yuxin Su , Yongqiang Yang , Michael R. Lyu

The problem of optimal data collection to efficiently learn the model parameters of a graphite nitridation experiment is studied in the context of Bayesian analysis using both synthetic and real experimental data. The paper emphasizes that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-07-08 Gabriel Terejanu , Rochan R. Upadhyay , Kenji Miki

Many organisations manage service quality and monitor a large set devices and servers where each entity is associated with telemetry or physical sensor data series. Recently, various methods have been proposed to detect behavioural…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Len Feremans , Boris Cule , Bart Goethals

Bayesian optimal design is considered for experiments where the response distribution depends on the solution to a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. The motivation is an experiment to estimate parameters in the equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-02 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Ben Parker
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